FinalWin Prob.pScore
1030%91
91
670%97
96
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
102.28988.4
MIA logo MIA
109.18889.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDTinsley 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 288
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 1:10INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 1:10INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 287
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)87
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 1:39INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 2:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 2:15INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot85
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 2:23MIASimien Layup (6 PTS)85
6.9%
90
93.1%
Q4 - 2:49INDO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)85
8.6%
88
91.4%
Q4 - 3:06MIASimien Layup (4 PTS)83
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 3:08MIASimien REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)83
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Payton 6' Jump Shot83
14.3%
86
85.7%
Q4 - 3:32INDJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)83
12.8%
86
87.2%
Q4 - 3:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)83
17.4%
86
82.6%
Q4 - 3:59MIAHEAT Rebound83
30.3%
83
69.7%
Q4 - 4:01INDMISS O'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper83
33.0%
83
67.0%
Q4 - 4:22MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)83
39.4%
83
60.6%
Q4 - 4:48INDO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
30.3%
83
69.7%
Q4 - 5:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)81
23.5%
83
76.5%
Q4 - 5:34INDStojakovic 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST)81
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q4 - 5:56MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)79
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q4 - 6:09INDO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)79
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q4 - 6:30MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)79
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q4 - 6:31MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
23.0%
80
77.0%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot79
27.6%
80
72.4%
Q4 - 6:41MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
23.0%
80
77.0%
Q4 - 6:43INDMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
24.9%
80
75.1%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)79
29.7%
80
70.3%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
41.2%
77
58.8%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Simien Layup79
46.5%
77
53.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
41.3%
77
58.7%
Q4 - 7:23INDMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot79
43.6%
77
56.4%
Q4 - 7:44MIAAnderson 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Simien 1 AST)79
49.1%
77
50.9%
Q4 - 8:06INDJohnson Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)79
53.4%
75
46.6%
Q4 - 8:14INDPacers Rebound77
47.1%
75
52.9%
Q4 - 8:14INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
42.7%
75
57.3%
Q4 - 8:26INDStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
47.2%
75
52.8%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot77
45.2%
75
54.8%
Q4 - 8:57INDTinsley 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
40.8%
75
59.2%
Q4 - 9:16MIAWade Reverse Layup (15 PTS)75
34.2%
75
65.8%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
39.6%
73
60.4%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
43.8%
73
56.2%
Q4 - 9:43INDGranger Reverse Layup (6 PTS)75
39.6%
73
60.4%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWalker Layup (11 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)73
33.9%
73
66.1%
Q4 - 10:27INDTinsley 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
38.8%
71
61.2%
Q4 - 10:34INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q4 - 10:35INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q4 - 10:44INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade Layup71
32.3%
71
67.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
28.7%
71
71.3%
Q4 - 10:54INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q4 - 11:16INDPacers Rebound71
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
32.3%
71
67.7%
Q4 - 11:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Wade Layup71
32.3%
71
67.7%
Q4 - 11:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q4 - 11:37INDMISS O'Neal 22' Jump Shot71
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
32.3%
71
67.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
28.9%
71
71.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDMISS Tinsley 11' Fadeaway Jumper71
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)71
33.3%
71
66.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q3 - 1:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
41.9%
69
58.1%
Q3 - 1:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
44.0%
68
56.0%
Q3 - 1:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q3 - 1:30INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 271
47.3%
67
52.7%
Q3 - 1:30INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)71
50.6%
67
49.4%
Q3 - 1:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
46.8%
67
53.2%
Q3 - 1:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
48.9%
66
51.1%
Q3 - 1:53MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
51.5%
65
48.5%
Q3 - 1:55INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot70
53.1%
65
46.9%
Q3 - 2:13INDStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
54.5%
65
45.5%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
53.0%
65
47.0%
Q3 - 2:17MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 2:20INDMISS Jackson 15' Fadeaway Jumper70
51.0%
65
49.0%
Q3 - 2:39INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
54.6%
65
45.4%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 270
54.0%
65
46.0%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
51.6%
65
48.4%
Q3 - 2:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
54.3%
64
45.7%
Q3 - 2:59INDMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
55.8%
64
44.2%
Q3 - 3:08MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)70
58.0%
64
42.0%
Q3 - 3:27INDStojakovic Layup (17 PTS)70
53.3%
64
46.7%
Q3 - 3:38INDStojakovic Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)68
49.1%
64
50.9%
