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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 18, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers20%9495
2Mavericks80%105114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
33.5
36.4
26
57%
3
5
0
1
0
6
1
2
10-11
91%
8-15
7-14
53%
47%
0-3
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
30.0
31.8
8
40%
2
3
0
1
1
4
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.2
22.7
25.4
9
78%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-4
3-7
75%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
21.6
22.4
9
57%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
21.5
32.8
5
42%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
27.8
25.7
6
30%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
26.5
13.3
17
72%
4
4
5
0
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
4-7
1-2
57%
50%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.9
22.7
13.8
10
100%
0
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
38%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
20.9
17.7
3
28%
2
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.0
12.8
16.7
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.3
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.8
1.7
0
0-0
37%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.9
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.6
36.9
38.6
27
70%
10
3
1
1
1
2
3
7
3-3
100%
9-15
8-16
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
36.7
36.2
29
59%
11
5
2
1
1
3
4
7
3-4
75%
10-16
6-13
63%
50%
2-7
29%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
33.4
35.3
12
43%
3
13
1
1
0
6
1
2
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
31.8
23.2
14
70%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
7-7
1-3
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
23.2
27.0
0
0%
10
1
0
0
4
1
2
8
0-0
-
0-1
3-4
0%
57%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.3
23.1
17.0
4
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
22.6
4.5
11
63%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
0-1
57%
48%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.2
15.2
20.4
11
70%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
1-1
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.0
13.4
8.5
4
50%
8
0
0
0
2
2
6
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
1.5
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
1.1
4.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.9
1.1
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.