FinalWin Prob.pScore
2820%93
93
480%104
114
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
98.994101.2
MIA logo MIA
121.39487.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)93
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)90
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHABaxter 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (3 PTS)90
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIABarron 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)88
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:07MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:08CHAMISS Carroll 9' Turnaround Jump Shot88
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:15CHARobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CHABaxter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CHAMISS Baxter Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35CHARobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06CHAMISS Rush 20' Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIASimien 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Simien 17' Jump Shot87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04CHAPayton STEAL (3 STL)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28CHAWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIASimien 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03CHAMISS Ely 10' Running Hook Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11CHARobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39CHAFelton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ely 2 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAAnderson Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01CHAPayton STEAL (2 STL)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWalker Layup (14 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09CHAFelton Layup (20 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28CHADoleac STEAL (1 STL)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Doleac 8' Hook Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10CHACarroll 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33CHAMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20CHAMISS Carroll 18' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:32MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:32MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12CHARobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Anderson Reverse Layup71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:41CHACarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:58MIADoleac Layup (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)68
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11CHAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:16CHAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18CHAMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:35MIAWalker Tip Shot (12 PTS)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Anderson Layup68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:53MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:03MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:05CHAMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAWalker 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAWalker 12' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHAKnight Driving Layup (17 PTS)68
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)66
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHARobinson Layup (4 PTS) (Voskuhl 1 AST)66
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 1:22CHAAnderson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)64
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 1:34MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 1:34MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 1:35MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 2:01CHAAnderson Driving Layup (4 PTS)64
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)62
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 2:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 2:32CHAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 2:41CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 2:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 2:50CHAMISS Voskuhl 14' Jump Shot62
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)62
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 3:21CHAJones 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)62
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 3:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)60
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 260
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 4:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 4:07CHAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)60
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:29CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:39MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 4:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 260
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 4:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)60
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 5:09CHAKnight 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)60
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 5:23CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 5:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 5:32CHAMISS Voskuhl 17' Jump Shot58
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 5:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)58
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 5:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)58
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 5:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal Layup58
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 6:07MIAHEAT Rebound58
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 6:08CHAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot58
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 6:13CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 6:34CHAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)58
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)56
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 7:01CHAMISS Felton Layup56
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)56
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 7:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 7:33CHAMISS Knight 11' Jump Shot56
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 7:40MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)56
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 7:51CHAFelton Dunk (12 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)56
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 7:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)54
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 8:12CHAKnight 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)54
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 8:18MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)52
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 8:22CHAPosey STEAL (1 STL)52
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 8:44MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)52
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 8:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 9:00CHAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot52
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 9:12CHAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 9:13CHAMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 9:23CHAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot52
