FinalWin Prob.pScore
2545%93
107
2755%94
108
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
121.68879.9
ATL logo ATL
122.78880.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
OT1 - 0:00.0ATL107
0%
108
100%
OT1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound107
0.6%
108
99.4%
OT1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 30' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.8%
108
99.2%
OT1 - 0:02.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:12 Def:6)107
8.0%
108
92.0%
OT1 - 0:02.0ATLPachulia Tip Shot (13 PTS)107
8.0%
108
92.0%
OT1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Johnson Layup107
92.5%
106
7.5%
OT1 - 0:12.0ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T8)107
60.1%
106
39.9%
OT1 - 0:34.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (40 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)107
77.2%
106
22.8%
OT1 - 0:47.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)107
90.5%
103
9.5%
OT1 - 0:47.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)106
88.5%
103
11.5%
OT1 - 1:06ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)105
80.4%
103
19.6%
OT1 - 1:24ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)105
90.6%
100
9.4%
OT1 - 1:45ORLMagic Rebound102
75.5%
100
24.5%
OT1 - 1:45ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
72.4%
100
27.6%
OT1 - 2:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)102
62.3%
100
37.7%
OT1 - 2:12ORLHoward Layup (11 PTS)102
62.3%
100
37.7%
OT1 - 2:13ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot100
44.2%
100
55.8%
OT1 - 2:18ORLMagic Rebound100
55.9%
100
44.1%
OT1 - 2:19ORLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)100
44.2%
100
55.8%
OT1 - 2:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
56.2%
100
43.8%
OT1 - 2:39ATLMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot100
50.9%
100
49.1%
OT1 - 2:56ORLNelson Driving Layup (15 PTS)100
39.5%
100
60.5%
OT1 - 3:07ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T8)98
33.6%
100
66.4%
OT1 - 3:27ORLDooling 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)98
21.4%
100
78.6%
OT1 - 3:51ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (37 PTS)96
19.3%
100
80.7%
OT1 - 4:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
25.1%
98
74.9%
OT1 - 4:09ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 296
26.1%
98
73.9%
OT1 - 4:09ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 296
30.3%
98
69.7%
OT1 - 4:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)96
33.3%
98
66.7%
OT1 - 4:09ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot96
27.5%
98
72.5%
OT1 - 4:29ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)96
33.2%
98
66.8%
OT1 - 4:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:11 Def:6)96
41.5%
96
58.5%
OT1 - 4:47ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot96
44.5%
96
55.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLTurkoglu 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)96
34.4%
96
65.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
24.2%
96
75.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot94
20.3%
96
79.7%
Q4 - 1:05ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)94
15.7%
96
84.3%
Q4 - 1:15ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)92
11.0%
96
89.0%
Q4 - 1:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
26.4%
93
73.6%
Q4 - 1:20ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
40.8%
93
59.2%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMISS Nelson Layup92
30.6%
93
69.4%
Q4 - 1:24ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)92
31.0%
93
69.0%
Q4 - 1:29ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
41.4%
93
58.6%
Q4 - 1:30ATLMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot92
37.0%
93
63.0%
Q4 - 1:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:11 Def:5)92
29.6%
93
70.4%
Q4 - 1:56ORLMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot92
33.0%
93
67.0%
Q4 - 2:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)92
44.2%
93
55.8%
Q4 - 2:17ATLMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot92
39.2%
93
60.8%
Q4 - 2:37ORLAriza Layup (10 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)92
28.5%
93
71.5%
Q4 - 2:56ORLMagic Rebound90
24.6%
93
75.4%
Q4 - 2:56ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
17.8%
93
82.2%
Q4 - 3:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
24.7%
93
75.3%
Q4 - 3:08ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot90
17.7%
93
82.3%
Q4 - 3:29ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)90
25.0%
93
75.0%
Q4 - 3:43ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
33.2%
91
66.8%
Q4 - 3:44ORLMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot90
35.8%
91
64.2%
Q4 - 4:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)90
42.1%
91
57.9%
Q4 - 4:00ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 290
43.9%
90
56.1%
Q4 - 4:20ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
41.6%
90
58.4%
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot90
44.6%
90
55.4%
Q4 - 4:37ATLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)90
51.5%
90
48.5%
Q4 - 4:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)90
60.4%
88
39.6%
Q4 - 4:55ORLHoward Tip Shot (9 PTS)90
60.4%
88
39.6%
Q4 - 4:58ORLMISS Dooling 4' Jump Shot88
44.5%
88
55.5%
Q4 - 5:27ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)88
50.6%
88
49.4%
Q4 - 5:50ORLArroyo Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)88
58.6%
86
41.4%
Q4 - 6:15ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)86
50.2%
86
49.8%
Q4 - 6:41ORLBattie Dunk (14 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)86
56.7%
84
43.3%
Q4 - 6:55ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)84
50.2%
84
49.8%
Q4 - 6:55ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
52.0%
83
48.0%
Q4 - 7:14ORLAriza Layup (8 PTS)84
56.0%
82
44.0%
