FinalWin Prob.pScore
2730%90
101
2370%97
108
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
120.28488.0
ORL logo ORL
128.68480.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL101
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLIvey Layup (9 PTS)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Smith Layup96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)96
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0ATLIvey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (21 PTS)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 293
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 293
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)93
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:45ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 292
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)92
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:48ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50ORLStevenson Dunk (12 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)92
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:53ATLStevenson STEAL (1 STL)92
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 2:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)92
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 2:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 2:26ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 292
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 2:26ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 2:51ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 3:11ATLSmith Layup (5 PTS)91
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 3:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)89
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 3:15ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 189
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 3:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)87
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 3:18ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 3:18ATLMISS Harrington Tip Shot87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 3:19ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 3:19ATLMISS Harrington Tip Shot87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 3:22ATLMISS Harrington 5' Hook Shot87
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 3:38ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)87
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 4:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)87
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 4:18ATLWilliams Tip Shot (10 PTS)87
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 4:20ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup85
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 4:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)85
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 4:23ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot85
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 4:25ATLHawks Rebound85
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 4:26ATLMISS Harrington 19' Fadeaway Jumper85
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 4:58ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)85
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 5:21ORLMAGIC Rebound85
5.4%
91
94.6%
Q4 - 5:22ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot85
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 5:41ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q4 - 6:04ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)85
10.9%
89
89.1%
Q4 - 6:06ORLOutlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)85
14.7%
89
85.3%
Q4 - 6:11ATLChildress 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)85
10.9%
89
89.1%
Q4 - 6:20ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)82
6.5%
89
93.5%
Q4 - 6:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)82
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 6:21ORLMISS Howard Layup82
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 6:24ORLMISS Outlaw 7' Jump Shot82
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 6:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q4 - 6:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 7:01ORLDooling 12' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 7:20ATLHarrington 15' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 7:39ORLDooling 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 7:42ATLDooling STEAL (1 STL)78
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 7:45ORLAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)78
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q4 - 8:09ATLPachulia Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q4 - 8:21ORLMilicic 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)76
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 8:45ATLHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)76
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 9:10ORLArroyo 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)73
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 9:20ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q4 - 9:21ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 173
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 9:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 9:33ATLMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot71
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 9:57ORLArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)71
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 10:21ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harrington 5 AST)71
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q4 - 10:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 10:31ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot68
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 10:49ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 10:49ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 10:55ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 10:56ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 10:56ORLMISS Ariza Tip Shot66
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 10:57ORLMISS Ariza Driving Layup66
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 11:09ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 11:11ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot66
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 11:38ORLOutlaw Layup (2 PTS) (Milicic 3 AST)66
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL66
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound66
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 63' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Ivey 8' Jump Shot66
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T11)66
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)66
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 7' Running Hook Shot66
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q3 - 1:09ORLMilicic 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)66
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 1:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q3 - 1:19ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)66
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q3 - 1:34ATLHawks Rebound66
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q3 - 1:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.5%
73
89.5%
Q3 - 1:57ATLIvey 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)66
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q3 - 2:16ORLMilicic 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)64
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 2:28ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 2:30ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot64
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 2:49ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P4.T10)64
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 3:01ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q3 - 3:01ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 264
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 3:14ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 3:14ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q3 - 3:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMISS Milicic 22' Jump Shot62
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q3 - 3:35ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 3:37ORLMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot62
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 4:05ATLJohnson Driving Layup (12 PTS)62
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 4:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 4:12ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot60
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 4:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 4:24ATLMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot60
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 4:48ORLHoward Layup (12 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)60
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 5:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
9.2%
68
90.8%
Q3 - 5:14ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 5:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 5:19ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 5:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 5:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q3 - 5:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 5:39ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot60
