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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs55%9492
15Nuggets45%92104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
38.8
33.0
22
46%
6
0
1
1
1
2
3
3
6-14
43%
8-18
7-14
44%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
35.1
33.3
14
44%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
5-13
8-14
38%
53%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
32.1
24.3
26
76%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
4-7
57%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
28.4
30.2
8
68%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
23.1
24.1
4
52%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
28.1
25.0
11
49%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-4
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
26.8
19.8
3
25%
2
4
3
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
12.9
18.5
0
0%
2
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
7.4
16.2
3
52%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
4.0
13.1
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
3.3
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
38.1
36.2
32
62%
3
3
0
1
0
4
1
2
6-6
100%
13-23
8-17
57%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
36.5
33.4
15
47%
6
7
0
1
0
3
3
3
7-9
78%
4-12
5-10
33%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
35.2
19.3
9
36%
21
3
1
1
2
2
4
17
3-6
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
47%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.6
29.0
27.3
17
67%
6
4
0
1
0
5
4
2
3-4
75%
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.2
22.1
21.6
6
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
29.9
26.3
13
54%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
54%
3-7
43%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.8
24.8
28.0
5
51%
10
0
1
1
0
1
3
7
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
12.8
18.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
11.5
10.1
7
60%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
1-1
100%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
8.3
0
1-1
54%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
7.2
0
1-2
46%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.8
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.