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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks42%9896
16Raptors58%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.0
39.5
32.8
14
58%
7
8
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
7-11
4-9
64%
43%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
39.1
35.0
21
71%
7
3
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
38.2
38.6
17
42%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
2-7
29%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.8
33.0
29.0
12
47%
9
1
0
0
2
3
4
5
4-11
36%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
24.9
27.1
6
38%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
54%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
23.1
23.8
12
41%
12
1
0
0
1
1
4
8
4-4
100%
4-13
4-8
31%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
17.4
22.2
7
58%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
13.3
6.3
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.2
11.7
21.0
3
50%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 26.1
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.5
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.2
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.8
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.2
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
45.5
39.6
27
52%
10
3
0
1
4
5
5
5
9-9
100%
9-22
8-15
41%
51%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
43.8
36.2
12
45%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
3-7
43%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.7
40.9
36.9
14
44%
4
6
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-8
5-11
13%
50%
4-8
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.6
24.2
30.3
14
51%
9
2
0
1
0
1
3
6
5-6
83%
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
16.9
10.2
7
102%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.9
25.6
29.3
8
68%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
2-3
67%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
21.4
22.1
9
65%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
53%
1-1
100%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.1
16.1
9.1
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
5.5
4.3
2
114%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.0
11.7
0
1-2
40%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
6.1
0
0-1
43%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.7
2.5
0
0-0
44%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.4
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.