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 6:00ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
12.3%
66
87.7%
Q3 - 6:00ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q3 - 6:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 6:06ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 158
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 6:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
12.6%
64
87.4%
Q3 - 6:07ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup58
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 6:27ATLChildress 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)58
12.6%
64
87.4%
Q3 - 6:47ORLBattie Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)55
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 6:54ATLChildress 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 7:10ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
9.9%
62
90.1%
Q3 - 7:10ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 7:30ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)53
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 7:47ORLBattie Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)50
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 7:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 7:55ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q3 - 7:55ATLMISS Childress Tip Shot50
10.2%
58
89.8%
Q3 - 7:57ATLBattie BLOCK (3 BLK)50
10.2%
58
89.8%
Q3 - 8:18ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)50
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q3 - 8:31ATLHarrington 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)50
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 8:50ORLStevenson Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)48
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 8:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 8:56ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup48
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q3 - 9:08ORLTurkoglu 23' Jump Shot (19 PTS)48
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q3 - 9:23ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)48
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 9:27ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q3 - 9:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q3 - 9:45ATLMISS Ivey 13' Jump Shot45
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q3 - 9:58ATLHawks Rebound45
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q3 - 10:00ATLMISS Ivey 9' Jump Shot45
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q3 - 10:09ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q3 - 10:11ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q3 - 10:18ATLHawks Rebound45
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q3 - 10:20ATLMISS Harrington Layup45
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q3 - 10:38ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
10.3%
54
89.7%
Q3 - 10:38ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q3 - 10:54ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)45
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q3 - 11:13ORLNelson 7' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)42
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q3 - 11:21ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)42
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q3 - 11:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
11.7%
49
88.3%
Q3 - 11:38ATLMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot42
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL42
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound42
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 78' 3PT Jump Shot42
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLChildress Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)42
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 242
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot42
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 142
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup42
25.1%
43
74.9%
Q2 - 1:07ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)42
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 1:31ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)42
25.5%
43
74.5%
Q2 - 1:50ATLJohnson 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)42
32.0%
40
68.0%
Q2 - 2:13ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (13 PTS)40
28.3%
40
71.7%
Q2 - 2:24ATLHarrington 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)40
31.2%
38
68.8%
Q2 - 2:41ORLDooling Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
33.7%
38
66.3%
Q2 - 3:02ATLWilliams Dunk (8 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)40
35.6%
36
64.4%
Q2 - 3:07ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 3:09ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot38
32.3%
36
67.7%
Q2 - 3:32ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 3:32ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
29.8%
36
70.2%
Q2 - 3:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 3:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 3:33ATLBattie BLOCK (2 BLK)36
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 3:35ATLMISS Childress Layup36
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 3:39ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 3:53ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
25.6%
36
74.4%
Q2 - 3:53ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q2 - 3:53ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
23.6%
36
76.4%
Q2 - 3:54ORLMISS Nelson 12' Jump Shot34
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 3:56ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
21.3%
36
78.7%
Q2 - 3:59ORLMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot34
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 4:11ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)34
21.3%
36
78.7%
Q2 - 4:24ORLBattie 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)34
23.2%
36
76.8%
Q2 - 4:32ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw Technical34
25.4%
34
74.6%
Q2 - 4:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
25.4%
34
74.6%
Q2 - 4:47ATLMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot34
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 4:52ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)34
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q2 - 5:03ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 5:05ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot33
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 5:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 5:18ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 233
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q2 - 5:18ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 5:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q2 - 5:24ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot32
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 5:49ATLJohnson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
21.1%
34
78.9%
Q2 - 6:17ORLDooling 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)30
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 6:45ATLHarrington 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q2 - 6:58ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 6:59ORLMISS Battie 6' Hook Shot28
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 7:17ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T5)28
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q2 - 7:33ATLHawks Rebound28
19.7%
32
80.3%
Q2 - 7:34ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot28
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 7:58ATLChildress 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batista 1 AST)28
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 8:15ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)26
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 8:34ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 8:48ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q2 - 8:48ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 226
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 8:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q2 - 9:01ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot26
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 9:11ORLMilicic Layup (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)26
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 9:31ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 9:31ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)25
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q2 - 9:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 9:32ATLMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)24
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q2 - 9:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 9:51ORLMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot24
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 10:04ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q2 - 10:09ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 224
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q2 - 10:09ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 10:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q2 - 10:12ATLBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)23
