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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bobcats45%9396
27Hawks55%9575
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
37.7
10.9
10
42%
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
1-3
45%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.4
35.0
35.4
12
52%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
1-6
17%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.3
34.3
37.3
22
83%
13
0
0
1
3
5
7
6
2-3
67%
10-12
5-11
83%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
30.7
29.6
18
55%
15
3
3
2
1
3
6
9
4-10
40%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
2-3
67%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.5
28.7
25.7
9
42%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-3
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.5
31.5
30.7
19
53%
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
8-15
4-10
53%
43%
1-3
33%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.3
14.9
6.2
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
13.7
11.1
2
114%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
13.4
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.3
20.3
0
4-8
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
8.4
0
1-2
48%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.0
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.8
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.6
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
35.5
35.9
19
48%
6
1
3
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
8-15
6-12
53%
51%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
35.0
35.2
14
42%
4
2
3
1
4
1
1
3
2-4
50%
6-14
4-9
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.6
33.1
30.8
8
34%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
16.6
10.2
6
77%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
15.4
21.9
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.6
39.9
33.6
12
53%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
20.8
23.4
5
43%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
17.3
19.4
6
51%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
15.1
16.5
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-0
-
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.8
6.0
3.4
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
4.4
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
1.1
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.4
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.