for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 29, 2006
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Heat
55%100
98
22
Raptors
45%99
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.49394.2
TOR logo TOR
100.09493.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR98
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)98
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)97
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORJames Driving Finger Roll (19 PTS)96
97.8%
94
2.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAPayton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T16)96
98.2%
92
1.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)96
97.7%
92
2.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)94
93.8%
92
6.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORMISS Williams Driving Layup94
91.0%
92
9.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)94
77.7%
92
22.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)93
75.0%
92
25.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORWilliams Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)92
63.3%
92
36.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)92
66.9%
91
33.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)92
70.9%
90
29.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
86.1%
89
13.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORMISS James Driving Layup92
91.4%
89
8.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)92
84.0%
89
16.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)91
82.4%
89
17.6%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
73.6%
89
26.4%
Q4 - 1:15TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
69.5%
89
30.5%
Q4 - 1:36MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)90
60.0%
89
40.0%
Q4 - 1:39TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)88
49.1%
89
50.9%
Q4 - 1:53TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
36.5%
89
63.5%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)88
40.1%
89
59.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)88
49.1%
89
50.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem 7' Turnaround Jump Shot88
40.0%
89
60.0%
Q4 - 2:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)88
52.7%
89
47.3%
Q4 - 2:23TORMISS James 19' Jump Shot88
47.6%
89
52.4%
Q4 - 2:39TORJump Ball Villanueva vs. Wade: Tip to Williams88
35.9%
89
64.1%
Q4 - 2:42MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
53.1%
89
46.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot88
41.0%
89
59.0%
Q4 - 3:01TORPeterson 7' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS)88
51.6%
89
48.4%
Q4 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)88
58.0%
87
42.0%
Q4 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
41.7%
87
58.3%
Q4 - 3:33TORMISS James 22' Jump Shot85
38.8%
87
61.2%
Q4 - 3:50MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS)85
32.1%
87
67.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
24.8%
87
75.2%
Q4 - 4:02TORMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot83
22.6%
87
77.4%
Q4 - 4:19TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Payton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot83
19.7%
87
80.3%
Q4 - 4:40TORVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)83
24.3%
87
75.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)83
17.6%
87
82.4%
Q4 - 5:07MIAHeat Rebound81
16.4%
87
83.6%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Walker 5' Turnaround Jump Shot81
13.4%
87
86.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
16.4%
87
83.6%
Q4 - 5:19TORMISS James 19' Jump Shot81
15.0%
87
85.0%
Q4 - 5:33TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)81
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
13.2%
87
86.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAHeat Rebound81
16.2%
87
83.8%
Q4 - 5:45TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot81
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 5:54TORSow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
12.0%
87
88.0%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS Simien 12' Jump Shot81
13.2%
87
86.8%
Q4 - 6:11MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
19.3%
87
80.7%
Q4 - 6:13TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
17.7%
87
82.3%
Q4 - 6:32MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
14.4%
87
85.6%
Q4 - 6:50TORSow Layup (4 PTS)79
11.4%
87
88.6%
Q4 - 6:53TORSow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
14.3%
85
85.7%
Q4 - 6:55TORMISS James 8' Running Jump Shot79
17.5%
85
82.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T14)79
17.1%
85
82.9%
Q4 - 7:33TORJames Foul Turnover (P1.T8)79
21.9%
85
78.1%
Q4 - 7:50TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 279
17.6%
85
82.4%
Q4 - 7:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
20.4%
85
79.6%
Q4 - 8:12TORBarrett 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
19.4%
85
80.6%
Q4 - 8:25MIAAnderson Driving Layup (5 PTS)78
23.5%
83
76.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
19.3%
83
80.7%
Q4 - 8:44TORMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot76
18.1%
83
81.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 9:08MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
16.6%
83
83.4%
Q4 - 9:19MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 9:21TORMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot74
13.3%
83
86.7%
Q4 - 9:38MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)74
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 9:38MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Payton 10' Jump Shot71
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q4 - 9:59TORBarrett 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 12 AST)71
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 10:14MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)71
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 10:24TORJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q4 - 10:34TORJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot68
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 10:49MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
12.8%
78
87.2%
Q4 - 10:50TORMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 11:08MIAAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)68
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q4 - 11:19TORVillanueva Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)65
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q4 - 11:24TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup65
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 11:45TORJames 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR65
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)65
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0TORMISS Araujo Layup65
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0TORMISS Bonner Layup65