18.6%
27
81.4%
Q2 - 10:13ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q2 - 10:14ATLMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot23
18.6%
27
81.4%
Q2 - 10:35ORLDooling Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)23
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q2 - 10:46ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)23
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 10:59ORLDooling 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)23
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q2 - 11:15ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q2 - 11:17ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot23
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q2 - 11:40ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q2 - 11:42ATLMISS Batista Layup23
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q2 - 11:45ATLHawks Rebound23
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot23
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound23
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot23
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)23
22.4%
25
77.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot23
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
28.7%
21
71.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
29.8%
21
70.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMilicic Tip Shot (4 PTS)23
29.8%
21
70.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot23
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 1:14ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 1:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 1:19ORLMISS Milicic Reverse Layup23
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q1 - 1:43ATLPachulia Layup (4 PTS)23
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 1:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 1:59ORLMISS Nelson 14' Jump Shot21
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 2:17ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)21
28.0%
19
72.0%
Q1 - 2:31ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q1 - 2:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 2:49ATLMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot19
28.6%
17
71.4%
Q1 - 2:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 3:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 3:14ATLJohnson 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 3:31ORLStevenson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)17
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 3:51ATLHarrington Dunk (7 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)17
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 3:54ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 4:03ATLWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)15
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 4:27ORLMilicic 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)13
22.5%
15
77.5%
Q1 - 4:44ATLHarrington 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)13
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 4:52ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 4:54ORLMISS Howard Layup11
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 5:10ATLChildress Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)11
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 5:21ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
19.4%
13
80.6%
Q1 - 5:43ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 5:43ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
17.7%
13
82.3%
Q1 - 5:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 5:45ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Bank Shot7
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 6:08ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)7
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 6:10ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 6:15ATLMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot7
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 6:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 6:27ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot7
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 6:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 6:35ATLMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 7:00ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (7 PTS)7
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 7:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
20.5%
9
79.5%
Q1 - 7:15ATLMISS Johnson 7' Hook Shot7
20.9%
9
79.1%
Q1 - 7:28ORLStevenson Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)7
21.9%
9
78.1%
Q1 - 7:33ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)7
23.1%
7
76.9%
Q1 - 7:48ORLStevenson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)7
24.7%
7
75.3%
Q1 - 8:13ATLHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)7
23.0%
7
77.0%
Q1 - 8:36ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)4
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 8:57ATLIvey Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 9:01ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 9:19ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 9:20ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot2
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 9:46ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 10:04ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 10:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:19ORLMISS Milicic 6' Running Jump Shot2
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 10:37ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 10:37ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:58ORLTurkoglu 22' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)0
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 11:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:07ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Hook Shot0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:25ATLMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:40ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:42ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Turkoglu0
22.8%
0
77.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.5%
ORL
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
31
55%
ORL
20
27
74%
Midrange
ATL
10
37
27%
ORL
20
39
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
ORL
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
Free Throws
ATL
26
34
76%
ORL
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington2045%10.0 / 22
J. Johnson1940%9.5 / 24
J. Childress1890%9.0 / 10
Z. Pachulia1680%8.0 / 10
M. Williams1365%6.5 / 10
R. Ivey956%4.5 / 8
J. Smith623%3.0 / 13
E. Batista0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2382%11.5 / 14
D. Howard1575%7.5 / 10
J. Nelson1558%7.5 / 13
D. Milicic1365%6.5 / 10
K. Dooling1381%6.5 / 8
D. Stevenson1267%6.0 / 9
T. Battie975%4.5 / 6
C. Arroyo650%3.0 / 6
B. Outlaw250%1.0 / 2
T. Ariza0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
71
+29
-13
100
ORL
70
+11
-14
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.5%
ORL
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.6
ATL 120.2
ORL 128.6 +8.3
Pace
90.3
88.1
ATL 88.0 +7.6
ORL 80.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.6
ATL 16.4 +1.5
ORL 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.6%
ATL 44.1%
ORL 61.8% +17.7%
TO %
16.5%
16.2%
ATL 12.3% +2.1%
ORL 14.4%
ORB %
31.5%
28.6%
ATL 46.0% +10.3%
ORL 35.7%
FTrt
34.0
36.9
ATL 40.0 +5.3
ORL 34.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
51.4%
ATL 55.9% +2.4%
ORL 53.5%
STL %
7.8%
7.3%
ATL 11.9% +8.3%
ORL 3.6%
BLK %
7.5%
7.2%
ATL 1.5%
ORL 7.4% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.5%
ATL 49.5%
ORL 65.1% +15.6%
Rim FG%
55.8%
57.7%
ATL 54.8%
ORL 74.1% +19.3%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.0%
ATL 27.0%
ORL 51.3% +24.3%
3P %
36.7%
37.6%
ATL 41.2%
ORL 50.0% +8.8%
FT %
75.0%
73.0%
ATL 76.5% +0.5%
ORL 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.9%
ATL 36.5%
ORL 37.5% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
47.2%
ATL 43.5% +10.6%
ORL 54.2%
3P Att. %
17.8%
12.9%
ATL 20.0% +11.7%
ORL 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points101108
Rebounds4137
Assists1923
Steals103
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)23 (6)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals34-8543-72
At-the-Rim FG17-3120-27
Midrange FG10-3720-39
2-Point FG27-6840-66
3-Point FG7-173-6
Free Throws26-3419-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
43.0
19
40%
6
7
2
0
5
4
4
2
3-6
50%
5-15
33%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
41.9
16
80%
12
3
4
1
0
3
3
9
8-10
80%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
38.9
20
45%
3
5
1
0
2
5
2
1
2-3
67%
6-17
35%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 20
29.4
6
23%
7
0
0
0
4
4
6
1
4-6
67%
1-7
14%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
17.3
9
56%
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
37.5
18
90%
5
2
0
0
2
0
2
3
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 237 · 20
25.7
13
65%
6
1
1
0
0
5
5
1
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
5.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 22
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
C · 7'0" 275 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
50%
41
19
10
1
13
0
23
18
26-34
76%
27-68
40%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.