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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Jazz38%94115
16Nuggets62%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
42.5
37.5
21
78%
9
4
1
2
7
2
3
6
7-8
88%
7-9
4-9
78%
49%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.8
39.8
32.9
24
77%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
7-8
88%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
3-5
60%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
33.8
30.2
18
74%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
7-10
5-10
70%
48%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
31.7
30.3
12
61%
1
7
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.4
31.2
35.1
15
64%
7
7
0
1
0
4
2
5
3-6
50%
6-9
7-13
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.3
25.0
16.3
15
87%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
5-6
1-3
83%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
19.7
21.0
5
37%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
16.3
15.2
5
51%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
7.5
0
1-2
43%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
4.5
0
1-2
42%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.0
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.1
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.0
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
43.8
35.2
19
71%
3
12
3
1
0
4
1
2
9-10
90%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
38.1
36.4
31
59%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
13-21
9-18
62%
51%
1-4
25%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.7
29.5
26.2
18
80%
2
4
3
1
0
2
2
0
2-3
67%
8-10
5-9
80%
53%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
25.0
13.2
2
20%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.2
24.9
16.9
9
51%
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
4
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
26.1
22.3
8
44%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
2-8
25%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.9
21.6
23.6
6
109%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
17.1
14.6
6
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
57%
2-6
33%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
6.4
4.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
4.3
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
3.5
9.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.8
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.