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0TORBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0TORMISS Bonner 8' Jump Shot65
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)65
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q3 - 1:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)62
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 1:07TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot62
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIASimien Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)62
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 1:55TORPeterson Running Layup (26 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)60
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIABonner STEAL (1 STL)60
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 2:09TORAraujo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)60
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 2:18TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
10.8%
72
89.2%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot60
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q3 - 2:26MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 2:28TORMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot60
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q3 - 2:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
10.8%
72
89.2%
Q3 - 2:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 3:03TORJames Driving Layup (12 PTS)58
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q3 - 3:12TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot58
12.4%
70
87.6%
Q3 - 3:32TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)58
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 3:54TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Simien 14' Jump Shot58
19.5%
67
80.5%
Q3 - 4:19TORVillanueva Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (James 11 AST)58
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 4:44MIAHaslem Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q3 - 4:57TORVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T6)56
22.8%
65
77.2%
Q3 - 5:08TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
20.7%
65
79.3%
Q3 - 5:10TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
22.8%
65
77.2%
Q3 - 5:21MIASimien Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
20.6%
65
79.4%
Q3 - 5:34TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)54
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 5:48TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot54
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q3 - 5:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)54
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 6:00TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)54
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 6:27TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)54
19.2%
65
80.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)54
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 7:01TORMISS Villanueva Layup52
14.8%
65
85.2%
Q3 - 7:16MIASimien 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)52
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 7:18MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 7:20MIASow BLOCK (2 BLK)50
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Williams Free Throw Technical50
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 7:52TORWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)50
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHaslem 7' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)50
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 8:26TORPeterson 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 10 AST)48
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 8:48MIAWalker Driving Layup (15 PTS)48
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 9:15TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 9 AST)46
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)46
16.9%
58
83.1%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
19.1%
58
80.9%
Q3 - 9:45TORMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper46
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 9:55TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot46
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
20.2%
58
79.8%
Q3 - 10:09TORMISS Villanueva Driving Finger Roll46
19.5%
58
80.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)46
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 10:36MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q3 - 10:36TORMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 243
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q3 - 10:36TORVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 10:55TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
13.9%
57
86.1%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q3 - 11:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)43
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q3 - 11:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 11:23TORMISS Villanueva 8' Turnaround Hook Shot43
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot41
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORBonner Layup (2 PTS) (James 8 AST)41
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)41
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)41
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T9)41
22.5%
52
77.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
24.2%
52
75.8%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
31.2%
49
68.8%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
30.7%
49
69.3%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 1:16TORMISS Villanueva 8' Turnaround Hook Shot39
26.9%
49
73.1%
Q2 - 1:34TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
25.9%
49
74.1%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 239
26.1%
49
73.9%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Doleac Layup38
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q2 - 1:41TORSow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)38
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 1:43TORSow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Haslem 8' Running Jump Shot38
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q2 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 1:57TORMISS Villanueva 7' Running Jump Shot38
24.4%
49
75.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)38
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q2 - 2:28TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
21.5%
49
78.5%
Q2 - 2:28TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 236
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 2:49MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)36
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 3:01TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
