FinalWin Prob.pScore
459%97
85
1941%94
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.49386.3
CHI logo CHI
89.494101.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI85
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound85
94.4%
84
5.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot85
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
65.8%
84
34.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
73.3%
84
26.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
80.4%
84
19.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0CHIMISS Sweetney 9' Hook Shot85
75.5%
84
24.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
63.3%
84
36.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot85
68.0%
84
32.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
77.6%
84
22.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot85
67.7%
84
32.3%
Q4 - 1:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
75.7%
84
24.3%
Q4 - 1:15CHIMISS Duhon 7' Jump Shot85
71.9%
84
28.1%
Q4 - 1:38CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
63.1%
84
36.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Posey 13' Jump Shot85
67.0%
84
33.0%
Q4 - 2:05CHISweetney Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)85
76.1%
84
23.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
62.4%
84
37.6%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 284
60.2%
84
39.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
67.1%
84
32.9%
Q4 - 2:17CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
62.5%
84
37.5%
Q4 - 2:24CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
50.9%
84
49.1%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
56.2%
84
43.8%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
67.6%
84
32.4%
Q4 - 2:46CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 2 of 284
65.5%
84
34.5%
Q4 - 2:46CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)84
59.6%
84
40.4%
Q4 - 2:46CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
62.3%
83
37.7%
Q4 - 2:46CHIMISS Deng Layup84
72.9%
83
27.1%
Q4 - 2:59MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)84
61.4%
83
38.6%
Q4 - 3:17CHINocioni Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)81
44.9%
83
55.1%
Q4 - 3:26CHIBULLS Rebound81
30.2%
83
69.8%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot81
34.5%
83
65.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
44.6%
83
55.4%
Q4 - 3:49CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 281
43.3%
83
56.7%
Q4 - 3:49CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
37.0%
83
63.0%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
43.9%
82
56.1%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
42.1%
82
57.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot79
29.3%
82
70.7%
Q4 - 4:27MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
35.1%
82
64.9%
Q4 - 4:29CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 2 of 279
33.9%
82
66.1%
Q4 - 4:29CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
29.1%
82
70.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
34.5%
81
65.5%
Q4 - 4:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q4 - 4:58CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)77
26.8%
81
73.2%
Q4 - 5:03CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
46.1%
78
53.9%
Q4 - 5:05CHIMISS Nocioni 19' Jump Shot77
52.1%
78
47.9%
Q4 - 5:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
46.0%
78
54.0%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot77
48.7%
78
51.3%
Q4 - 5:36CHIDuhon 19' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)77
54.7%
78
45.3%
Q4 - 5:58MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P10.T23)77
62.5%
76
37.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAHeat Rebound77
70.0%
76
30.0%
Q4 - 6:16CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
67.8%
76
32.2%
Q4 - 6:21CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
62.3%
76
37.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot77
64.7%
76
35.3%
Q4 - 6:47CHIDeng Driving Layup (19 PTS)77
70.0%
76
30.0%
Q4 - 7:03MIAWade Foul Turnover (P9.T22)77
74.6%
74
25.4%
Q4 - 7:03MIAHeat Rebound77
80.0%
74
20.0%
Q4 - 7:03MIADeng BLOCK (2 BLK)77
76.4%
74
23.6%
Q4 - 7:21CHIDeng Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T18)77
80.1%
74
19.9%
Q4 - 7:36CHIBULLS Rebound77
74.6%
74
25.4%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot77
76.4%
74
23.6%
Q4 - 7:57CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
80.1%
74
19.9%
Q4 - 8:09MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)77
85.8%
71
14.2%
Q4 - 8:32CHIDuhon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)74
78.6%
71
21.4%
Q4 - 8:38CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
85.9%
68
14.1%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot74
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAHeat Rebound74
88.8%
68
11.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Wade Layup74
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q4 - 9:13CHINocioni Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)74
87.9%
68
12.1%
Q4 - 9:31MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)74
85.0%
68
15.0%
Q4 - 9:42MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
81.8%
68
18.2%
Q4 - 9:45CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
80.7%
68
19.3%
Q4 - 10:01CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
76.7%
68
23.3%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 272
77.3%
68
22.7%
Q4 - 10:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
78.9%
68
21.1%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHeat Rebound71
77.1%
68
22.9%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Williams Layup71
74.0%
68
26.0%
Q4 - 10:26CHISweetney Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)71
77.1%
68
22.9%
Q4 - 10:43CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
72.5%
68
27.5%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 171