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 9:35CHAMISS Knight 13' Jump Shot52
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 9:42CHAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 9:44CHAMISS Brezec Free Throw 2 of 252
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 9:44CHAMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 252
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 9:44CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 9:45CHAMISS Knight Layup52
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 9:50MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 10:08CHAKnight 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 10:14MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)50
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 10:28CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 10:28CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 10:48MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 11:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 11:06CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 11:22MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 248
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 11:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 11:39CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA48
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)48
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0CHAKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0CHAKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0CHAFelton 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 1:09CHAEly Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)44
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)42
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q2 - 1:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q2 - 1:36CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 142
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)40
2.2%
58
97.8%
Q2 - 2:07CHAWallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)40
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q2 - 2:22MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)38
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q2 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q2 - 2:31CHAMISS Ely 9' Hook Shot38
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q2 - 2:40CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
3.1%
54
96.9%
Q2 - 2:42CHAMISS Brezec 17' Jump Shot38
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)38
3.0%
54
97.0%
Q2 - 3:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 3:10CHAMISS Ely 18' Jump Shot38
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 3:32CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 238
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q2 - 3:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 3:42CHAEly 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)38
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 4:01MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)36
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 4:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 4:17CHAMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:21CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 4:22CHAMISS Carroll Layup36
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWalker Dunk (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)36
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 4:56CHAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)36
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 5:04CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 5:25CHABrezec Layup (8 PTS)36
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 5:27CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 5:30CHAMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot34
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 5:35CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Walker Layup34
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 6:02CHABrezec Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWalker 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)32
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound32
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 6:37CHAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot32
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 6:54MIAPayton Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)32
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 6:58CHAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)32
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 7:14MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)32
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 7:22CHAMISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot32
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)32
7.6%
41
92.4%
Q2 - 7:52CHAWallace Layup (5 PTS)32
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 8:04CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Williams Layup30
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound30
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Payton 9' Jump Shot30
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 8:19CHAPayton STEAL (1 STL)30
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 8:29CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot30
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 8:47CHAFelton Driving Layup (8 PTS)30
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 9:05CHABobcats Rebound28
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 9:06CHAMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 9:31MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)28
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 9:50MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 9:56CHAPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)28
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 10:00MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 10:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q2 - 10:03CHAMISS Felton Layup28
7.4%
37
92.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIADoleac 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)28
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 10:45CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)28
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 11:07CHAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)28
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q2 - 11:28CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Walker Layup28
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q2 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 11:44CHAMISS Anderson 14' Jump Shot28
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA28
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q1 - 0:13.0CHAVoskuhl Layup (4 PTS)28
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0CHAMISS Robinson Layup26
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS)26
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0CHAAnderson Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)26
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 1:16CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot24
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q1 - 1:31CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)24
10.3%
29
89.7%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)21
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q1 - 1:44MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q1 - 1:46CHAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)21
