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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 26, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats19%8595
6Grizzlies81%96102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.4
44.0
24.6
17
61%
3
16
3
2
0
2
1
2
7-9
78%
5-10
3-7
50%
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
38.5
22.2
25
69%
7
0
2
1
4
1
1
6
12-16
75%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
1-2
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.5
29.6
24.3
13
48%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
1-1
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
50%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.1
21.0
29.4
2
17%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
5.5
17.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
35.3
9.1
21
64%
5
1
2
0
2
2
1
4
2-3
67%
5-9
1-2
56%
41%
3-6
50%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
19.8
30.4
2
17%
5
2
1
2
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
15.0
15.4
2
17%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.6
13.8
18.5
7
64%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
13.5
13.3
4
67%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.0
4.0
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.2
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.0
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.7
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
43.1
37.8
33
63%
15
4
1
1
0
3
7
8
9-14
64%
12-20
8-14
60%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.5
40.0
33.5
5
42%
7
1
2
1
5
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
52%
1-1
100%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.4
33.9
30.5
10
45%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-5
60%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
1-7
14%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.6
25.3
28.0
4
18%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-5
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
16.3
25.2
13
71%
7
2
0
1
1
1
4
3
3-5
60%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.1
39.4
30.5
20
55%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-3
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
53%
3-7
43%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.0
22.7
17.6
11
79%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
15.1
8.3
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.7
3.0
4.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
1.4
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.1
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
2.4
0
0-1
52%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.8
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.6
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.