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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 26, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs68%99102
19SuperSonics32%93106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
42.0
28.6
12
68%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
37.6
32.7
17
59%
2
12
4
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
7-13
8-14
54%
56%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
34.8
32.0
28
73%
10
0
2
1
0
1
4
6
12-14
86%
8-13
7-13
62%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.7
26.1
26.6
17
87%
2
6
2
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
22.1
24.3
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
53%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
26.6
19.8
10
56%
3
0
2
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
20.3
24.5
6
43%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
12.4
15.8
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
11.2
17.6
5
36%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
6.9
10.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
3.6
0
0-1
54%
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
2.9
0
0-1
53%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
40.6
34.8
33
69%
2
5
0
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
8-17
4-9
47%
46%
5-6
83%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
37.7
33.7
16
63%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
5-6
4-9
83%
48%
1-5
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
35.8
32.4
19
82%
4
7
1
1
1
5
1
3
8-8
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
43%
3-3
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
30.6
29.5
14
44%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
6-14
5-9
43%
52%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.2
27.4
19.9
6
100%
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.8
24.3
21.0
8
47%
4
5
4
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.3
20.1
24.0
6
61%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.4
13.2
15.5
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.2
10.4
15.9
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.9
5.5
0
0-1
38%
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.