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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies43%8774
8Nets57%8986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
36.1
40.4
21
53%
8
4
1
1
0
2
1
7
3-6
50%
9-17
8-17
53%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.6
23.6
35.0
3
50%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.4
23.2
31.5
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.6
21.6
29.4
5
32%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
20.9
24.3
4
50%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.1
32.6
29.4
7
34%
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
5
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.0
26.4
18.6
18
72%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
3-7
43%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
24.7
7.7
4
40%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.7
17.0
5.2
10
71%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
9.2
10.1
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
4.7
1.9
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.1
3.6
0
0-1
41%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.8
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.6
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.8
39.9
35.2
27
88%
9
2
0
1
0
2
3
6
9-10
90%
6-7
5-9
86%
51%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.2
39.1
34.0
23
54%
6
4
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-5
80%
8-14
6-12
57%
46%
1-5
20%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.0
36.5
32.5
5
42%
5
12
1
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.7
34.4
32.3
14
64%
8
3
0
1
3
3
2
6
2-2
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
29.4
24.2
7
50%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.3
23.0
20.6
6
30%
3
1
2
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.1
15.8
13.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.5
11.9
14.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
5.1
8.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.9
4.9
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.9
5.3
0
0-1
42%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.7
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.