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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Bulls60%9999
23Bucks40%9690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
39.3
37.5
16
54%
5
9
2
1
0
6
2
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
2-5
40%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
37.4
34.0
20
53%
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
2-6
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
31.3
21.6
3
32%
10
3
2
1
1
0
3
7
1-4
25%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
31.1
35.7
19
57%
9
2
2
1
0
3
2
7
3-4
75%
8-15
7-13
53%
52%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.3
13.6
19.7
2
17%
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.1
27.6
26.1
21
85%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
2-4
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
18.2
14.3
8
58%
5
0
4
1
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.4
15.8
21.8
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.5
14.8
8.0
4
100%
5
1
4
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.5
4.0
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
3.5
12.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.2
3.5
11.4
4
82%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.9
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.6
40.0
40.2
17
43%
1
5
3
1
0
5
1
0
6-6
100%
1-11
5-12
9%
42%
3-6
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
39.4
36.5
6
39%
8
3
1
1
1
5
1
7
2-4
50%
2-6
6-11
33%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.9
39.3
38.1
10
56%
0
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
2-2
100%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.5
38.1
34.8
15
45%
11
5
1
1
0
7
3
8
7-8
88%
4-13
7-13
31%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.7
20.6
25.9
12
64%
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-1
0%
6-9
3-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
31.3
16.8
22
66%
9
1
1
0
0
1
2
7
4-6
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
4-8
50%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
17.8
12.6
4
67%
1
1
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
13.1
13.8
4
23%
9
1
0
0
1
1
6
3
0-2
0%
2-8
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
0.6
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
13.7
0
2-5
48%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
5.8
0
1-1
44%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.1
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.1
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.4
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.