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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Wizards53%100116
25Warriors47%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
43.5
39.4
40
77%
3
10
4
2
1
4
0
3
9-9
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
49%
7-13
54%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
42.6
39.0
31
59%
14
3
1
1
1
0
6
8
7-7
100%
9-18
6-12
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
36.0
20.7
11
56%
4
3
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.0
31.7
35.0
11
42%
5
3
1
2
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-12
5-12
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
16.4
13.1
4
52%
5
0
2
0
3
2
2
3
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.0
33.4
29.6
12
51%
4
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.2
16.9
14.4
4
106%
7
0
0
0
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
9.9
4.3
3
50%
1
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.3
6.0
17.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.7
3.6
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
6.4
0
1-1
46%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.6
4.0
0
1-1
49%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.8
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
38.5
37.3
18
41%
5
2
1
1
0
4
2
3
0-2
0%
6-13
6-13
46%
49%
2-8
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.6
37.6
36.4
16
62%
2
10
2
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-10
33%
42%
4-7
57%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.5
36.1
36.1
11
40%
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-4
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
1-5
20%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
32.6
33.0
6
30%
16
1
0
1
0
1
7
9
1-2
50%
1-8
4-9
13%
46%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.1
20.1
28.3
6
75%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
24.3
14.4
13
57%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.4
22.5
13.5
16
91%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
2-2
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
20.2
13.8
12
69%
6
3
0
0
2
1
2
4
0-6
0%
6-6
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
4.2
11.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
3.9
9.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.7
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.0
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.