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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks33%8690
1Pistons67%9297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
43.3
38.5
25
48%
11
1
0
1
1
4
2
9
7-7
100%
9-21
8-17
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
40.8
35.2
11
39%
4
7
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
1-5
20%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
37.4
29.5
25
66%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
10-16
4-9
63%
42%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
27.2
19.9
2
50%
9
1
1
0
1
0
4
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
9.7
18.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
26.3
8.5
18
91%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-4
1-2
100%
46%
3-5
60%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.8
24.0
13.1
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
19.0
22.6
7
109%
7
1
0
0
2
0
2
5
5-5
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
12.3
32.6
2
50%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
11.5
0
1-2
46%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.7
7.1
0
1-1
46%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.1
41.0
35.5
7
36%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-8
5-10
25%
49%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.5
39.5
33.1
21
62%
10
1
0
1
0
0
3
7
2-2
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
49%
3-4
75%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.5
37.3
35.5
31
80%
4
11
3
1
0
1
3
1
11-12
92%
4-10
3-6
40%
44%
4-4
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
35.2
31.0
8
37%
11
4
2
1
2
2
5
6
0-4
0%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.1
34.9
34.4
14
46%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
5-12
7-15
42%
48%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
18.6
24.7
7
39%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.2
13.2
10.0
7
58%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
6.9
8.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.3
6.4
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
38%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
4.4
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.0
2.7
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.6
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.9
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.