FinalWin Prob.pScore
429%89
73
371%96
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
84.98691.7
DET logo DET
94.38781.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET73
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)73
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)73
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)73
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)70
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)70
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)70
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 1:06DETWallace 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26DETPISTONS Rebound68
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot68
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 1:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)68
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 1:35DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 1:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 2:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot68
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 2:35DETPrince Driving Dunk (17 PTS)68
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 2:54DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot68
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 2:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Payton Layup68
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 3:11MIAHeat Rebound68
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q4 - 3:12DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot68
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q4 - 3:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q4 - 3:27DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot68
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q4 - 3:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 268
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 3:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)68
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q4 - 4:05DETHamilton Layup (17 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)67
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 4:08DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot67
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q4 - 4:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)67
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q4 - 4:25DETMISS Hunter Layup67
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q4 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 266
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q4 - 4:52DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q4 - 5:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q4 - 5:36DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)66
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q4 - 5:57MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (26 PTS)66
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q4 - 5:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup64
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q4 - 6:17DETPrince Driving Layup (13 PTS)64
14.3%
68
85.7%
Q4 - 6:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot64
19.3%
66
80.7%
Q4 - 6:59DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)64
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q4 - 7:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot64
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q4 - 7:30DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)64
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q4 - 7:46DETEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
40.8%
62
59.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
43.1%
62
56.9%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
46.5%
62
53.5%
Q4 - 8:09DETMISS Evans Layup64
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q4 - 8:22DETEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
40.2%
62
59.8%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMcDyess BLOCK (3 BLK)64
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q4 - 8:28MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
46.6%
62
53.4%
Q4 - 8:30DETMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot64
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q4 - 8:45MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (24 PTS)64
40.2%
62
59.8%
Q4 - 8:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade Layup62
30.4%
62
69.6%
Q4 - 9:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
33.7%
62
66.3%
Q4 - 9:03DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 262
32.9%
62
67.1%
Q4 - 9:03DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 262
29.7%
62
70.3%
Q4 - 9:21DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
28.3%
62
71.7%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot62
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
33.7%
62
66.3%
Q4 - 9:37DETMISS Delk 15' Jump Shot62
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q4 - 9:45MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P3.T16)62
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q4 - 9:58DETHunter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
33.8%
62
66.2%
Q4 - 10:26MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)62
38.2%
60
61.8%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
28.5%
60
71.5%
Q4 - 10:32DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot59
27.0%
60
73.0%
Q4 - 10:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)59
25.2%
60
74.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q4 - 11:10DETMISS McDyess 9' Jump Shot59
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q4 - 11:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q4 - 11:13DETMISS Evans Layup59
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q4 - 11:14DETEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q4 - 11:15DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q4 - 11:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q4 - 11:19DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot59
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q4 - 11:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Payton 11' Hook Shot59
25.6%
60
74.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA59
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound59
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 40' 3PT Jump Shot59
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
28.3%
60
71.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 259
27.8%
60
72.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)59
24.7%
60
75.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
28.4%
59
71.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 258
26.9%
59
73.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
28.4%
59
71.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)58
28.8%
58
71.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAO'Neal Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)58
32.8%
57
67.2%
Q3 - 1:13DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)56
28.1%
57
71.9%
Q3 - 1:40MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
36.5%
54
63.5%
Q3 - 1:57DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
32.2%
54
67.8%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)54
35.3%
52
64.7%
Q3 - 2:32DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)54
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 2:32DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
40.5%
51
59.5%
Q3 - 2:47MIAPrince STEAL (2 STL)54
44.3%
50
55.7%
Q3 - 2:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot54
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q3 - 3:20DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
48.5%
50
51.5%
Q3 - 3:20DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
50.6%
49
49.4%
Q3 - 3:20DETPISTONS Rebound54
52.7%
48
47.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
54.1%
48
45.9%
Q3 - 3:34MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q3 - 3:36DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
56.0%
48
44.0%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)54
52.7%
48
47.3%
Q3 - 4:18MIAHeat Rebound51
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q3 - 4:19DETMISS Hamilton 12' Running Jump Shot51
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q3 - 4:25MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)51
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q3 - 4:29MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q3 - 4:31DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q3 - 4:33DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)51
39.7%
48
60.3%
Q3 - 4:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Layup51
39.7%
48
60.3%
