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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors17%8796
2Spurs83%99107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.5
42.1
33.6
11
42%
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
41.8
32.1
15
48%
7
1
0
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
6-13
4-9
46%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
38.6
36.2
20
44%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
9-11
82%
4-13
5-12
31%
46%
1-5
20%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.6
35.7
32.9
27
64%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
9-9
100%
9-14
3-8
64%
40%
0-3
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.0
27.4
17.4
7
79%
7
0
2
0
2
1
3
4
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.4
18.4
14.4
10
46%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
5-9
1-3
56%
40%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
16.4
15.8
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
11.7
22.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
3.9
16.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
3.3
4.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
0.7
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.7
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.9
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
34.9
32.1
21
57%
13
3
1
1
1
1
4
9
1-1
100%
10-18
7-13
56%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
33.8
33.6
29
59%
3
7
0
1
0
3
1
2
11-13
85%
9-19
8-14
47%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
28.5
19.8
10
49%
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
27.8
32.6
0
0%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
24.5
24.0
10
79%
9
0
0
1
2
1
3
6
2-3
67%
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
27.3
23.6
9
41%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
21.3
18.5
4
67%
4
1
3
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
15.4
16.6
5
87%
2
1
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
14.8
21.2
13
73%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
11.1
13.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
0.7
1.7
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
2.3
0
0-0
52%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.