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q1 - 2:08CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
11.1%
25
88.9%
Q1 - 2:08CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 220
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 2:27CHAKnight Layup (7 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)20
10.2%
25
89.8%
Q1 - 2:31MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 2:46CHAKnight Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
8.6%
25
91.4%
Q1 - 3:00CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
7.2%
25
92.8%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot15
7.2%
25
92.8%
Q1 - 3:17CHAWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)15
6.7%
25
93.3%
Q1 - 3:29CHAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot13
6.1%
25
93.9%
Q1 - 3:54CHAVoskuhl 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)13
5.7%
25
94.3%
Q1 - 4:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)11
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 211
5.5%
24
94.5%
Q1 - 4:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
5.2%
24
94.8%
Q1 - 4:10CHAMISS Voskuhl 18' Jump Shot11
5.3%
24
94.7%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)11
5.7%
24
94.3%
Q1 - 4:38CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)11
6.1%
22
93.9%
Q1 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
6.8%
22
93.2%
Q1 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
6.9%
21
93.1%
Q1 - 5:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
7.3%
20
92.7%
Q1 - 5:26CHAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
7.5%
20
92.5%
Q1 - 5:36MIAPosey Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
8.0%
20
92.0%
Q1 - 5:40CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)11
8.5%
18
91.5%
Q1 - 5:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS)11
9.3%
18
90.7%
Q1 - 5:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Hook Shot11
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 6:09CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)11
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 6:33MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
10.8%
16
89.2%
Q1 - 6:58CHABrezec 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)11
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 7:02CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 7:04CHAMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
9.0%
16
91.0%
Q1 - 7:12CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot9
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 7:39CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)9
8.8%
16
91.2%
Q1 - 7:57MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
7.7%
16
92.3%
Q1 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade Dunk6
8.5%
14
91.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 8:23CHAMISS Felton 19' Jump Shot6
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
8.7%
14
91.3%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.3%
12
90.7%
Q1 - 8:56CHAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot6
9.5%
12
90.5%
Q1 - 9:01CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.9%
12
90.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot6
9.7%
12
90.3%
Q1 - 9:19CHAKnight Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
9.1%
12
90.9%
Q1 - 9:25CHARobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Williams Layup4
8.4%
12
91.6%
Q1 - 9:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 9:34CHAMISS Knight 7' Running Jump Shot4
8.1%
12
91.9%
Q1 - 9:44MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 9:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.8%
9
90.2%
Q1 - 10:00CHAMISS Brezec 20' Jump Shot4
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 10:11MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 10:29CHARobinson Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 10:40MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:54CHAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 11:15MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 11:31CHABrezec Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Brezec: Tip to Posey0
13.7%
0
86.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
21
29
72%
MIA
28
36
78%
Midrange
CHA
10
34
29%
MIA
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHA
10
15
67%
MIA
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Felton2361%11.5 / 19
B. Knight1765%8.5 / 13
G. Wallace1169%5.5 / 8
P. Brezec850%4.0 / 8
M. Carroll840%4.0 / 10
A. Anderson770%3.5 / 5
B. Robinson440%2.0 / 5
J. Jones422%2.0 / 9
M. Ely440%2.0 / 5
J. Voskuhl440%2.0 / 5
L. Baxter375%1.5 / 2
K. Rush0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2475%12.0 / 16
S. O'Neal2265%11.0 / 17
A. Walker1464%7.0 / 11
M. Doleac1478%7.0 / 9
U. Haslem1083%5.0 / 6
J. Posey975%4.5 / 6
G. Payton660%3.0 / 5
D. Anderson429%2.0 / 7
W. Simien467%2.0 / 3
J. Williams330%1.5 / 5
S. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
E. Barron250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
82
+11
-12
93
MIA
80
+12
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
108.0
CHA 98.9 +22.3
MIA 121.3
Pace
93.4
92.2
CHA 101.2 +13.5
MIA 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.9
CHA 14.2 +2.2
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
51.7%
CHA 48.8%
MIA 59.6% +10.8%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
CHA 12.4% +1.1%
MIA 13.5%
ORB %
27.2%
26.8%
CHA 21.7%
MIA 31.4% +9.7%
FTrt
31.9
36.3
CHA 17.6
MIA 34.6 +17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
55.7%
CHA 52.6%
MIA 68.9% +16.3%
STL %
10.6%
6.9%
CHA 9.6%
MIA 11.7% +2.1%
BLK %
6.9%
8.5%
CHA 2.9%
MIA 6.3% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.59 and 3.59.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
53.9%
CHA 49.5%
MIA 61.3% +11.8%
Rim FG%
55.0%
64.2%
CHA 72.4%
MIA 77.8% +5.4%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.9%
CHA 29.4%
MIA 42.4% +13.0%
3P %
33.9%
34.5%
CHA 31.8%
MIA 33.3% +1.5%
FT %
72.9%
70.0%
CHA 66.7%
MIA 77.8% +11.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
39.3%
CHA 34.1%
MIA 46.2% +12.0%
Mid Att. %
46.2%
38.0%
CHA 40.0% +2.3%
MIA 42.3%
3P Att. %
18.4%
22.7%
CHA 25.9% +14.3%
MIA 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points93114
Rebounds3447
Assists2031
Steals911
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)36 (3)
Field Goals38-8545-78
At-the-Rim FG21-2928-36
Midrange FG10-3414-33
2-Point FG31-6342-69
3-Point FG7-223-9
Free Throws10-1521-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 205 · 22
38.6
23
61%
3
3
1
0
3
4
0
3
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
4-10
40%
F · 6'6" 210 · 25
33.8
4
40%
5
3
1
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 5'10" 166 · 30
28.4
17
65%
4
6
3
0
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
22.7
8
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
21.9
4
22%
3
0
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-5
0%
G · 6'6" 212 · 26
21.8
8
40%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-6
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 220 · 24
19.9
11
69%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-5
60%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23
15.1
7
70%
2
1
2
0
3
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28
14.6
4
40%
3
2
0
0
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 28
11.1
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
9.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 260 · 27
2.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'10" 255 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'3" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
34
20
9
2
12
0
10
24
10-15
67%
31-63
49%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.