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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Warriors24%90122
6Mavericks76%99121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.5
40.9
36.4
21
56%
8
5
0
1
0
2
3
5
4-4
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
40.8
36.5
40
75%
3
4
3
1
1
1
1
2
7-8
88%
9-13
6-12
69%
47%
5-10
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.6
37.9
33.2
17
44%
5
7
6
1
0
3
2
3
7-8
88%
2-10
3-9
20%
41%
2-6
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
28.1
35.7
8
63%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
1-4
4-10
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.0
23.6
21.9
6
34%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.4
24.9
16.3
12
55%
3
4
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
2-3
67%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
14.3
3.8
4
45%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
39%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
11.2
16.1
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
11.1
10.5
8
82%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
7.3
17.7
4
67%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
4.3
0
1-1
46%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.7
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.0
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
40.8
37.8
51
81%
9
5
2
1
1
5
3
6
16-17
94%
13-20
8-17
65%
50%
3-4
75%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
33.1
36.1
29
67%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
8-11
4-8
73%
51%
2-7
29%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
28.6
36.6
12
75%
4
3
0
2
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
5-11
75%
49%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
26.1
14.6
8
69%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.1
20.6
17.0
2
100%
9
1
0
0
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
27.8
27.8
4
26%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
0-5
4-9
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.7
23.1
11.3
10
87%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
21.4
23.8
2
17%
10
2
0
0
2
3
5
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
13.2
17.6
3
44%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
5.4
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.7
7.6
0
1-1
48%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
5.3
0
1-1
48%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.