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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz44%102111
10Wizards56%104114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
40.4
27.7
38
72%
9
2
0
0
1
0
3
6
8-10
80%
9-14
3-7
64%
50%
4-8
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
37.8
37.5
12
51%
6
13
4
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
5-11
40%
48%
2-6
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.2
37.6
38.1
27
68%
13
3
0
1
0
4
7
6
3-4
75%
12-18
9-16
67%
55%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
30.1
31.0
4
35%
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
4-4
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
23.8
22.0
4
29%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
27.9
24.7
9
47%
5
1
0
1
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.8
20.7
8.1
8
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.9
13.0
14.2
6
61%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.1
5.1
7.3
3
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
3.6
2.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
16.5
0
2-4
46%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
6.5
0
1-2
42%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.8
44.6
39.3
21
55%
7
3
4
2
1
1
2
5
7-7
100%
7-16
7-15
44%
48%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
41.3
37.7
51
70%
3
5
1
2
0
1
1
2
16-17
94%
7-17
6-13
41%
48%
7-12
58%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
39.7
36.3
8
45%
6
3
0
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
0-2
4-9
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.1
29.4
25.9
10
85%
10
0
0
1
1
3
6
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.8
20.9
27.1
3
26%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.8
20.0
18.2
7
83%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
17.5
15.9
6
69%
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
2-3
67%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
16.9
15.3
6
51%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.4
6.0
8.6
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.5
3.7
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
6.4
0
1-1
46%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.3
2.7
0
0-0
42%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.9
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.2
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.