Q3 - 3:50MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)67
44.7%
64
55.3%
Q3 - 4:04INDStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)67
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIAWilliams Driving Layup (18 PTS)64
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
43.1%
60
56.9%
Q3 - 4:51INDMISS Jackson 16' Fadeaway Jumper64
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
46.9%
60
53.1%
Q3 - 5:33INDJackson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)64
50.7%
58
49.3%
Q3 - 5:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 162
46.3%
58
53.7%
Q3 - 5:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
50.7%
56
49.3%
Q3 - 5:58INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot62
52.1%
56
47.9%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWilliams Running Layup (14 PTS)62
53.7%
56
46.3%
Q3 - 6:21INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)62
57.4%
54
42.6%
Q3 - 6:39INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
61.6%
54
38.4%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 6:55INDWade STEAL (2 STL)62
57.5%
54
42.5%
Q3 - 7:01INDStojakovic Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)62
60.2%
54
39.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
56.4%
54
43.6%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWalker Tip Shot (6 PTS)61
56.4%
54
43.6%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade Layup61
62.6%
52
37.4%
Q3 - 7:38INDStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)61
59.7%
52
40.3%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)58
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q3 - 7:56INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
48.2%
52
51.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
52.7%
52
47.3%
Q3 - 8:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q3 - 8:07INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot58
60.0%
49
40.0%
Q3 - 8:24INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
62.9%
49
37.1%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
61.7%
49
38.3%
Q3 - 8:36MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q3 - 8:38INDMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot58
60.1%
49
39.9%
Q3 - 9:01MIAWilliams Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
60.8%
49
39.2%
Q3 - 9:11INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)58
64.2%
47
35.8%
Q3 - 9:11INDPacers Rebound58
67.6%
47
32.4%
Q3 - 9:12INDO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)58
65.3%
47
34.7%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)58
67.7%
47
32.3%
Q3 - 9:45INDWade STEAL (1 STL)58
70.8%
45
29.2%
Q3 - 9:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
73.8%
45
26.2%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 258
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
73.7%
44
26.3%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Walker Layup58
75.7%
44
24.3%
Q3 - 10:13INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T5)58
71.8%
44
28.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
75.0%
44
25.0%
Q3 - 10:28INDO'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)58
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q3 - 10:43MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS)56
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
72.0%
42
28.0%
Q3 - 10:55INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q3 - 10:58INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q3 - 11:00INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot56
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q3 - 11:08INDStojakovic Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)56
73.3%
42
26.7%
Q3 - 11:20INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
70.6%
42
29.4%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Wade Layup55
69.7%
42
30.3%
Q3 - 11:37INDPollard 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)55
67.5%
42
32.5%
Q3 - 11:49MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)53
64.6%
42
35.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND53
61.2%
42
38.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
64.6%
42
35.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Doleac Reverse Layup53
61.8%
42
38.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)53
60.3%
42
39.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDPacers Rebound53
62.6%
42
37.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Wade Layup53
61.9%
42
38.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDPayton STEAL (1 STL)53
60.4%
42
39.6%
Q2 - 1:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
61.2%
42
38.8%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot53
60.8%
42
39.2%
Q2 - 1:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
59.7%
42
40.3%
Q2 - 1:23INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q2 - 1:36INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
60.8%
42
39.2%
Q2 - 1:57INDO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
59.7%
42
40.3%
Q2 - 2:13INDMISS Stojakovic Free Throw Technical51
54.5%
42
45.5%
Q2 - 2:13INDMISS Foster Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 251
54.5%
42
45.5%
Q2 - 2:13INDFoster Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
56.5%
42
43.5%
Q2 - 2:15MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)50
51.4%
42
48.6%
Q2 - 2:33INDJackson 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)50
48.6%
42
51.4%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
45.2%
42
54.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
45.8%
41
54.2%
Q2 - 3:05INDJackson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)48
46.7%
40
53.3%
Q2 - 3:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
44.2%
40
55.8%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 246
45.4%
39
54.6%
Q2 - 3:32INDTinsley Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)46
43.9%
39
56.1%
Q2 - 3:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
41.3%
39
58.7%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Simien 9' Jump Shot44
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIASimien REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)44
38.1%
39
61.9%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 3:49MIASimien REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
38.1%
39
61.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Williams Layup44
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
38.1%
39
61.9%
Q2 - 3:58INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot44
