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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hawks40%9385
24Bobcats60%96104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
42.9
35.3
22
63%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
1-1
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.6
39.9
31.5
20
59%
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
9-16
4-9
56%
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
33.5
13.0
12
68%
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
17.1
34.8
2
20%
4
2
0
1
1
4
1
3
0-2
0%
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
14.1
19.0
6
75%
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.6
40.3
35.8
18
77%
5
2
1
1
1
2
3
2
6-6
100%
6-9
5-8
67%
54%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
21.9
18.7
2
13%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-8
3-6
13%
46%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
16.1
22.2
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.8
7.9
4.7
3
104%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.4
6.3
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
5.9
0
1-1
47%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
1.5
0
0-1
44%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
42.4
21.1
17
67%
4
9
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
6-10
3-5
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.4
38.8
34.8
22
83%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
8-10
3-6
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.3
35.2
35.7
19
92%
7
1
0
1
4
3
1
6
3-3
100%
8-9
5-11
89%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
33.4
29.9
12
57%
3
4
2
2
0
1
0
3
4-8
50%
4-7
5-9
57%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.5
29.3
26.6
7
51%
2
5
1
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.5
32.0
30.8
18
64%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-11
5-11
55%
45%
2-3
67%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
15.2
12.3
5
51%
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.3
6.9
10.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
4.3
7.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.0
2.5
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.3
13.4
0
3-5
51%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
5.5
0
1-2
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.8
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.6
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.