Q4 - 7:20ATLChildress Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)82
50.0%
82
50.0%
Q4 - 7:32ORLDooling 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)82
42.2%
82
57.8%
Q4 - 8:06ATLHarrington 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)80
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q4 - 8:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:11 Def:4)80
42.7%
80
57.3%
Q4 - 8:26ORLMISS Battie 5' Jump Shot80
44.7%
80
55.3%
Q4 - 8:36ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
49.2%
80
50.8%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Childress 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
47.2%
80
52.8%
Q4 - 8:54ORLPachulia STEAL (1 STL)80
42.7%
80
57.3%
Q4 - 9:10ATLHarrington 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)80
49.0%
80
51.0%
Q4 - 9:18ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
54.7%
78
45.3%
Q4 - 9:19ORLMISS Milicic Layup80
56.6%
78
43.4%
Q4 - 9:34ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
60.9%
78
39.1%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 280
60.1%
78
39.9%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 280
56.3%
78
43.7%
Q4 - 9:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:11 Def:3)80
54.8%
78
45.2%
Q4 - 9:44ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot80
59.1%
78
40.9%
Q4 - 10:01ORLAriza 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)80
53.9%
78
46.1%
Q4 - 10:10ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
48.7%
78
51.3%
Q4 - 10:12ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
46.8%
78
53.2%
Q4 - 10:25ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q4 - 10:27ORLMISS Milicic 17' Jump Shot78
44.5%
78
55.5%
Q4 - 10:34ORLMagic Rebound78
48.7%
78
51.3%
Q4 - 10:34ORLIvey BLOCK (1 BLK)78
44.5%
78
55.5%
Q4 - 10:48ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
48.8%
78
51.2%
Q4 - 10:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:10 Def:3)78
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q4 - 10:49ATLMISS Pachulia Layup78
46.9%
78
53.1%
Q4 - 10:54ATLMISS Johnson Layup78
46.9%
78
53.1%
Q4 - 11:10ORLArroyo Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)78
42.7%
78
57.3%
Q4 - 11:14ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)76
37.7%
78
62.3%
Q4 - 11:32ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q4 - 11:42ORLMagic Rebound74
28.2%
78
71.8%
Q4 - 11:42ORLPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)74
25.1%
78
74.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL74
28.1%
78
71.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)74
28.9%
78
71.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:9 Def:3)74
33.3%
76
66.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot74
34.7%
76
65.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)74
38.0%
76
62.0%
Q3 - 1:06ORLStevenson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)74
43.0%
74
57.0%
Q3 - 1:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
48.0%
74
52.0%
Q3 - 1:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
49.1%
73
50.9%
Q3 - 1:23ATLHAWKS Rebound74
52.7%
72
47.3%
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Arroyo 10' Jump Shot74
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 1:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)74
57.7%
72
42.3%
Q3 - 1:43ATLMISS Childress Layup74
56.2%
72
43.8%
Q3 - 1:48ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
52.8%
72
47.2%
Q3 - 1:49ORLMISS Milicic 5' Jump Shot74
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 2:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)74
56.7%
72
43.3%
Q3 - 2:09ATLMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot74
55.2%
72
44.8%
Q3 - 2:33ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)74
51.8%
72
48.2%
Q3 - 2:53ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)74
56.8%
72
43.2%
Q3 - 3:05ATLHAWKS Rebound74
60.5%
70
39.5%
Q3 - 3:05ATLMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot74
63.6%
70
36.4%
Q3 - 3:32ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)74
60.5%
70
39.5%
Q3 - 3:39ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
52.0%
70
48.0%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 271
47.8%
70
52.2%
Q3 - 3:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
50.3%
70
49.7%
Q3 - 3:44ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
47.5%
70
52.5%
Q3 - 3:46ATLMISS Childress 5' Jump Shot70
46.0%
70
54.0%
Q3 - 4:11ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
42.4%
70
57.6%
Q3 - 4:11ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
41.3%
70
58.7%
Q3 - 4:27ATLPachulia 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)68
38.9%
70
61.1%
Q3 - 4:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:9 Def:2)68
42.4%
68
57.6%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot68
43.9%
68
56.1%
Q3 - 5:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
47.1%
68
52.9%
Q3 - 5:08ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 268
46.5%
68
53.5%
Q3 - 5:08ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)68
43.9%
68
56.1%
Q3 - 5:23ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
46.8%
67
53.2%
Q3 - 5:23ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
45.7%
67
54.3%
Q3 - 5:27ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)66
43.0%
67
57.0%
Q3 - 5:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
38.6%
67
61.4%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
39.9%
67
60.1%
Q3 - 6:03ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
42.8%
67
57.2%
Q3 - 6:03ATLChildress Tip Shot (6 PTS)66
42.8%
67
57.2%
Q3 - 6:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
46.5%
65
53.5%
Q3 - 6:04ATLMISS Childress Layup66
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 6:08ATLMISS Harrington Layup66
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 6:28ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
