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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Magic34%8897
17Bulls66%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
39.9
28.8
15
70%
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
45%
1-3
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
29.8
34.7
6
29%
11
2
0
1
0
4
3
8
0-1
0%
3-9
5-10
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.1
25.5
28.9
24
71%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
7-9
78%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
3-5
60%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.0
25.0
25.4
7
41%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
20.9
24.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
27.0
22.1
12
50%
8
0
0
1
4
1
2
6
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.9
23.0
22.8
15
95%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-5
3-7
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
22.6
19.0
13
62%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
7-8
88%
3-7
3-6
43%
42%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.7
14.5
16.8
3
26%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
6.2
8.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.6
5.6
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-2
0%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.7
3.8
0
0-1
40%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 26.0
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.3
40.2
24.6
26
72%
10
1
0
0
0
2
2
8
5-7
71%
6-11
4-7
55%
49%
3-4
75%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
39.5
34.0
14
45%
3
12
7
1
0
2
1
2
2-6
33%
6-10
4-9
60%
46%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
38.0
38.3
14
36%
6
3
1
1
0
1
3
3
2-6
33%
6-15
6-13
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
30.9
29.7
10
43%
0
3
4
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
2-7
29%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.4
16.5
17.5
8
103%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.5
26.9
30.8
1
17%
7
0
0
1
2
1
3
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
25.6
30.2
12
34%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-14
4-9
29%
45%
1-3
33%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
17.8
13.5
8
50%
8
0
0
0
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
4.0
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.2
0.7
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.4
5.4
0
1-2
42%
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.0
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.1
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.