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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks31%9683
9Heat69%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.8
44.7
38.4
6
33%
7
4
2
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
3-8
0%
44%
2-8
25%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.1
39.0
33.8
26
62%
3
0
0
1
1
3
2
1
4-7
57%
11-18
6-11
61%
56%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.9
16.0
37.3
6
87%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
4-9
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.7
13.9
21.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.2
4.2
24.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.8
42.7
30.2
23
67%
2
9
0
1
0
6
1
1
4-5
80%
8-9
4-8
89%
45%
1-6
17%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.7
40.6
31.9
9
42%
15
2
1
1
0
1
2
13
3-4
75%
3-9
4-7
33%
59%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.6
30.9
7.8
11
55%
4
1
2
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
3-5
60%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.2
6.2
5.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
1.9
4.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.2
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.9
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
43.8
31.4
20
63%
3
7
3
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
4-10
40%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
42.9
13.4
10
40%
6
13
1
0
1
2
1
5
0-1
0%
5-12
1-2
42%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
38.0
37.1
19
68%
10
4
1
1
0
1
3
7
1-2
50%
9-13
5-10
69%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
29.9
27.9
22
79%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
47%
4-6
67%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
20.2
20.6
10
49%
7
1
0
0
4
4
5
2
2-5
40%
4-8
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
20.2
23.9
2
17%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
19.6
24.5
10
71%
4
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
15.4
11.2
4
69%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
8.6
11.8
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
0.7
1.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
0.7
1.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
40.3
2
9-18
52%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.