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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs56%9298
11Clippers44%9087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
36.8
32.6
20
52%
13
4
0
1
3
2
5
8
2-5
40%
9-17
6-13
53%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
36.4
33.1
16
62%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
3-8
38%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.7
29.4
26.3
8
45%
3
9
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
18.9
23.1
9
67%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
13.1
15.3
4
40%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
30.0
22.5
20
102%
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
4-5
80%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
25.3
14.5
11
71%
3
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
18.4
22.2
3
31%
3
3
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
14.7
10.7
5
42%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
14.1
9.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
2.2
2.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
0.8
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 27.0
43.0
35.8
20
46%
10
2
0
1
0
2
3
7
6-8
75%
7-17
8-16
41%
51%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.4
33.9
30.2
16
49%
11
6
1
1
0
3
3
8
10-12
83%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
32.1
33.0
18
69%
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
5
6-7
86%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.4
29.3
32.4
8
45%
0
7
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 24.9
13.5
18.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 20.5
30.0
23.9
12
61%
1
0
3
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
28.9
27.1
10
54%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.6
16.3
19.1
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 34.0
12.1
16.2
3
52%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.3
0.8
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Ewing
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
10.6
0
1-2
42%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
3.7
0
0-0
41%
Boniface Ndong
C · 7'0" 205 · 28.6
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
Yaroslav Korolev
F · 6'9" 203 · 18.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.