Q3 - 5:02DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q3 - 5:06DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
50.1%
45
49.9%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot51
51.4%
45
48.6%
Q3 - 5:30DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)51
54.6%
45
45.4%
Q3 - 5:46MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T12)51
58.4%
43
41.6%
Q3 - 5:58DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
62.7%
43
37.3%
Q3 - 5:58DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIAO'Neal Layup (20 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)51
64.3%
41
35.7%
Q3 - 6:24MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
60.9%
41
39.1%
Q3 - 6:26DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot49
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q3 - 6:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
56.8%
41
43.2%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
58.1%
41
41.9%
Q3 - 6:59DETHamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)49
61.0%
41
39.0%
Q3 - 7:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
66.2%
38
33.8%
Q3 - 7:05DETMISS Billups Layup49
68.9%
38
31.1%
Q3 - 7:14DETPISTONS Rebound49
66.2%
38
33.8%
Q3 - 7:15DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot49
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q3 - 7:30MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)49
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q3 - 7:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q3 - 7:55DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 249
69.7%
38
30.3%
Q3 - 7:55DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
67.3%
38
32.7%
Q3 - 8:04DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
68.6%
37
31.4%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot49
69.7%
37
30.3%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHeat Rebound49
72.2%
37
27.8%
Q3 - 8:18DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
71.1%
37
28.9%
Q3 - 8:39MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)49
68.7%
37
31.3%
Q3 - 8:53DETBillups 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)47
65.8%
37
34.2%
Q3 - 8:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
68.7%
35
31.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot47
69.8%
35
30.2%
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
70.2%
35
29.8%
Q3 - 9:22DETMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot47
69.2%
35
30.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)47
67.0%
35
33.0%
Q3 - 9:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
63.9%
35
36.1%
Q3 - 9:59DETMISS Hamilton Layup45
62.8%
35
37.2%
Q3 - 10:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
59.6%
35
40.4%
Q3 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)45
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q3 - 10:55DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot45
61.2%
35
38.8%
Q3 - 11:11MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)45
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q3 - 11:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
53.9%
35
46.1%
Q3 - 11:36DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot43
52.8%
35
47.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
50.3%
35
49.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
50.3%
35
49.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
52.8%
35
47.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
49.8%
35
50.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)41
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T10)41
49.8%
33
50.2%
Q2 - 1:29DETHamilton 13' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)41
51.1%
33
48.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)41
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 1:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
57.5%
31
42.5%
Q2 - 1:51DETMISS Billups Layup41
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q2 - 2:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
53.9%
31
46.1%
Q2 - 2:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
52.6%
31
47.4%
Q2 - 2:32DETPrince 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)39
50.7%
31
49.3%
Q2 - 2:38DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Wade Layup39
55.0%
29
45.0%
Q2 - 2:44DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)39
56.9%
29
43.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
54.2%
29
45.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)38
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 3:14DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)37
49.3%
29
50.7%
Q2 - 3:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
55.0%
26
45.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Hook Shot37
56.0%
26
44.0%
Q2 - 3:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q2 - 3:35DETMISS Wallace Layup37
57.3%
26
42.7%
Q2 - 3:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
55.0%
26
45.0%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot37
57.3%
26
42.7%
Q2 - 3:57DETPISTONS Rebound37
55.1%
26
44.9%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot37
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 4:07DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot37
55.5%
26
44.5%
Q2 - 4:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
53.6%
26
46.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)37
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
56.5%
26
43.5%
Q2 - 4:46DETMISS Billups 12' Running Jump Shot37
55.6%
26
44.4%
Q2 - 4:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
53.6%
26
46.4%
Q2 - 4:58DETMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
55.6%
26
44.4%
Q2 - 5:13MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)37
52.6%
26
47.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
50.0%
26
50.0%
Q2 - 5:31DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q2 - 5:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)35
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q2 - 5:46MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
50.0%
26
50.0%
Q2 - 5:48DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q2 - 6:04MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)35
45.9%
26
54.1%
Q2 - 6:23DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)35
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)35
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q2 - 6:47MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)32
47.0%
23
53.0%
Q2 - 7:06DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)32
47.9%
23
52.1%
Q2 - 7:20MIAPayton Backcourt Turnover (P2.T7)32
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q2 - 7:23MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
53.2%
21
46.8%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS O'Neal Layup32
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIAHeat Rebound32
53.3%
21
46.7%
Q2 - 7:40DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
52.4%
21
47.6%
Q2 - 8:00MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)32
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q2 - 8:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)29
44.8%
21
55.2%
Q2 - 8:09DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot29
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q2 - 8:22MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)29
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q2 - 8:33DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)27
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q2 - 8:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
42.0%
19
58.0%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot27
42.9%
19
57.1%
Q2 - 9:00DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)27
44.8%
19
55.2%
Q2 - 9:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
41.1%
19
58.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)27
42.0%
19
58.0%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
43.9%
19
56.1%
Q2 - 9:12DETMISS Evans Layup27
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)27
41.2%
19
58.8%
Q2 - 9:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)25
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot25
37.2%
19
62.8%
Q2 - 10:01MIAHeat Rebound25
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q2 - 10:01DETMISS Evans Tip Shot25
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q2 - 10:03DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q2 - 10:04DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot25
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q2 - 10:15DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Mourning Layup25
37.0%
19
63.0%
Q2 - 10:33DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q2 - 10:53MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)25