46.5%
65
53.5%
Q3 - 6:29ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot66
47.8%
65
52.2%
Q3 - 6:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q3 - 6:45ATLMISS Johnson 23' Jump Shot66
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 6:53ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
46.6%
65
53.4%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 266
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 266
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 7:08ATLSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)66
50.4%
65
49.6%
Q3 - 7:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q3 - 7:20ORLMISS Battie 6' Jump Shot66
47.3%
65
52.7%
Q3 - 7:47ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)66
50.4%
65
49.6%
Q3 - 8:08ORLTurkoglu Layup (14 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)66
57.4%
62
42.6%
Q3 - 8:22ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P3.T3)64
54.1%
62
45.9%
Q3 - 8:34ORLMagic Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#4)64
49.8%
62
50.2%
Q3 - 8:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
54.1%
62
45.9%
Q3 - 8:43ATLMISS Harrington Layup64
52.8%
62
47.2%
Q3 - 8:49ORLBattie 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)64
49.8%
62
50.2%
Q3 - 9:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
46.0%
62
54.0%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 262
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 262
43.2%
62
56.8%
Q3 - 9:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
42.3%
62
57.7%
Q3 - 9:12ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
44.9%
62
55.1%
Q3 - 9:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
42.3%
62
57.7%
Q3 - 9:25ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot62
43.4%
62
56.6%
Q3 - 9:41ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
46.0%
62
54.0%
Q3 - 10:01ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T3)62
49.2%
60
50.8%
Q3 - 10:15ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:9 Def:1)62
53.2%
60
46.8%
Q3 - 10:15ATLPachulia Tip Shot (7 PTS)62
53.2%
60
46.8%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Ivey 4' Jump Shot62
59.0%
58
41.0%
Q3 - 10:39ORLBattie 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
56.3%
58
43.7%
Q3 - 11:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
52.8%
58
47.2%
Q3 - 11:03ATLMISS Ivey 6' Jump Shot60
51.7%
58
48.3%
Q3 - 11:24ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
49.2%
58
50.8%
Q3 - 11:41ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
45.9%
58
54.1%
Q3 - 11:42ATLMISS Ivey 18' Jump Shot58
44.8%
58
55.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL58
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
41.7%
58
58.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
38.9%
58
61.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Smith Layup56
38.2%
58
61.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
36.7%
58
63.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
32.8%
58
67.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS)54
32.8%
58
67.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
38.2%
56
61.8%
Q2 - 1:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
37.2%
56
62.8%
Q2 - 1:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q2 - 1:28ATLHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)52
32.9%
56
67.1%
Q2 - 1:46ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 1:57ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
35.8%
53
64.2%
Q2 - 1:59ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 250
35.6%
53
64.4%
Q2 - 1:59ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
33.5%
53
66.5%
Q2 - 1:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:8 Def:1)50
37.2%
52
62.8%
Q2 - 2:00ATLMISS Pachulia Layup50
38.3%
52
61.7%
Q2 - 2:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)50
36.7%
52
63.3%
Q2 - 2:02ATLMISS Pachulia Layup50
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q2 - 2:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)50
36.7%
52
63.3%
Q2 - 2:06ATLMISS Childress Layup50
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q2 - 2:22ORLNelson 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q2 - 2:41ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)48
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q2 - 2:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
39.7%
49
60.3%
Q2 - 2:48ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot48
40.6%
49
59.4%
Q2 - 3:19ATLHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)48
42.8%
49
57.2%
Q2 - 3:40ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)48
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q2 - 3:58ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
45.7%
46
54.3%
Q2 - 4:06ORLHarrington STEAL (1 STL)46
48.2%
44
51.8%
Q2 - 4:19ATLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
51.1%
44
48.9%
Q2 - 4:41ATLHAWKS Rebound46
54.0%
42
46.0%
Q2 - 4:41ORLMISS Arroyo 5' Jump Shot46
54.9%
42
45.1%
Q2 - 5:01ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)46
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q2 - 5:06ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
59.2%
40
40.8%
Q2 - 5:06ORLAriza Layup (4 PTS)46
59.2%
40
40.8%
Q2 - 5:08ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
56.7%
40
43.3%
Q2 - 5:08ORLMISS Ariza Tip Shot44
54.6%
40
45.4%
Q2 - 5:10ORLMISS Dooling 7' Jump Shot44
54.6%
40
45.4%
Q2 - 5:34ATLHarrington Dunk (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)44
56.7%
40
43.3%
Q2 - 5:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
59.2%
38
40.8%
Q2 - 5:38ORLMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot44
60.1%
38
39.9%
Q2 - 6:01ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
61.8%
38
38.2%
Q2 - 6:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
63.9%
36
36.1%
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Arroyo 5' Jump Shot44