21.1%
48
78.9%
Q2 - 3:01TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 3:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 3:04TORMISS James Layup34
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 3:22TORSow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot34
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q2 - 3:43TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup34
24.4%
46
75.6%
Q2 - 3:55TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper34
23.4%
46
76.6%
Q2 - 4:17TORAraujo Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Barrett 2 AST)34
26.1%
46
73.9%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWalker Layup (13 PTS) (Simien 2 AST)34
28.3%
44
71.7%
Q2 - 4:42TORAraujo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)32
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q2 - 4:46MIAAraujo STEAL (1 STL)32
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound32
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q2 - 4:56TORMISS Bonner 19' Jump Shot32
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 5:13MIAWalker Reverse Layup (11 PTS)32
24.4%
44
75.6%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 5:25TORMISS Bonner 18' Jump Shot30
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 5:44TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot30
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 6:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
23.6%
44
76.4%
Q2 - 6:11TORMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 6:22TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot30
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)30
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q2 - 6:38TORMISS Araujo Free Throw 2 of 230
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 6:38TORAraujo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 6:49MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)30
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q2 - 7:08TORJames Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Araujo 1 AST)30
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 7:25MIAWalker Tip Shot (9 PTS)30
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 7:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Walker Layup28
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Doleac Layup28
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q2 - 7:45TORBarrett 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)28
28.6%
39
71.4%
Q2 - 8:11TORVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
31.3%
39
68.7%
Q2 - 8:11TORVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 8:22TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 8:23TORMISS Villanueva 9' Jump Shot28
35.1%
37
64.9%
Q2 - 8:29MIAWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Simien 1 AST)28
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 8:34MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q2 - 8:36TORMISS Araujo Driving Layup26
30.5%
37
69.5%
Q2 - 8:42MIAPeterson STEAL (2 STL)26
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 8:52MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q2 - 8:54TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot26
30.5%
37
69.5%
Q2 - 9:01MIABarrett STEAL (1 STL)26
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 9:19TORAraujo 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barrett 1 AST)26
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
33.9%
35
66.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)25
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 9:43TORGraham Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)24
31.9%
35
68.1%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS)24
33.8%
33
66.2%
Q2 - 9:57MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
31.9%
33
68.1%
Q2 - 9:58TORMISS Peterson 11' Running Jump Shot22
31.1%
33
68.9%
Q2 - 10:16MIASimien Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 10:26MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 10:28TORMISS Graham 11' Jump Shot22
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 10:34TORJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Simien Layup22
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAHeat Rebound22
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 10:44MIAAraujo BLOCK (1 BLK)22
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 10:49MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 10:50TORMISS Graham 6' Running Jump Shot22
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 11:11MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)22
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 11:33TORGraham 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)20
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound19
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 18' Running Jump Shot19
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0TORMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.0%
31
71.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll19
29.4%
31
70.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAHeat Rebound19
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0TORMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot19
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
29.0%
31
71.0%
Q1 - 1:14TORGraham Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)17
26.8%
31
73.2%
Q1 - 1:18TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q1 - 1:20MIAVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)17
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Payton Layup17
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q1 - 1:51TORJames Driving Layup (8 PTS)17
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)17
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q1 - 2:27TORMISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot15
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 2:46TORRAPTORS Rebound15
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
30.0%
27
70.0%
Q1 - 2:57TORGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T1)15
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q1 - 2:59TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 3:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Haslem Layup15
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 3:28TORJames 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)15
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
34.1%
25
65.9%
Q1 - 3:40MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
33.8%
25
66.2%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw Technical13
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q1 - 3:50TORVillanueva Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)13
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)13
