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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nuggets44%92109
21Hornets56%9494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
37.8
36.7
28
65%
3
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5-6
83%
10-16
9-18
63%
49%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
33.1
34.4
17
47%
4
7
3
1
0
3
1
3
7-9
78%
5-13
5-10
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.6
26.9
28.3
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
51%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.2
21.1
22.1
17
82%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
6-7
4-8
86%
50%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
12.0
21.1
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.8
39.2
23.8
5
28%
16
2
2
1
0
3
5
11
1-2
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
32.2
24.2
19
63%
5
2
3
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
5-12
42%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
17.0
6.8
5
47%
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-4
25%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
16.3
2.3
4
53%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
2.2
10.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
2.2
1.9
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
26.1
1
4-8
47%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
35.1
32.2
24
67%
8
0
1
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
12-18
7-13
67%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.9
34.5
37.0
11
43%
4
10
4
2
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
29.2
28.8
4
19%
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0
1-3
33%
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
1-7
14%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.4
23.4
25.1
8
60%
10
2
0
1
1
1
6
4
6-6
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
15.7
24.3
12
61%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.9
29.6
23.4
6
36%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
19.7
9.0
11
80%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
1-1
100%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
19.0
16.7
3
80%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.2
18.5
20.2
10
63%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.5
12.8
7.9
3
17%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-3
0%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.6
2.6
3.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.4
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.