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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Lakers26%92100
3Spurs74%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
36.2
36.9
34
71%
6
8
1
1
0
7
0
6
10-11
91%
12-17
7-14
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
33.3
33.1
7
51%
5
1
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
32.2
31.7
8
40%
3
5
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.2
27.2
24.2
6
32%
8
3
0
0
4
1
3
5
0-1
0%
3-9
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
18.4
25.5
8
44%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
30.3
22.5
11
45%
5
0
2
1
0
2
2
3
3-5
60%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.0
17.4
15.9
4
29%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.9
15.3
12.0
4
53%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
15.0
19.7
13
93%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
3-3
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
14.7
12.0
5
125%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.3
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.8
1.5
0
0-0
37%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.9
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.6
41.6
33.3
6
28%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-4
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
40.1
29.5
25
61%
4
5
3
1
0
5
0
4
7-8
88%
9-17
7-13
53%
54%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
37.9
34.3
26
60%
9
1
1
1
4
4
1
8
6-8
75%
10-17
7-14
59%
53%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.5
31.2
29.3
16
69%
6
3
3
2
0
6
1
5
7-8
88%
3-5
4-9
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
19.8
20.1
2
20%
8
0
0
0
0
1
5
3
0-2
0%
1-4
2-5
25%
54%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
29.8
17.7
13
69%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
3-7
43%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.9
17.0
20.5
5
42%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.4
10.8
21.1
3
50%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
10.3
17.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
1.5
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.9
2.4
0
0-1
53%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
2.3
0
0-0
44%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.