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q1 - 4:07TORVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
37.0%
23
63.0%
Q1 - 4:07TORVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q1 - 4:27MIAPosey Reverse Layup (5 PTS)13
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 4:38TORMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot11
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q1 - 4:50TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.2%
21
64.8%
Q1 - 5:06TORJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
37.9%
21
62.1%
Q1 - 5:14TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
39.6%
19
60.4%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot11
40.3%
19
59.7%
Q1 - 5:46TORPeterson Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)11
41.8%
19
58.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWalker Tip Shot (3 PTS)11
43.6%
17
56.4%
Q1 - 6:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
41.8%
17
58.2%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS Williams 3' Layup9
40.9%
17
59.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 6:12TORMISS Sow 10' Turnaround Jump Shot9
41.7%
17
58.3%
Q1 - 6:30TORSow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
40.2%
17
59.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot9
40.9%
17
59.1%
Q1 - 6:59TORVillanueva 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)9
45.0%
15
55.0%
Q1 - 7:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 7:48TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)7
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 7:48TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)7
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 7:53TORSow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Posey 8' Turnaround Hook Shot7
45.6%
13
54.4%
Q1 - 8:15TORPeterson 12' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)7
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 8:21TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 8:24TORMISS James 21' Jump Shot7
50.7%
11
49.3%
Q1 - 8:33TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 8:57TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 9:07MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)7
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 9:21TORPeterson Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)7
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 9:41MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 10:08TORSow 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 10:28TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.5%
4
43.5%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 24
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 10:30MIASow BLOCK (1 BLK)3
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 10:53TORPeterson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 11:15TORJames Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Sow 1 AST)0
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 11:19TORSow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup0
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 11:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot0
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 11:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 11:48TORMISS Peterson Driving Finger Roll0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Sow vs. Haslem: Tip to Williams0
56.8%
0
43.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
TOR
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
34
59%
TOR
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
10
30
33%
TOR
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
TOR
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
26
32
81%
TOR
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3766%18.5 / 28
A. Walker1847%9.0 / 19
U. Haslem1558%7.5 / 13
W. Simien964%4.5 / 7
J. Posey744%3.5 / 8
S. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
G. Payton433%2.0 / 6
D. Anderson350%1.5 / 3
J. Williams0-0.0 / 3
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Peterson2867%14.0 / 21
M. James1943%9.5 / 22
C. Villanueva1336%6.5 / 18
E. Williams1179%5.5 / 7
J. Graham650%3.0 / 6
A. Barrett6100%3.0 / 3
R. Araujo550%2.5 / 5
P. Sow467%2.0 / 3
M. Bonner217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+18
-15
96
TOR
84
+9
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
TOR
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
108.7
MIA 105.4 +5.4
TOR 100.0
Pace
92.2
91.8
MIA 94.2 +1.1
TOR 93.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.7
MIA 15.3 +0.2
TOR 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
50.0%
MIA 44.4%
TOR 48.2% +3.8%
TO %
15.0%
13.4%
MIA 14.4%
TOR 10.0% +4.4%
ORB %
26.8%
25.5%
MIA 32.6% +14.4%
TOR 18.2%
FTrt
36.3
31.5
MIA 39.5 +19.0
TOR 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
52.9%
MIA 38.2%
TOR 56.8% +18.6%
STL %
6.9%
7.0%
MIA 4.3%
TOR 8.5% +4.2%
BLK %
8.5%
5.3%
MIA 3.2%
TOR 7.8% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
53.4%
MIA 50.5%
TOR 50.5%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.4%
MIA 58.8%
TOR 63.0% +4.2%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.3%
MIA 33.3%
TOR 40.0% +6.7%
3P %
34.5%
37.5%
MIA 23.5%
TOR 28.6% +5.1%
FT %
70.0%
79.1%
MIA 81.3%
TOR 82.4% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
31.1%
MIA 42.0% +9.4%
TOR 32.5%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
44.5%
MIA 37.0% +5.1%
TOR 42.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.4%
MIA 21.0%
TOR 25.3% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.724.2
Points9894
Rebounds5139
Assists1321
Steals48
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)31 (1)
Field Goals34-8137-83
At-the-Rim FG20-3417-27
Midrange FG10-3014-35
2-Point FG30-6431-62
3-Point FG4-176-21
Free Throws26-3214-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
39.5
37
66%
3
3
2
2
5
3
0
3
13-15
87%
12-21
57%
0-2
0%
Antoine Walker
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
36.8
18
47%
10
0
0
0
3
2
5
5
1-2
50%
7-14
50%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
34.8
15
58%
13
1
0
0
1
3
4
9
7-9
78%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
25.4
0
0%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
17.6
7
44%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
22.8
4
33%
6
0
1
0
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
22.6
9
64%
6
2
1
0
2
2
2
4
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
16.2
5
83%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
12.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
11.8
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
Dorell Wright
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Shaquille O'Neal
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Alonzo Mourning
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
51
13
4
2
15
0
15
36
26-32
81%
30-64
47%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.