39.1%
39
60.9%
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
40.0%
39
60.0%
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
40.6%
38
59.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
42.9%
37
57.1%
Q2 - 4:29INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 244
43.3%
37
56.7%
Q2 - 4:29INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
45.1%
37
54.9%
Q2 - 4:29INDJohnson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)43
42.9%
37
57.1%
Q2 - 4:29INDPacers Rebound42
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot42
39.2%
37
60.8%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
37.3%
37
62.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
39.2%
37
60.8%
Q2 - 4:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
37.4%
37
62.6%
Q2 - 4:41INDMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot42
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 4:54INDPacers Rebound42
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade Layup42
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q2 - 5:15INDJohnson Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)42
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q2 - 5:25INDJohnson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)40
34.4%
37
65.6%
Q2 - 5:25MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T5)39
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 5:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
29.3%
37
70.7%
Q2 - 5:29INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot39
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 5:49INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot39
31.1%
37
68.9%
Q2 - 5:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
29.3%
37
70.7%
Q2 - 6:03INDMISS Granger 8' Fadeaway Jumper39
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q2 - 6:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
31.7%
37
68.3%
Q2 - 6:40INDStojakovic Layup (6 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)39
36.1%
34
63.9%
Q2 - 6:43INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot37
33.2%
34
66.8%
Q2 - 7:04INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 7:04INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 7:19MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)35
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 7:21MIAHEAT Rebound35
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot35
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q2 - 7:43MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 7:46INDMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot35
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q2 - 8:01INDPacers Rebound35
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 8:01MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Simien Tip Shot35
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Walker Layup35
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 8:04MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot35
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 8:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 8:27INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot35
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 8:49MIADoleac Reverse Layup (4 PTS)35
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Wade Layup35
32.5%
32
67.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 9:08INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 9:19INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Payton Reverse Layup35
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 9:30INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 9:30INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 9:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 9:32INDMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot33
27.0%
32
73.0%
Q2 - 9:45INDPacers Rebound33
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot33
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 10:09INDJackson Reverse Layup (15 PTS)33
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 10:26MIADoleac 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 10:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Simien Layup31
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 10:46INDMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot31
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 10:59INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Payton Layup31
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 11:17INDStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)31
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 11:30MIASimien Layup (2 PTS)29
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 11:34MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Wade Dunk29
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Doleac 8' Jump Shot29
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)29
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
23.8%
28
76.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23.8%
28
76.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup27
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0INDO'Neal Driving Dunk (6 PTS)27
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q1 - 1:20MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 1:21INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q1 - 1:45MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
23.8%
26
76.2%
Q1 - 1:58INDJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 2:15MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)23
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q1 - 2:36INDPollard 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)23
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q1 - 2:57MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)21
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q1 - 3:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
23.7%
21
76.3%
Q1 - 3:05INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot21
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)21
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 3:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 3:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 3:48INDMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot19
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
25.4%
19
74.6%
Q1 - 4:24INDJackson 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)19