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 6:36ATLJohnson 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)44
66.9%
36
33.1%
Q2 - 6:47ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
68.8%
34
31.2%
Q2 - 6:47ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
68.1%
34
31.9%
Q2 - 6:52ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
66.9%
34
33.1%
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Harrington Layup42
66.0%
34
34.0%
Q2 - 7:01ATLHAWKS Rebound42
63.3%
34
36.7%
Q2 - 7:01ATLMISS Pachulia Layup42
65.1%
34
34.9%
Q2 - 7:21ORLArroyo 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
63.3%
34
36.7%
Q2 - 7:43ATLHarrington 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)40
61.1%
34
38.9%
Q2 - 7:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)40
63.4%
32
36.6%
Q2 - 7:51ATLMISS Stoudamire 16' Jump Shot40
65.2%
32
34.8%
Q2 - 8:13ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
62.8%
32
37.2%
Q2 - 8:13ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 8:30ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 8:32ATLMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot38
59.8%
32
40.2%
Q2 - 8:52ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
57.9%
32
42.1%
Q2 - 8:54ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 8:54ORLMISS Outlaw Tip Shot38
58.7%
32
41.3%
Q2 - 8:56ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot38
58.7%
32
41.3%
Q2 - 9:15ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
60.1%
32
39.9%
Q2 - 9:16ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 9:22ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 9:24ORLMISS Milicic 23' Jump Shot38
58.2%
32
41.8%
Q2 - 9:31ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
60.1%
32
39.9%
Q2 - 9:34ATLMISS Harrington 5' Jump Shot38
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 9:49ORLDooling Reverse Layup (6 PTS)38
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 10:08ATLHarrington 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
54.9%
32
45.1%
Q2 - 10:26ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 10:26ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
56.7%
30
43.3%
Q2 - 10:39ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
54.9%
30
45.1%
Q2 - 10:39ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
55.2%
29
44.8%
Q2 - 10:46ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
57.1%
28
42.9%
Q2 - 10:47ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot34
57.9%
28
42.1%
Q2 - 11:09ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
59.0%
28
41.0%
Q2 - 11:10ATLMISS Harrington 8' Jump Shot34
58.3%
28
41.7%
Q2 - 11:31ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
56.7%
28
43.3%
Q2 - 11:31ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 11:40ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
54.3%
28
45.7%
Q2 - 11:42ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot32
53.6%
28
46.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL32
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound32
54.3%
28
45.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)32
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot32
53.6%
28
46.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup32
53.6%
28
46.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup32
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot32
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLMilicic 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)30
48.9%
28
51.1%
Q1 - 1:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
47.0%
28
53.0%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot30
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q1 - 1:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
48.9%
28
51.1%
Q1 - 1:21ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
48.3%
28
51.7%
Q1 - 1:40ORLMilicic 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q1 - 1:57ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)28
44.2%
28
55.8%
Q1 - 2:13ORLStevenson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)28
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q1 - 2:39ATLPachulia 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)26
44.5%
26
55.5%
Q1 - 2:53ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)26
47.0%
24
53.0%
Q1 - 3:08ATLSmith 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
44.5%
24
55.5%
Q1 - 3:24ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)24
46.5%
22
53.5%
Q1 - 3:39ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q1 - 3:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
53.3%
19
46.7%
Q1 - 3:41ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot24
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 4:04ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
52.8%
19
47.2%
Q1 - 4:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)22
51.1%
19
48.9%
Q1 - 4:29ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)21
48.9%
19
51.1%
Q1 - 4:59ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 5:13ATLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 5:33ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)19
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 5:47ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
46.3%
15
53.7%
Q1 - 5:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 5:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 5:51ORLMISS Stevenson 16' Jump Shot16
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 6:17ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)16
49.9%
13
50.1%
Q1 - 6:33ORLStevenson Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)16
53.9%
10
46.1%
Q1 - 6:38ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)14
51.9%
10
48.1%
Q1 - 6:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 6:56ORLHoward Dunk (4 PTS)14
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 6:58ORLMISS Howard Layup12
