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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16SuperSonics24%9796
5Kings76%106105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
42.1
39.9
23
55%
7
5
1
1
2
4
0
7
4-4
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
3-10
30%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
39.9
31.1
16
62%
19
1
2
1
0
3
5
14
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
52%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
33.6
36.5
15
55%
4
2
2
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
33.1
27.6
6
28%
1
10
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
44%
0-3
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
21.9
22.3
7
34%
5
0
1
0
0
3
3
2
1-3
33%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.3
23.3
17.9
13
82%
9
0
0
0
0
2
4
5
1-2
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.9
14.9
2.4
6
40%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
6-8
75%
0-4
0-0
0%
39%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.2
13.5
16.7
5
39%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.4
11.0
11.9
3
61%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
6.8
2.4
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.8
26.9
1
2-4
45%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27.6
5.3
0
1-2
42%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.4
42.8
38.8
34
69%
8
6
1
2
2
3
3
5
11-15
73%
7-14
5-11
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.9
40.0
35.8
8
31%
14
1
1
1
0
2
1
13
0-2
0%
4-11
6-10
36%
55%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.9
39.6
41.1
30
65%
4
8
2
1
0
2
2
2
7-7
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
51%
5-10
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.7
34.6
28.5
11
65%
11
4
2
1
1
2
3
8
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.1
25.8
31.9
6
28%
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
57%
0-4
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
21.8
25.0
10
39%
6
3
2
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
21.4
23.3
4
50%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
9.5
21.3
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.9
4.6
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
6.2
0
1-2
49%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
2.0
0
0-0
51%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.0
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.