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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Raptors56%102114
29Knicks44%100109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
44.9
40.8
31
60%
7
3
2
1
1
1
3
4
7-11
64%
12-20
8-16
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
43.9
38.2
11
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
2-8
25%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.7
39.4
37.4
37
72%
8
5
1
1
0
3
2
6
6-8
75%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
7-11
64%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.6
37.6
27.8
15
53%
8
1
1
1
1
2
6
2
3-7
43%
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
2-4
50%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
10.6
12.7
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.1
24.5
12.0
4
30%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
16.0
21.5
5
64%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.7
12.9
2.5
3
80%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.0
10.4
27.6
2
35%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.0
8.0
0
1-1
40%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
5.4
0
0-1
44%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
5.3
0
0-1
46%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.1
35.4
32.2
14
54%
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-7
57%
5-9
4-9
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.1
29.2
25.2
10
58%
4
3
1
1
1
4
1
3
4-6
67%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.8
27.7
15.1
19
55%
9
0
1
0
4
0
3
6
5-5
100%
7-15
3-6
47%
51%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.3
25.5
26.1
9
78%
9
2
0
0
1
5
3
6
1-4
25%
4-4
5-8
100%
55%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33.1
15.5
27.4
7
58%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 25.1
32.5
11.7
15
69%
10
5
1
0
0
0
3
7
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
50%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
21.2
24.8
16
71%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.8
19.6
14.9
12
65%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-5
60%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.9
17.2
16.3
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.0
7.4
8.5
3
44%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.4
5.3
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.3
3.6
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.3
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.