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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hornets35%8880
20Jazz65%93104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
35.0
33.8
15
60%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
43%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.4
27.0
27.6
10
51%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
0-4
0%
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.9
26.3
35.7
11
57%
1
7
1
2
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
24.3
17.6
2
25%
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
15.4
19.8
10
51%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
2-3
67%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
27.6
17.1
10
56%
5
0
0
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
2-3
67%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.2
25.7
11.6
7
44%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.9
25.2
27.6
13
54%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-9
67%
2-5
4-9
40%
44%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.5
21.7
9.0
2
17%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
5.9
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
5.9
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
32.8
1
7-14
51%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.5
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
37.9
38.7
13
67%
6
8
1
2
5
3
2
4
3-6
50%
5-6
5-9
83%
51%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
35.0
28.3
20
89%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-5
60%
7-8
3-7
88%
44%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.3
34.6
36.9
21
55%
8
5
1
1
0
3
2
6
5-7
71%
8-16
7-13
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.8
32.1
34.7
18
53%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
1-5
20%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
32.0
29.8
15
55%
11
2
0
1
0
1
5
6
5-8
63%
5-10
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
19.1
22.7
6
58%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-5
60%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.3
17.1
15.4
4
69%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
12.9
16.7
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
41%
1-2
50%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
8.9
5.7
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
3.9
4.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.0
3.6
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.1
2.8
3.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.9
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.