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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Timberwolves22%9191
6Jazz78%101106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
41.9
23.5
17
52%
11
2
1
1
2
3
1
10
1-1
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
0-3
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.3
41.1
20.1
32
80%
2
3
2
1
1
4
1
1
8-9
89%
6-8
2-5
75%
47%
4-8
50%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.9
41.0
35.9
4
29%
4
5
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.1
34.4
32.4
11
51%
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
4-9
5-11
44%
51%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.6
25.5
27.6
10
48%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.3
22.5
30.0
9
56%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.2
10.7
12.7
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.0
9.1
7.7
3
54%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-4
25%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.9
7.8
16.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.1
6.1
20.6
3
150%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-1
100%
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.6
12.9
0
1-3
43%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
9.7
0
1-3
41%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
38.4
36.0
21
62%
3
15
2
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
49%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.5
36.5
32.1
9
38%
4
7
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
3-9
3-7
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
34.6
34.0
28
77%
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
4-5
80%
6-10
4-9
60%
51%
4-6
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.2
32.8
35.6
18
64%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
9-14
8-15
64%
56%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
29.1
31.4
7
55%
5
0
0
1
1
4
0
5
1-3
33%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
26.5
21.3
11
58%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.1
15.8
8.4
2
100%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
13.6
15.9
6
43%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.9
12.7
14.2
4
67%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.8
4.8
0
1-1
51%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
1.8
0
0-0
44%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.