73.2%
68
26.8%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
68.2%
68
31.8%
Q4 - 10:50CHIMISS Gordon 13' Jump Shot69
66.5%
68
33.5%
Q4 - 11:00CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
62.6%
68
37.4%
Q4 - 11:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
67.2%
68
32.8%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Walker Layup69
63.7%
68
36.3%
Q4 - 11:04MIANocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)69
63.7%
68
36.3%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
67.3%
68
32.7%
Q4 - 11:23CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot69
65.7%
68
34.3%
Q4 - 11:39CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
62.1%
68
37.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot69
63.7%
68
36.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
67.3%
68
32.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
67.3%
68
32.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot69
65.8%
68
34.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
62.6%
68
37.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0CHIPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)69
67.2%
68
32.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWalker Driving Layup (10 PTS)69
75.6%
65
24.4%
Q3 - 1:03CHINocioni Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)67
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q3 - 1:14MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q3 - 1:14MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
66.2%
65
33.8%
Q3 - 1:18CHIPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)65
62.9%
65
37.1%
Q3 - 1:40MIAWalker Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)65
58.0%
65
42.0%
Q3 - 1:44CHIPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)63
53.3%
65
46.7%
Q3 - 1:49CHIBULLS Rebound63
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q3 - 1:50CHIMISS Nocioni Layup63
51.8%
65
48.2%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)63
48.5%
65
51.5%
Q3 - 2:20CHINocioni Layup (13 PTS)60
39.7%
65
60.3%
Q3 - 2:22CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
43.8%
63
56.2%
Q3 - 2:25CHIMISS Allen 11' Hook Shot60
47.3%
63
52.7%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMourning Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)60
43.8%
63
56.2%
Q3 - 2:44MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
48.9%
63
51.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
45.4%
63
54.6%
Q3 - 3:09CHIPargo Layup (4 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)60
49.5%
63
50.5%
Q3 - 3:14MIANocioni STEAL (1 STL)60
53.7%
61
46.3%
Q3 - 3:25CHIPargo Foul Turnover (P1.T12)60
58.4%
61
41.6%
Q3 - 3:32CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
53.7%
61
46.3%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Williams Layup60
55.1%
61
44.9%
Q3 - 3:47CHIDeng Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)60
58.4%
61
41.6%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)60
62.4%
59
37.6%
Q3 - 4:23CHIAllen 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)57
54.5%
59
45.5%
Q3 - 4:34CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
58.1%
57
41.9%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 257
58.8%
57
41.2%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)57
60.9%
57
39.1%
Q3 - 5:00CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)56
58.8%
57
41.2%
Q3 - 5:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)56
62.5%
55
37.5%
Q3 - 5:16MIAHeat Rebound56
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Anderson 23' Jump Shot56
63.8%
55
36.2%
Q3 - 5:43CHIGordon 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade Foul Turnover (P8.T18)56
69.9%
53
30.1%
Q3 - 6:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
73.2%
53
26.8%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
70.8%
53
29.2%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
73.2%
53
26.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
70.8%
53
29.2%
Q3 - 6:38CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)56
73.2%
53
26.8%
Q3 - 6:38CHIBULLS Rebound56
69.7%
53
30.3%
Q3 - 6:38CHIMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot56
72.2%
53
27.8%
Q3 - 7:11MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)56
68.9%
53
31.1%
Q3 - 7:11CHISchenscher 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)56
72.6%
53
27.4%
Q3 - 7:23MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)56
69.0%
53
31.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
72.7%
53
27.3%
Q3 - 7:34CHIMISS Schenscher Layup56
71.6%
53
28.4%
Q3 - 7:49CHIBULLS Rebound56
69.0%
53
31.0%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot56
70.2%
53
29.8%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
72.7%
53
27.3%
Q3 - 7:52MIASchenscher BLOCK (1 BLK)56
70.2%
53
29.8%
Q3 - 8:12CHIPargo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)56
72.7%
53
27.3%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
75.2%
51
24.8%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
74.6%
51
25.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
72.7%
51
27.3%
Q3 - 8:35CHIMISS Allen Layup54
71.6%
51
28.4%
Q3 - 8:46CHIBULLS Rebound54
69.1%
51
30.9%
Q3 - 8:47CHIMISS Hinrich Layup54
71.6%
51
28.4%
Q3 - 8:51MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)54
69.1%
51
30.9%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)54
72.7%
51
27.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAHeat Rebound53
69.5%
51
30.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
67.0%
51
33.0%
Q3 - 9:13MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
69.2%
51
30.8%
Q3 - 9:15CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
68.3%
51
31.7%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
66.0%
51
34.0%
Q3 - 9:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
59.2%
51
40.8%
Q3 - 9:48CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 150
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q3 - 9:50MIADeng STEAL (2 STL)50
