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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Suns71%107137
22Grizzlies29%100122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
42.4
35.2
25
66%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-7
3-5
14%
49%
7-11
64%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
39.3
34.4
22
76%
13
1
4
2
0
2
1
12
0-1
0%
8-9
6-10
89%
56%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
36.6
30.6
42
79%
9
2
1
1
0
4
5
4
12-13
92%
15-21
6-11
71%
56%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
35.5
34.2
9
57%
3
10
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.9
34.8
33.3
12
60%
1
15
0
1
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
55%
2-6
33%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.1
25.7
26.5
13
45%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-8
75%
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
1-5
20%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.3
23.2
17.3
10
63%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
2-6
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.3
2.5
15.9
4
106%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.2
4.4
0
1-1
48%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.9
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34.0
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
1.8
0
0-1
48%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.9
41.8
37.5
25
66%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
50%
3-7
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
39.8
35.0
23
93%
9
7
0
1
1
4
2
7
3-3
100%
10-10
7-15
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
31.3
19.8
17
57%
1
9
4
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
41%
3-7
43%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
21.9
17.7
9
78%
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
6
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.2
19.0
3.9
8
46%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.4
22.1
22.0
15
83%
0
6
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
3-5
60%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.5
21.1
15.0
9
65%
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
15.9
22.1
6
43%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
13.2
15.1
4
52%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
11.9
23.7
4
67%
2
1
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.8
2.0
13.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
10.5
1
1-2
43%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.8
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.