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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hawks12%8684
1Pistons88%10191
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.3
44.3
35.0
14
43%
7
2
0
1
1
4
3
4
0-1
0%
4-12
3-7
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.7
42.4
41.7
17
47%
4
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-12
6-12
58%
46%
1-6
17%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.1
41.3
36.6
23
57%
6
4
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-3
33%
8-15
6-13
53%
45%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.1
35.1
37.3
11
47%
11
2
1
1
1
4
3
8
1-4
25%
5-10
4-10
50%
43%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.2
21.9
17.7
4
25%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.7
38.3
25.1
13
67%
5
2
3
1
0
3
1
4
2-4
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.5
7.0
4.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.3
6.8
2.4
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.6
2.9
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.8
18.2
0
2-4
44%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
16.9
0
2-4
42%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 22.4
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.5
38.9
29.2
26
64%
8
4
1
1
3
3
2
6
5-5
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
3-8
38%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.5
38.1
35.8
14
39%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
47%
2-8
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.1
36.9
34.1
18
64%
2
3
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
9-11
5-10
82%
51%
0-3
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.1
33.1
29.2
14
53%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-5
80%
5-10
7-13
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
30.9
35.1
5
32%
13
1
4
2
3
2
4
9
1-4
25%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
24.4
25.9
4
50%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
20.6
16.0
10
63%
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
2-3
67%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.3
9.9
6.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
6.8
5.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.0
0.5
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.1
15.5
1
2-4
46%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.1
2.0
0
0-1
52%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.6
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.9
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.