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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Timberwolves46%9194
20Pistons54%9290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
49.7
38.7
19
47%
14
6
2
1
5
1
1
13
5-5
100%
7-17
9-17
41%
51%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.3
47.9
38.9
21
61%
4
4
2
1
0
4
1
3
6-7
86%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
3-4
75%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.9
47.5
37.7
15
89%
11
5
1
1
0
2
8
3
1-1
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.1
38.0
30.8
10
36%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-12
5-9
25%
52%
1-1
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.6
24.8
23.0
8
44%
4
1
1
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.3
28.4
23.9
11
50%
4
2
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.2
18.2
10.9
8
63%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.5
10.7
10.5
2
20%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
7.9
0
1-2
42%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.0
5.9
0
0-1
46%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.8
3.5
0
0-1
41%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
1.2
0
0-0
41%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.1
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.9
47.4
40.5
12
40%
4
7
1
1
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
0-2
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.3
43.6
33.0
3
14%
10
1
2
1
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
0-8
4-7
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
43.0
35.4
12
43%
2
9
4
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
44%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.9
41.5
39.5
32
56%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
6-8
75%
13-22
8-17
59%
48%
0-3
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.8
16.8
16.2
3
52%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.4
29.3
16.1
16
80%
7
1
2
0
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
8-10
2-4
80%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
17.2
18.5
10
56%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
2-4
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
16.2
11.1
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.1
10.1
9.6
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.9
14.7
0
2-5
50%
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.4
7.3
0
1-1
43%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.0
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.7
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.