FinalWin Prob.pScore
1526%93
104
574%102
107
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
107.297103.9
MIA logo MIA
111.59690.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS104
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)104
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)104
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)104
9.9%
105
90.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)101
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)101
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSSzczerbiak 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)101
4.7%
103
95.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)99
2.7%
103
97.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
2.1%
103
97.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0BOSMISS Perkins 7' Hook Shot99
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
5.8%
103
94.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 299
5.5%
103
94.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)99
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 1:09BOSPerkins Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Pierce 8 AST)99
6.1%
102
93.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)97
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
7.6%
100
92.4%
Q4 - 1:40BOSMISS Pierce 6' Jump Shot97
9.0%
100
91.0%
Q4 - 1:53MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)97
13.0%
100
87.0%
Q4 - 1:53MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)97
14.0%
99
86.0%
Q4 - 2:09BOSWilliams STEAL (2 STL)97
17.8%
98
82.2%
Q4 - 2:32BOSCeltics Rebound97
29.7%
98
70.3%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot97
25.4%
98
74.6%
Q4 - 2:57BOSWest 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)97
18.9%
98
81.1%
Q4 - 3:00MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)95
15.0%
98
85.0%
Q4 - 3:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
9.0%
98
91.0%
Q4 - 3:04BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
10.5%
98
89.5%
Q4 - 3:08BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
15.1%
98
84.9%
Q4 - 3:10BOSMISS West 3PT Jump Shot95
10.4%
98
89.6%
Q4 - 3:32MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (26 PTS)95
15.8%
98
84.2%
Q4 - 3:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)95
21.0%
96
79.0%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot95
25.7%
96
74.3%
Q4 - 3:52BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)95
20.9%
96
79.1%
Q4 - 3:52BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)94
19.8%
96
80.2%
Q4 - 4:00MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)93
15.6%
96
84.4%
Q4 - 4:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
20.8%
94
79.2%
Q4 - 4:15BOSMISS West 22' Jump Shot93
22.9%
94
77.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (24 PTS)93
28.2%
94
71.8%
Q4 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
36.0%
92
64.0%
Q4 - 4:43BOSMISS West Free Throw 1 of 193
37.3%
92
62.7%
Q4 - 4:50MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (27 PTS)91
28.2%
92
71.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)91
34.0%
90
66.0%
Q4 - 5:09BOSMISS West 19' Jump Shot91
36.5%
90
63.5%
Q4 - 5:24BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
42.4%
90
57.6%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 291
41.2%
90
58.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 291
37.8%
90
62.2%
Q4 - 5:44BOSSzczerbiak 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (West 5 AST)91
34.2%
90
65.8%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)89
27.4%
90
72.6%
Q4 - 6:05MIAHEAT Rebound89
39.0%
87
61.0%
Q4 - 6:06BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
41.5%
87
58.5%
Q4 - 6:27MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS)89
47.7%
87
52.3%
Q4 - 6:51BOSSzczerbiak 14' Jump Shot (26 PTS)89
54.3%
85
45.7%
Q4 - 7:01BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
45.1%
85
54.9%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
42.8%
85
57.2%
Q4 - 7:18BOSSzczerbiak 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
37.6%
85
62.4%
Q4 - 7:34MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)85
32.2%
85
67.8%
Q4 - 7:52BOSWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
37.7%
83
62.3%
Q4 - 7:52BOSWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
36.7%
83
63.3%
Q4 - 7:55BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
32.2%
83
67.8%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot83
30.2%
83
69.8%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
25.7%
83
74.3%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot83
29.8%
83
70.2%
Q4 - 8:21BOSSzczerbiak 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Pierce 7 AST)83
26.1%
83
73.9%
Q4 - 8:38BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot81
20.3%
83
79.7%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
17.5%
83
82.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 181
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
26.1%
81
73.9%
Q4 - 8:51BOSMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
27.7%
81
72.3%
Q4 - 9:07BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
30.8%
81
69.2%
Q4 - 9:09BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
27.2%
81
72.8%
Q4 - 9:25BOSCeltics Rebound81
30.8%
81
69.2%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup81
29.2%
81
70.8%
Q4 - 9:41BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)81
25.7%
81
74.3%
Q4 - 9:41BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 280
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q4 - 9:54BOSCeltics Rebound80
25.9%
81
74.1%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot80
24.5%
81
75.5%
Q4 - 10:12MIAHEAT Rebound80
21.5%
81
78.5%
Q4 - 10:13BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot80
22.7%
81
77.3%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)80
25.9%
81
74.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
35.1%
78
64.9%
Q4 - 10:35BOSMISS Greene Driving Layup80
36.8%
78
63.2%
Q4 - 10:39MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)80
40.9%
78
59.1%
Q4 - 10:48BOSScalabrine 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T15)80
35.1%
78
64.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)80
40.3%
78
59.7%
Q4 - 11:31BOSJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
50.8%
75
49.2%