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 7:16ATLHarrington 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
47.6%
10
52.4%
Q1 - 7:25ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 7:25ORLBattie Layup (8 PTS)12
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 7:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Jump Shot10
46.1%
8
53.9%
Q1 - 7:38ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 7:40ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot10
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 8:01ORLBattie 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)10
45.7%
8
54.3%
Q1 - 8:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 8:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 18
43.7%
8
56.3%
Q1 - 8:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:22ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot8
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 8:25ATLHAWKS Rebound8
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:25ATLMISS Pachulia Layup8
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 8:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
45.3%
6
54.7%
Q1 - 8:57ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 9:10ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 9:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:30ATLMISS Pachulia Layup4
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 9:35ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.6%
4
58.4%
Q1 - 9:36ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot4
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 9:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:55ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS)4
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot4
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 10:16ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 10:33ATLIvey 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)2
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:51ORLBattie 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 11:02ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:11ATLHAWKS Rebound0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:35ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:37ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Battie0
43.5%
0
56.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.0%
ATL
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
20
36
56%
ATL
16
38
42%
Midrange
ORL
17
40
43%
ATL
20
40
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
ATL
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
24
29
83%
ATL
12
20
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson1856%9.0 / 16
H. Turkoglu1689%8.0 / 9
T. Battie1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard1346%6.5 / 14
K. Dooling1246%6.0 / 13
D. Stevenson1063%5.0 / 8
C. Arroyo1050%5.0 / 10
T. Ariza1063%5.0 / 8
D. Milicic433%2.0 / 6
B. Outlaw0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson4080%20.0 / 25
A. Harrington2450%12.0 / 24
J. Smith1568%7.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia1336%6.5 / 18
J. Childress633%3.0 / 9
M. Williams643%3.0 / 7
R. Ivey225%1.0 / 4
S. Stoudamire220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
81
+15
-7
96
ATL
80
+22
-8
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.0%
ATL
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.6
ORL 121.6
ATL 122.7 +1.1
Pace
88.1
90.3
ORL 79.9
ATL 80.6 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.8
ORL 18.0
ATL 17.9 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
48.6%
ORL 50.6%
ATL 51.1% +0.5%
TO %
16.2%
16.5%
ORL 7.8%
ATL 7.2% +0.6%
ORB %
28.6%
31.5%
ORL 28.9%
ATL 37.5% +8.6%
FTrt
36.9
34.0
ORL 35.4 +14.1
ATL 21.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
55.2%
ORL 47.5%
ATL 61.4% +13.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.8%
ORL 4.5% +2.2%
ATL 2.3%
BLK %
7.2%
7.5%
ORL 6.4% +1.1%
ATL 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
51.8%
ORL 54.0% +3.1%
ATL 50.9%
Rim FG%
57.7%
55.8%
ORL 55.6% +13.5%
ATL 42.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.3%
ORL 42.5%
ATL 50.0% +7.5%
3P %
37.6%
36.7%
ORL 50.0%
ATL 50.0%
FT %
73.0%
75.0%
ORL 82.8% +22.8%
ATL 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
39.3%
ORL 43.9% +3.5%
ATL 40.4%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
43.0%
ORL 48.8%
ATL 42.6% +6.2%
3P Att. %
12.9%
17.8%
ORL 7.3%
ATL 17.0% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes26.426.2
Points107108
Rebounds4145
Assists1927
Steals42
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)18 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)27 (3)
Field Goals40-8244-94
At-the-Rim FG20-3616-38
Midrange FG17-4020-40
2-Point FG37-7636-78
3-Point FG3-68-16
Free Throws24-2912-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
41.9
13
46%
15
4
2
2
2
4
4
11
3-6
50%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
41.0
14
64%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-2
0%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
33.4
16
89%
2
4
1
0
1
3
0
2
7-7
100%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
32.3
18
56%
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
6-12
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
27.7
10
63%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
25.3
12
46%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.7
10
50%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
19.6
10
63%
8
5
1
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
17.1
4
33%
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
6.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#41 · C · 7'1" 260 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
107
54%
41
19
4
5
7
0
11
30
24-29
83%
37-76
49%
3-6
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.