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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks61%9799
10Heat39%9493
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
41.9
36.0
25
59%
9
3
2
1
0
4
2
7
5-7
71%
7-13
6-13
54%
50%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.6
41.3
37.4
22
45%
11
1
0
1
1
1
3
8
2-3
67%
10-22
8-15
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
37.6
34.1
11
43%
1
11
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
2-5
40%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
33.7
25.2
8
68%
11
0
0
0
1
1
3
8
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
10.2
23.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
51%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
25.1
26.1
6
38%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.2
24.9
18.1
23
66%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
10-13
2-6
77%
45%
0-3
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.3
12.6
19.2
2
100%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
9.4
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.0
3.4
10.8
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
3.1
0
0-0
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
1.8
0
0-0
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
45.1
32.7
15
43%
8
0
3
1
0
2
0
8
1-3
33%
7-16
4-8
44%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
44.4
38.5
31
62%
6
6
2
2
0
0
1
5
6-9
67%
11-17
9-17
65%
50%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
40.5
26.0
17
60%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
4-5
80%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
28.0
27.8
7
50%
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
18.8
21.5
8
46%
4
0
0
0
4
0
3
1
4-6
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
55%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
25.0
24.3
11
61%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
1-3
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
21.4
25.5
2
100%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
7.5
16.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
5.7
14.1
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
3.6
16.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
1.6
0
0-1
46%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.