Q4 - 11:31BOSMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 279
49.2%
75
50.8%
Q4 - 11:37BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
51.1%
75
48.9%
Q4 - 11:39BOSMISS Scalabrine Reverse Layup79
47.2%
75
52.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
51.1%
75
48.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
45.4%
75
54.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Scalabrine 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
47.2%
75
52.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
49.2%
75
50.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 279
51.5%
74
48.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
49.3%
74
50.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0BOSMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot79
50.9%
74
49.1%
Q3 - 1:05MIAWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12)79
52.3%
74
47.7%
Q3 - 1:13BOSPierce Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)79
47.3%
74
52.7%
Q3 - 1:26BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
52.4%
74
47.6%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot79
50.9%
74
49.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
47.4%
74
52.6%
Q3 - 1:41BOSMISS Jefferson 10' Hook Shot79
48.9%
74
51.1%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWade Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)79
50.3%
74
49.7%
Q3 - 2:07BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)79
54.5%
72
45.5%
Q3 - 2:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
59.6%
72
40.4%
Q3 - 2:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)79
60.4%
71
39.6%
Q3 - 2:30BOSPierce Tip Shot (28 PTS)79
63.7%
70
36.3%
Q3 - 2:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
59.6%
70
40.4%
Q3 - 2:33BOSMISS Jefferson 11' Fadeaway Jumper77
56.2%
70
43.8%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)77
59.7%
70
40.3%
Q3 - 3:06BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)77
66.4%
67
33.6%
Q3 - 3:06BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 276
65.7%
67
34.3%
Q3 - 3:11MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)76
66.7%
67
33.3%
Q3 - 3:23BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
62.3%
67
37.7%
Q3 - 3:23BOSMISS Gomes Free Throw 1 of 275
61.3%
67
38.7%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
62.6%
67
37.4%
Q3 - 3:50BOSGomes Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)75
66.5%
65
33.5%
Q3 - 3:50BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
70.6%
65
29.4%
Q3 - 3:52BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot75
67.8%
65
32.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)75
68.5%
65
31.5%
Q3 - 4:21BOSWilliams STEAL (1 STL)75
71.6%
63
28.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
75.6%
63
24.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 275
76.2%
62
23.8%
Q3 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 4:56BOSMISS Pierce 19' Fadeaway Jumper75
76.3%
62
23.7%
Q3 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
76.9%
62
23.1%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 275
77.4%
61
22.6%
Q3 - 5:25BOSO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)75
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
79.8%
61
20.2%
Q3 - 5:53BOSSzczerbiak 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
82.1%
59
17.9%
Q3 - 6:06MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
77.7%
59
22.3%
Q3 - 6:14MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
74.6%
59
25.4%
Q3 - 6:16BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup73
75.6%
59
24.4%
Q3 - 6:31BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
77.8%
59
22.2%
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
76.9%
59
23.1%
Q3 - 6:57BOSWest 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)73
74.8%
59
25.2%
Q3 - 7:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
70.2%
59
29.8%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
69.0%
59
31.0%
Q3 - 7:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
66.3%
59
33.7%
Q3 - 7:14BOSO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)71
67.6%
59
32.4%
Q3 - 7:41MIAWilliams Driving Layup (14 PTS)71
70.3%
59
29.7%
Q3 - 7:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
73.0%
57
27.0%
Q3 - 7:46BOSO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)71
74.0%
57
26.0%
Q3 - 8:02MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (19 PTS)71
75.1%
57
24.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHEAT Rebound71
77.5%
55
22.5%
Q3 - 8:18BOSMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
78.4%
55
21.6%
Q3 - 8:32MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS)71
80.4%
55
19.6%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q3 - 8:48BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot71
83.1%
53
16.9%
Q3 - 8:59BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
84.7%
53
15.3%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 271
82.5%
53
17.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
80.6%
53
19.4%
Q3 - 9:11BOSMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
81.3%
53
18.7%
Q3 - 9:20BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
82.9%
53
17.1%
Q3 - 9:22MIAMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot71
82.2%
53
17.8%
Q3 - 9:32BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)71
80.7%
53
19.3%
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
78.4%
53
21.6%
Q3 - 9:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
84.4%
50
15.6%
Q3 - 10:02BOSLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 6 AST)69
81.1%
50
18.9%
Q3 - 10:23MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)66
76.7%
50
23.3%
Q3 - 10:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q3 - 10:33BOSMISS Gomes 8' Jump Shot66
79.7%
48
20.3%
Q3 - 10:53MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
81.5%
48
18.5%
Q3 - 10:59BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)66
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q3 - 11:10BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
85.6%
45
14.4%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot66
85.0%
45
15.0%
Q3 - 11:24BOSSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (LaFrentz 4 AST)66
83.8%
45
16.2%
Q3 - 11:36BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
79.8%
45
20.2%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot63
