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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bucks48%99105
18SuperSonics52%100114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
38.8
37.5
26
49%
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
9-10
90%
7-17
6-13
41%
50%
1-5
20%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
33.2
35.0
14
59%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
2-6
33%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.0
29.9
36.7
2
11%
2
6
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-8
4-9
13%
45%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
23.0
26.9
9
73%
9
4
0
1
1
4
2
7
3-5
60%
3-4
4-7
75%
55%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.8
22.4
29.7
13
72%
7
0
0
0
1
2
1
6
3-7
43%
5-6
4-8
83%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
31.5
23.3
10
44%
3
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.7
24.5
18.6
13
73%
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
23.5
10.2
14
67%
5
1
3
0
0
0
3
2
0-1
0%
7-10
2-3
70%
54%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.5
12.4
2.5
4
69%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.8
0.8
4.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 26.1
6.5
0
1-1
47%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.3
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.9
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.3
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
40.1
35.0
30
78%
14
0
0
1
0
2
4
10
10-12
83%
10-14
6-11
71%
53%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
35.0
34.2
27
68%
4
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
7-9
78%
4-11
5-9
36%
50%
4-5
80%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
34.2
39.9
15
41%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
7-10
70%
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
0-4
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
30.1
30.5
12
70%
5
10
3
1
0
3
0
5
8-8
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
25.5
21.9
5
43%
6
0
2
0
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.8
29.9
13.2
14
60%
5
6
0
1
0
5
0
5
5-6
83%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.3
16.5
21.0
3
39%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.2
15.4
15.1
6
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.4
12.2
11.7
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
1.1
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.9
10.4
0
1-2
40%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.