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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Rockets40%8693
23Hornets60%8992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
46.9
38.2
14
55%
5
4
1
1
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
2-6
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.5
36.4
36.4
22
62%
8
1
0
0
2
5
1
7
4-4
100%
9-16
9-16
56%
53%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.1
36.3
30.8
16
83%
12
0
2
1
0
3
1
11
6-6
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
46%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
34.2
39.3
22
62%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
2-5
40%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
30.6
40.0
8
44%
2
4
1
2
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
2-8
25%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.3
23.2
16.0
6
69%
2
0
2
0
3
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.6
17.4
5.5
5
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.8
14.9
8.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.8
0.1
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.7
5.2
0
0-1
49%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.3
3.6
0
0-1
39%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.1
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.0
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.9
34.2
35.5
13
47%
5
5
4
2
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
32.4
34.3
12
51%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
2-6
33%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.4
30.9
24.8
12
43%
8
2
2
1
2
0
5
3
0-0
-
6-14
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
30.8
34.1
14
55%
11
1
1
1
0
0
3
8
6-6
100%
4-10
7-14
40%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
26.4
19.8
9
27%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-10
2-5
20%
48%
1-6
17%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.9
23.5
26.5
11
41%
0
10
2
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
20.5
16.8
10
63%
10
0
0
0
1
1
4
6
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
49%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
15.6
9.9
4
33%
4
0
0
0
1
1
4
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.2
13.8
16.6
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.5
11.9
10.2
5
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
2.5
0
0-1
42%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.8
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.