79.1%
45
20.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA63
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound63
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 35' 3PT Jump Shot63
77.0%
45
23.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0BOSGomes Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)63
76.0%
45
24.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0BOSCeltics Rebound61
72.7%
45
27.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSMISS Pierce 14' Turnaround Jump Shot61
71.4%
45
28.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
72.8%
45
27.2%
Q2 - 1:01BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T8)61
77.3%
42
22.7%
Q2 - 1:23MIAWade Reverse Dunk (5 PTS)61
78.5%
42
21.5%
Q2 - 1:29BOSPayton STEAL (1 STL)61
81.5%
40
18.5%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
82.6%
40
17.4%
Q2 - 2:01BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)61
83.3%
38
16.7%
Q2 - 2:01BOSCeltics Rebound61
84.9%
38
15.1%
Q2 - 2:02BOSPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)61
83.8%
38
16.2%
Q2 - 2:35MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS)61
85.0%
38
15.0%
Q2 - 2:50BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST)61
86.7%
36
13.3%
Q2 - 3:08MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS)59
83.1%
36
16.9%
Q2 - 3:23BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (LaFrentz 3 AST)59
84.6%
34
15.4%
Q2 - 3:33MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T9)57
83.2%
34
16.8%
Q2 - 3:45BOSPierce Layup (19 PTS)57
81.3%
34
18.7%
Q2 - 3:58BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
79.7%
34
20.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot55
79.0%
34
21.0%
Q2 - 4:10BOSSzczerbiak 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)55
75.4%
34
24.6%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)53
73.2%
34
26.8%
Q2 - 4:29BOSWest 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
71.0%
34
29.0%
Q2 - 4:35BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
68.5%
34
31.5%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot51
67.8%
34
32.2%
Q2 - 4:55BOSPierce Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (West 4 AST)51
66.0%
34
34.0%
Q2 - 5:15BOSCeltics Rebound49
62.3%
34
37.7%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot49
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 5:28BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)49
59.4%
34
40.6%
Q2 - 5:52BOSCeltics Rebound49
62.4%
34
37.6%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 5:59MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 6:01BOSMISS LaFrentz 12' Jump Shot49
58.8%
34
41.2%
Q2 - 6:11BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)49
61.1%
34
38.9%
Q2 - 6:24BOSCeltics Rebound48
58.5%
34
41.5%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 248
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 248
57.0%
34
43.0%
Q2 - 6:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q2 - 6:38BOSMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot48
56.3%
34
43.7%
Q2 - 6:55MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)48
58.6%
34
41.4%
Q2 - 7:13MIAHEAT Rebound48
61.5%
31
38.5%
Q2 - 7:14BOSMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot48
62.3%
31
37.7%
Q2 - 7:21BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot48
63.4%
31
36.6%
Q2 - 7:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
61.6%
31
38.4%
Q2 - 7:37BOSMISS Jefferson 8' Hook Shot48
62.4%
31
37.6%
Q2 - 7:52BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 248
63.9%
31
36.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
62.7%
31
37.3%
Q2 - 8:14BOSPerkins 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 3 AST)48
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
60.9%
30
39.1%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
58.1%
30
41.9%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot46
60.1%
30
39.9%
Q2 - 8:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
58.1%
30
41.9%
Q2 - 8:32BOSMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
59.0%
30
41.0%
Q2 - 8:43BOSCeltics Rebound46
60.9%
30
39.1%
Q2 - 8:44BOSMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 246
58.5%
30
41.5%
Q2 - 8:44BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
59.9%
30
40.1%
Q2 - 9:01MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
56.9%
30
43.1%
Q2 - 9:24BOSSzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P1.T4)45
59.2%
28
40.8%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)45
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q2 - 9:54BOSPerkins Tip Shot (2 PTS)45
64.1%
26
35.9%
Q2 - 9:56BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
62.0%
26
38.0%
Q2 - 9:58BOSMISS Allen Layup43
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 10:04BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
61.4%
26
38.6%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
60.5%
26
39.5%
Q2 - 10:26BOSSzczerbiak 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 10:39MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)41
56.5%
26
43.5%
Q2 - 10:52BOSSzczerbiak 13' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)41
58.7%
24
41.3%
Q2 - 11:04BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot39
54.1%
24
45.9%
Q2 - 11:17BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)39
52.5%
24
47.5%
Q2 - 11:17BOSCeltics Rebound39
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 11:18BOSMISS Szczerbiak 16' Jump Shot39
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q2 - 11:32BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)39
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 11:40BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS38
50.2%
24
49.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound38
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
50.0%
24
50.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
54.2%
22
45.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
48.9%
22
51.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
47.1%
22
52.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0BOSMISS Perkins 7' Hook Shot35
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 1:08MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
48.7%
22
51.3%
Q1 - 1:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
46.9%
22
53.1%