62.6%
49
37.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 9:59CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot50
65.0%
49
35.0%
Q3 - 10:05CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot50
64.0%
49
36.0%
Q3 - 10:21MIAHeat Rebound50
66.4%
49
33.6%
Q3 - 10:23CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.3%
49
34.7%
Q3 - 10:34MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)50
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q3 - 10:49CHIAllen Layup (10 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)50
66.4%
49
33.6%
Q3 - 11:07MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)50
69.6%
47
30.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q3 - 11:24CHIMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot48
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q3 - 11:33CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
63.4%
47
36.6%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot48
64.4%
47
35.6%
Q3 - 11:51CHIChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T9)48
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
63.3%
47
36.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot48
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
64.0%
47
36.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
63.3%
47
36.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0CHIDuhon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
60.0%
47
40.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot46
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0CHINocioni Layup (11 PTS) (Schenscher 1 AST)46
60.0%
47
40.0%
Q2 - 1:03CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
64.3%
45
35.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Payton Layup46
64.7%
45
35.3%
Q2 - 1:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
65.8%
45
34.2%
Q2 - 1:21CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot46
65.3%
45
34.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)46
64.3%
45
35.7%
Q2 - 1:49CHINocioni 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)43
56.6%
45
43.4%
Q2 - 2:01MIASchenscher STEAL (1 STL)43
60.7%
43
39.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
63.4%
43
36.6%
Q2 - 2:14CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q2 - 2:23CHINocioni Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
60.7%
43
39.3%
Q2 - 2:23CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 243
61.2%
42
38.8%
Q2 - 2:28CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
63.7%
42
36.3%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot43
64.5%
42
35.5%
Q2 - 2:51CHINocioni 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)43
66.2%
42
33.8%
Q2 - 3:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
68.9%
40
31.1%
Q2 - 3:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
67.7%
40
32.3%
Q2 - 3:16MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
66.6%
40
33.4%
Q2 - 3:18CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
63.5%
40
36.5%
Q2 - 3:18CHIMISS Nocioni Tip Shot41
65.6%
40
34.4%
Q2 - 3:21CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot41
65.6%
40
34.4%
Q2 - 3:33MIAPayton Layup (7 PTS)41
63.5%
40
36.5%
Q2 - 3:44MIAHeat Rebound39
61.0%
40
39.0%
Q2 - 3:44MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)39
58.8%
40
41.2%
Q2 - 3:49CHIDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)39
61.0%
40
39.0%
Q2 - 4:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 238
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 4:10MIAHeat Rebound38
58.3%
40
41.7%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
56.4%
40
43.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
58.3%
40
41.7%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS O'Neal Layup38
56.4%
40
43.6%
Q2 - 4:34CHIDeng Layup (11 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)38
58.3%
40
41.7%
Q2 - 4:41CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
61.1%
38
38.9%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Walker Layup38
61.9%
38
38.1%
Q2 - 4:54MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)38
63.8%
38
36.2%
Q2 - 5:13CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
61.4%
38
38.6%
Q2 - 5:30MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)37
63.8%
36
36.2%
Q2 - 5:46CHIAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
58.7%
36
41.3%
Q2 - 6:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
56.0%
36
44.0%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 233
54.8%
36
45.2%
Q2 - 6:14MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 6:16CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
55.5%
36
44.5%
Q2 - 6:19CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 6:21CHIMISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot33
55.5%
36
44.5%
Q2 - 6:26CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Walker Layup33
54.2%
36
45.8%
Q2 - 6:48CHIAllen 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)33
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 6:59CHIHinrich Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)33
58.6%
34
41.4%
Q2 - 7:00MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)33
61.3%
33
38.7%
Q2 - 7:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 7:05CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
63.5%
33
36.5%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)33
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 7:25CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 7:35CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Walker 22' Jump Shot33
62.5%
33
37.5%
Q2 - 7:50CHINocioni Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)33
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 7:54CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot33
62.5%
33
37.5%
Q2 - 8:17CHINocioni 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)33
64.2%
33
35.8%