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q2 - 11:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)23
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q2 - 11:09DETMISS Wallace Layup23
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q2 - 11:33MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q2 - 11:47DETMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound21
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hunter Tip Shot21
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot21
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)21
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETMISS McDyess Layup21
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)21
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
25.0%
19
75.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot19
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 1:19DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
25.0%
19
75.0%
Q1 - 1:19DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 219
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)19
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 2:06DETHamilton 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)16
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 2:21MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 2:41DETWallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 2:57MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)14
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 3:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 3:09DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot14
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 3:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot14
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 3:29DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 3:50MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)14
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 4:17DETBillups Layup (5 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)12
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 4:21MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)12
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 4:43DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 4:48DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.8%
9
72.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade Layup12
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 4:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 5:01DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 5:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
27.3%
9
72.7%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Hook Shot12
27.8%
9
72.2%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 5:40DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot12
28.6%
9
71.4%
Q1 - 6:04MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 6:23DETMISS Prince 10' Hook Shot10
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 6:42MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 6:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 6:48DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot10
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 7:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
23.5%
9
76.5%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot10
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 7:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
25.1%
9
74.9%
Q1 - 7:16DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
24.6%
9
75.4%
Q1 - 7:31MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
23.5%
9
76.5%
Q1 - 7:52DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)7
21.0%
9
79.0%
Q1 - 8:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot7
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound7
23.5%
7
76.5%
Q1 - 8:14MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)7
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:16DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
23.5%
7
76.5%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)7
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 8:40DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
23.5%
7
76.5%
Q1 - 8:40DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 8:57MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.5%
5
76.5%
Q1 - 9:10DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot5
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 9:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot5
22.3%
5
77.7%
Q1 - 9:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
23.5%
5
76.5%
Q1 - 9:46DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot5
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 9:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 9:52DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 9:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 9:57DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot5
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 10:14MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 10:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
20.7%
5
79.3%
Q1 - 10:22DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot3
20.3%
5
79.7%
Q1 - 10:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 23
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 10:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
20.3%
5
79.7%
Q1 - 10:51DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 11:08MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:22DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:43MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
23.1%
0
76.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.0%
DET
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
27
48%
DET
6
18
33%
Midrange
MIA
8
30
27%
DET
17
43
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
DET
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
MIA
10
14
71%
DET
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2759%13.5 / 23
A. Walker1550%7.5 / 15
D. Wade1334%6.5 / 19
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
J. Williams542%2.5 / 6
J. Posey375%1.5 / 2
G. Payton220%1.0 / 5
A. Mourning250%1.0 / 2
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2455%12.0 / 22
T. Prince1757%8.5 / 15
R. Hamilton1753%8.5 / 16
A. McDyess945%4.5 / 10
R. Wallace727%3.5 / 13
B. Wallace660%3.0 / 5
L. Hunter220%1.0 / 5
T. Delk0-0.0 / 2
M. Evans0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+12
-15
83
DET
82
+15
-5
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.0%
DET
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
110.1
MIA 84.9
DET 94.3 +9.4
Pace
92.2
87.4
MIA 91.7 +9.9
DET 81.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
17.3
MIA 15.7 +1.9
DET 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.7%
MIA 42.6% +4.0%
DET 38.6%
TO %
15.0%
12.2%
MIA 16.6%
DET 5.1% +11.5%
ORB %
26.8%
28.9%
MIA 23.3%
DET 24.5% +1.2%
FTrt
36.3
29.7
MIA 18.9
DET 27.7 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
66.1%
MIA 75.0% +9.5%
DET 65.5%
STL %
6.9%
8.0%
MIA 4.7%
DET 9.2% +4.5%
BLK %
8.5%
9.0%
MIA 4.9%
DET 14.0% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.1%
MIA 44.0% +1.7%
DET 42.3%
Rim FG%
64.2%
59.0%
MIA 48.1% +14.8%
DET 33.3%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.0%
MIA 26.7%
DET 39.5% +12.8%
3P %
34.5%
38.4%
MIA 41.2% +13.9%
DET 27.3%
FT %
70.0%
72.7%
MIA 71.4%
DET 78.3% +6.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
28.3%
MIA 36.5% +14.8%
DET 21.7%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
49.6%
MIA 40.5% +11.3%
DET 51.8%
3P Att. %
22.7%
22.1%
MIA 23.0%
DET 26.5% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points7382
Rebounds4745
Assists2119
Steals48
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (5)33 (3)
Field Goals28-7429-83
At-the-Rim FG13-276-18
Midrange FG8-3017-43
2-Point FG21-5723-61
3-Point FG7-176-22
Free Throws10-1418-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
42.9
27
59%
10
1
0
1
2
3
4
6
3-4
75%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
40.1
13
34%
3
9
3
1
5
4
1
2
6-8
75%
2-12
17%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
33.5
6
43%
12
4
0
0
3
3
2
10
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
31.5
5
42%
4
5
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
22.6
3
75%
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
28.6
2
20%
5
1
0
0
2
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
28.1
15
50%
5
1
0
0
3
3
1
4
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
4-9
44%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
8.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
3.3
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
44%
47
21
4
3
15
0
10
37
10-14
71%
21-57
37%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.