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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Wizards22%9297
6Kings78%10284
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
45.0
39.6
17
44%
8
0
1
1
0
3
1
7
5-5
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
46%
0-3
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.0
44.6
30.7
17
64%
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.0
36.9
33.2
23
46%
9
2
1
1
0
4
1
8
7-9
78%
8-20
5-11
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
34.3
26.7
8
58%
7
3
2
1
5
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
26.6
14.9
12
61%
8
1
0
0
1
0
3
5
4-4
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
23.4
7.1
14
64%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
42%
2-6
33%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.2
20.2
15.6
0
0%
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.7
9.1
8.4
6
75%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.3
13.6
0
2-3
51%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
4.9
0
0-1
45%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.6
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.8
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.0
44.1
34.4
14
66%
7
6
2
1
4
3
2
5
4-6
67%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
42.3
23.2
10
51%
4
3
3
1
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.4
40.1
40.0
12
30%
6
3
2
2
1
3
1
5
3-5
60%
3-12
5-11
25%
48%
1-6
17%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.9
39.6
39.9
20
48%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
2-7
29%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.7
24.3
32.9
4
34%
9
1
0
1
0
3
2
7
0-2
0%
2-5
4-9
40%
50%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
22.4
21.3
8
57%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
18.9
17.7
14
66%
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
3
3-6
50%
4-4
1-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.9
5.0
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.0
1.1
3.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
1.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
1.1
2.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.