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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Magic63%9178
30Hornets37%8784
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.8
39.4
28.8
16
53%
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
4-5
80%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
2-6
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.9
39.0
27.1
12
35%
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-14
4-8
43%
50%
0-3
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.3
38.8
28.5
7
40%
5
1
2
1
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
2-7
5-9
29%
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.1
37.8
33.7
17
50%
15
3
1
1
1
2
4
11
5-9
56%
6-13
6-11
46%
55%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
21.6
21.7
6
60%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.6
27.5
22.2
11
43%
10
0
0
1
2
5
3
7
3-4
75%
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.7
22.0
23.2
3
25%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
18.9
20.8
6
68%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.5
14.0
19.4
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.4
6.0
4.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.8
8.6
0
1-1
52%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.9
4.1
0
0-0
45%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.3
48.9
37.3
21
45%
9
2
1
1
0
4
2
7
9-12
75%
6-18
6-13
33%
45%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
47.5
37.6
19
56%
11
1
1
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
44%
1-5
20%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.3
37.1
34.7
4
69%
10
1
0
1
3
2
2
8
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
37.1
36.0
11
29%
6
2
4
1
0
3
1
5
5-5
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
43%
0-8
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.0
21.5
24.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
4-9
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.2
36.5
28.9
25
66%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-14
3-8
50%
41%
3-4
75%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.6
20.6
20.3
4
67%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
15.8
5.9
0
0%
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
17.0
0
3-7
50%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
5.3
0
1-1
47%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.8
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.7
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.