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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks24%8886
9Bulls76%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
42.0
37.2
29
49%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
5-6
83%
12-21
6-13
57%
48%
0-6
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.6
41.7
33.7
22
80%
4
2
1
1
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
9-12
5-11
75%
43%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
31.7
28.4
16
49%
6
3
1
1
3
3
1
5
4-10
40%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
19.9
20.0
3
39%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
18.2
17.0
2
23%
2
0
2
0
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.6
31.4
36.8
3
26%
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
1-5
5-9
20%
52%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.0
26.9
19.6
6
34%
12
2
1
1
2
2
4
8
4-4
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
44%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
13.9
19.8
2
33%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.8
9.7
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
2.9
4.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
0.9
15.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
0.9
1.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-1
100%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.4
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
42.2
34.5
12
59%
1
12
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-5
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.3
37.8
20.7
15
52%
9
1
1
0
3
3
3
6
1-1
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
32.2
36.8
18
71%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
6-6
100%
6-10
7-13
60%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
30.9
36.5
12
43%
1
5
0
1
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
29.4
27.2
11
56%
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.1
27.1
26.9
14
57%
5
1
1
1
2
1
0
5
5-5
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
22.9
19.0
5
29%
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-4
0%
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
1-1
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
17.4
11.4
7
52%
5
1
1
0
2
2
0
5
1-4
25%
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.4
10.5
0
1-1
47%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
10.5
0
2-4
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.6
5.2
0
0-1
49%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.5
4.6
0
1-1
48%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.9
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.