Q2 - 8:22CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 8:24CHIMISS Nocioni 21' Jump Shot33
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 8:39MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T9)33
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 8:52CHIHinrich 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
68.8%
31
31.2%
Q2 - 9:07MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)33
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q2 - 9:36CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)30
66.5%
29
33.5%
Q2 - 9:43CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
70.6%
26
29.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Payton Layup30
71.3%
26
28.7%
Q2 - 9:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
72.9%
26
27.1%
Q2 - 9:52CHIMISS Duhon Layup30
72.2%
26
27.8%
Q2 - 9:54CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
70.6%
26
29.4%
Q2 - 9:56CHIMISS Duhon Layup30
72.2%
26
27.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAPayton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
70.3%
26
29.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
68.5%
26
31.5%
Q2 - 10:23CHIMISS Duhon 22' Jump Shot28
67.7%
26
32.3%
Q2 - 10:34CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
66.0%
26
34.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot28
66.8%
26
33.2%
Q2 - 10:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
68.5%
26
31.5%
Q2 - 10:45CHIMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot28
67.7%
26
32.3%
Q2 - 11:02MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)28
66.1%
26
33.9%
Q2 - 11:26CHINocioni Layup (2 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)28
68.2%
26
31.8%
Q2 - 11:32MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)28
70.3%
24
29.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
72.3%
24
27.7%
Q2 - 11:47CHIMISS Nocioni 21' Jump Shot28
71.7%
24
28.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
70.3%
24
29.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound28
72.3%
24
27.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
70.9%
24
29.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
72.3%
24
27.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
70.7%
24
29.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIDeng 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)28
71.7%
24
28.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)28
74.1%
22
25.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
75.5%
22
24.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
74.1%
22
25.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Walker Layup28
74.5%
22
25.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
75.5%
22
24.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHIMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot28
75.1%
22
24.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
74.1%
22
25.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q1 - 1:32CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
71.8%
22
28.2%
Q1 - 1:32CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 226
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)26
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 1:48CHINocioni Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
73.7%
21
26.3%
Q1 - 1:57CHIHinrich Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
74.1%
20
25.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
73.7%
20
26.3%
Q1 - 2:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
72.1%
20
27.9%
Q1 - 2:15CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot24
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
70.3%
20
29.7%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)23
69.6%
20
30.4%
Q1 - 2:42MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 2:43CHIMISS Nocioni Layup22
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 2:56CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
66.3%
20
33.7%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 222
66.5%
20
33.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 222
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 3:04MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 3:06CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
67.5%
20
32.5%
Q1 - 3:12CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade Layup22
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q1 - 3:27CHISweetney Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)22
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
69.9%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 221
69.2%
18
30.8%
Q1 - 3:56CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
70.1%
18
29.9%
Q1 - 3:56CHIChandler Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)21
70.1%
18
29.9%
Q1 - 3:58CHIMISS Nocioni Layup21
73.2%
16
26.8%
Q1 - 4:05CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
71.7%
16
28.3%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot21
72.3%
16
27.7%
Q1 - 4:26CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
73.8%
16
26.2%
Q1 - 4:26CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
74.1%
15
25.9%
Q1 - 4:26CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
75.1%
14
24.9%
Q1 - 4:28CHIMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot21
76.5%
14
23.5%
Q1 - 4:44MIAChandler STEAL (1 STL)21
75.1%
14
24.9%
Q1 - 4:55CHIChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
77.0%
14
23.0%
Q1 - 5:16MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)21
74.8%
14
25.2%
Q1 - 5:32CHIAllen 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)19
73.4%
14
26.6%
Q1 - 5:46MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)19
74.8%
12
25.2%
Q1 - 6:03CHIDeng 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
72.9%
12
27.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAPosey Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)17
74.4%
10
25.6%
Q1 - 6:18MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 6:20CHIMISS Deng Layup15