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)17
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 4:59INDJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)17
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 5:03INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 5:12MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 5:15INDPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)14
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 5:26INDStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Simien 18' Jump Shot14
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 5:42INDPosey STEAL (2 STL)14
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 6:05MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 6:18INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot14
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 6:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot14
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 6:52INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 7:14MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 7:33INDStojakovic Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)11
24.2%
10
75.8%
Q1 - 7:44INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup9
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 7:56MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 7:57INDMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 8:01INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
22.8%
10
77.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot9
22.3%
10
77.7%
Q1 - 8:17INDPollard Tip Shot (2 PTS)9
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 8:18INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 8:22INDMISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot7
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 8:32INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot7
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 8:53INDMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 9:15INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot7
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 9:23INDPacers Rebound7
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 9:23INDO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)7
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 9:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 9:44INDMISS Tinsley Reverse Layup7
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 9:58MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 10:07INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 10:16MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:27INDJackson Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:46INDMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot2
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 10:55MIAPosey Finger Roll (2 PTS)2
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:59INDPosey STEAL (1 STL)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 11:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
24.3%
1
75.7%
Q1 - 11:30INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:30INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:38INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 11:39INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. O'Neal: Tip to Pollard0
23.7%
0
76.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
19
79%
MIA
23
46
50%
Midrange
IND
14
41
34%
MIA
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
Free Throws
IND
18
24
75%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2265%11.0 / 17
P. Stojakovic1959%9.5 / 16
J. O'Neal1753%8.5 / 16
J. Tinsley1026%5.0 / 19
A. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
S. Pollard6100%3.0 / 3
D. Granger638%3.0 / 8
J. Foster3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2368%11.5 / 17
D. Wade2246%11.0 / 24
J. Williams1864%9.0 / 14
A. Walker1146%5.5 / 12
W. Simien638%3.0 / 8
U. Haslem583%2.5 / 3
S. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
M. Doleac450%2.0 / 4
J. Posey225%1.0 / 4
G. Payton0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+11
-11
89
MIA
76
+20
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
108.0
IND 102.2
MIA 109.1 +6.8
Pace
90.1
92.2
IND 88.4
MIA 89.3 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.9
IND 16.3
MIA 16.1 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
51.7%
IND 46.2% +1.6%
MIA 44.6%
TO %
16.3%
15.0%
IND 11.8% +0.2%
MIA 12.0%
ORB %
27.1%
26.8%
IND 18.6%
MIA 42.9% +24.3%
FTrt
34.4
36.3
IND 30.4
MIA 33.7 +3.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.7%
IND 52.9% +27.9%
MIA 25.0%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
IND 6.7%
MIA 8.0% +1.3%
BLK %
7.5%
8.5%
IND 5.8% +0.8%
MIA 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
53.9%
IND 51.1% +2.1%
MIA 49.0%
Rim FG%
57.7%
64.2%
IND 78.9% +28.9%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.9%
IND 34.1%
MIA 47.8% +13.7%
3P %
34.9%
34.5%
IND 26.3% +12.0%
MIA 14.3%
FT %
73.7%
70.0%
IND 75.0%
MIA 78.6% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
39.3%
IND 24.1%
MIA 55.4% +31.4%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
38.0%
IND 51.9%
MIA 27.7% +24.2%
3P Att. %
24.5%
22.7%
IND 24.1% +7.2%
MIA 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.123.6
Points9196
Rebounds3253
Assists189
Steals67
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (6)35 (2)
Field Goals34-7936-83
At-the-Rim FG15-1923-46
Midrange FG14-4111-23
2-Point FG29-6034-69
3-Point FG5-192-14
Free Throws18-2422-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 220 · 28
42.0
22
65%
1
2
3
1
3
2
0
1
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 255 · 27
36.2
17
53%
7
6
1
2
4
6
1
6
5-6
83%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 29
35.9
19
59%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
33.2
10
26%
5
5
0
0
2
1
1
4
2-4
50%
4-13
31%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 278 · 31
26.7
6
100%
7
0
2
1
1
4
3
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
28.0
8
57%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23
23.5
6
38%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29
13.7
3
150%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'4" 197 · 30
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 24
G · 6'2" 225 · 27
G · 6'0" 190 · 28
#44 · F · 6'10" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
51%
32
18
6
4
11
0
8
24
18-24
75%
29-60
48%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.