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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Rockets19%8372
6Mavericks81%9488
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
45.3
39.1
16
63%
7
3
1
1
2
5
2
5
6-6
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
40.6
40.4
13
55%
4
4
0
1
0
5
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
42%
2-6
33%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
38.8
39.7
6
39%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
3-7
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.5
38.5
36.5
13
41%
13
0
1
0
1
1
1
12
1-2
50%
6-15
8-16
40%
51%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.1
32.5
31.1
11
52%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-6
50%
4-8
4-10
50%
44%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.3
17.5
15.3
10
63%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.6
7.8
3.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.8
7.4
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.7
4.4
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.3
4.0
2.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
38%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.8
3.2
6.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.1
2.2
0
0-1
42%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.0
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
40.2
35.7
8
45%
7
4
2
2
1
2
3
4
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
38.3
36.0
12
50%
1
1
1
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
36.5
39.5
28
56%
4
1
2
1
0
3
2
2
7-9
78%
9-18
8-17
50%
50%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.1
19.7
15.1
5
102%
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
17.0
13.1
4
41%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
26.4
29.2
16
52%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
9-10
90%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
23.4
24.4
9
46%
9
0
0
0
1
1
4
5
3-4
75%
3-8
2-4
38%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
22.3
15.0
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.7
11.4
11.2
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
4.8
8.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.7
8.1
0
1-1
48%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
5.8
0
1-1
49%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.