72.4%
10
27.6%
Q1 - 6:28CHIBULLS Rebound15
71.2%
10
28.8%
Q1 - 6:28CHIMISS Gordon Layup15
72.4%
10
27.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
71.2%
10
28.8%
Q1 - 6:52CHIAllen 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)13
69.6%
10
30.4%
Q1 - 7:10MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)13
70.8%
8
29.2%
Q1 - 7:29CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
69.2%
6
30.8%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
68.9%
6
31.1%
Q1 - 7:57CHIDeng 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
67.8%
6
32.2%
Q1 - 8:14MIAWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)8
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 8:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
68.2%
4
31.8%
Q1 - 8:20CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 8:26CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
66.4%
4
33.6%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot6
66.9%
4
33.1%
Q1 - 8:44CHIGordon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)6
68.2%
4
31.8%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)6
69.6%
2
30.4%
Q1 - 9:19CHIAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)3
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 9:28CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot3
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 9:44CHIMISS Gordon Layup3
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 9:59MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T3)3
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 10:10CHIMISS Gordon 23' Jump Shot3
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 10:30MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)3
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 10:48CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 23
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 10:48CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 23
68.6%
0
31.4%
Q1 - 10:56MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)3
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 11:00MIAHeat Rebound3
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 11:01MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)3
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 11:19CHIMISS Hinrich Layup3
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:39MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)3
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Chandler vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
64.5%
0
35.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.2%
CHI
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
24
33%
CHI
11
25
44%
Midrange
MIA
5
23
22%
CHI
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
CHI
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
29
38
76%
CHI
9
17
53%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1554%7.5 / 14
S. O'Neal1343%6.5 / 15
A. Walker1346%6.5 / 14
J. Williams1255%6.0 / 11
G. Payton1250%6.0 / 12
J. Posey844%4.0 / 9
U. Haslem550%2.5 / 5
A. Mourning450%2.0 / 4
D. Anderson350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1956%9.5 / 17
K. Hinrich1550%7.5 / 15
A. Nocioni1441%7.0 / 17
M. Allen1255%6.0 / 11
J. Pargo788%3.5 / 4
B. Gordon630%3.0 / 10
C. Duhon536%2.5 / 7
M. Sweetney450%2.0 / 4
T. Chandler250%1.0 / 2
L. Schenscher0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+18
-22
89
CHI
75
+14
-19
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.2%
CHI
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
104.5
MIA 91.4 +2.0
CHI 89.4
Pace
92.2
92.6
MIA 86.3
CHI 101.9 +15.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.9
MIA 16.7
CHI 14.1 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
48.7%
MIA 39.4%
CHI 45.7% +6.3%
TO %
15.0%
15.6%
MIA 20.8%
CHI 18.3% +2.5%
ORB %
26.8%
26.4%
MIA 22.5% +2.5%
CHI 20.0%
FTrt
36.3
29.2
MIA 53.5 +32.8
CHI 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
60.1%
MIA 78.3% +12.6%
CHI 65.7%
STL %
6.9%
6.6%
MIA 8.6%
CHI 10.6% +2.0%
BLK %
8.5%
6.8%
MIA 13.6% +3.0%
CHI 10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
51.4%
MIA 46.2%
CHI 46.7% +0.5%
Rim FG%
64.2%
53.9%
MIA 33.3%
CHI 44.0% +10.7%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.3%
MIA 21.7%
CHI 46.3% +24.6%
3P %
34.5%
37.9%
MIA 41.7% +10.4%
CHI 31.3%
FT %
70.0%
73.8%
MIA 76.3% +23.4%
CHI 52.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
32.1%
MIA 33.8% +3.3%
CHI 30.5%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
46.0%
MIA 32.4% +17.6%
CHI 50.0%
3P Att. %
22.7%
21.9%
MIA 33.8% +14.3%
CHI 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points8584
Rebounds4540
Assists1823
Steals810
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)22 (1)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (9)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)31 (3)
Field Goals23-7135-82
At-the-Rim FG8-2411-25
Midrange FG5-2319-41
2-Point FG13-4730-66
3-Point FG10-245-16
Free Throws29-389-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
31.3
13
43%
5
3
0
3
5
5
1
4
5-9
56%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
30.6
12
55%
5
5
0
0
2
3
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
29.2
15
54%
4
2
3
0
10
5
2
2
13-13
100%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
29.1
5
50%
11
0
1
0
0
2
2
9
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
28.0
8
44%
5
3
1
2
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
30.6
12
50%
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
26.9
13
46%
6
4
2
0
3
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-6
50%
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
17.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
16.7
4
50%
3
0
0
4
1
1
0
3
4-8
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
#24 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
46%
45
18
8
9
22
0
9
36
29-38
76%
13-47
28%
10-24
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.