Q1 - 1:17BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 235
47.1%
22
52.9%
Q1 - 1:17BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)35
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)34
46.3%
22
53.7%
Q1 - 1:44BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)34
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 2:07BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 2:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q1 - 2:27BOSGomes Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)31
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 2:59BOSGomes Layup (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)29
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 3:03BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q1 - 3:05BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)27
34.6%
19
65.4%
Q1 - 3:13MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
34.0%
19
66.0%
Q1 - 3:22BOSMISS Gomes 17' Jump Shot27
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q1 - 3:40MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 3:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
34.1%
19
65.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup27
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 4:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 4:04BOSMISS LaFrentz 12' Fadeaway Jumper27
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 4:27MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)27
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 4:46BOSWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)27
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 4:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 4:59BOSMISS Pierce 15' Fadeaway Jumper27
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 5:07BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
37.9%
17
62.1%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
37.3%
17
62.7%
Q1 - 5:25BOSGomes Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)27
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 5:31BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)25
34.2%
17
65.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
32.3%
17
67.7%
Q1 - 6:08BOSWest 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)24
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 6:19MIAHEAT Rebound21
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 6:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 221
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
31.3%
13
68.7%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot21
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 6:32BOSWest 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
31.3%
13
68.7%
Q1 - 6:41BOSCeltics Rebound19
29.7%
13
70.3%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot19
29.2%
13
70.8%
Q1 - 6:51BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 7:08MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 7:25BOSPierce 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 7:30BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Posey 21' Jump Shot14
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:52BOSSzczerbiak 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
22.8%
11
77.2%
Q1 - 8:06MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 8:23BOSSzczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 2 AST)12
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 8:30BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS O'Neal Layup9
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 8:43BOSGomes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)9
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 9:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 9:20BOSMISS Pierce 10' Turnaround Jump Shot7
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 9:31MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)7
21.3%
6
78.7%
Q1 - 9:54BOSSzczerbiak 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)7
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 10:04BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS O'Neal Layup5
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 10:23BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:38MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:52BOSPierce Layup (2 PTS)2
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:08MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:18BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 11:19BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 11:46BOSMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. LaFrentz: Tip to West0
19.7%
0
80.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.6%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
12
18
67%
MIA
24
32
75%
Midrange
BOS
21
46
46%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
BOS
14
21
67%
MIA
18
32
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3457%17.0 / 30
W. Szczerbiak3083%15.0 / 18
D. West1554%7.5 / 14
R. Gomes1169%5.5 / 8
K. Perkins660%3.0 / 5
R. LaFrentz330%1.5 / 5
T. Allen375%1.5 / 2
A. Jefferson217%1.0 / 6
O. Greene0-0.0 / 2
B. Scalabrine0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3063%15.0 / 24
S. O'Neal2657%13.0 / 23
J. Williams2175%10.5 / 14
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
A. Mourning758%3.5 / 6
J. Posey650%3.0 / 6
D. Anderson375%1.5 / 2
A. Walker338%1.5 / 4
G. Payton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
84
+13
-13
97
MIA
81
+10
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.6%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
108.0
BOS 107.2
MIA 111.5 +4.2
Pace
92.6
92.2
BOS 103.9 +13.8
MIA 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.9
BOS 13.9 +2.1
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.7%
BOS 53.6%
MIA 59.3% +5.7%
TO %
17.0%
15.0%
BOS 14.6%
MIA 14.4% +0.2%
ORB %
25.7%
26.8%
BOS 19.4%
MIA 24.2% +4.8%
FTrt
34.9
36.3
BOS 25.0
MIA 42.7 +17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
55.7%
BOS 48.8% +7.3%
MIA 41.5%
STL %
7.5%
6.9%
BOS 9.3% +2.0%
MIA 7.3%
BLK %
8.1%
8.5%
BOS 0.0%
MIA 6.3% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
53.9%
BOS 53.6%
MIA 58.8% +5.2%
Rim FG%
57.3%
64.2%
BOS 66.7%
MIA 75.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%
41.6%
38.9%
BOS 45.7% +5.7%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
36.2%
34.5%
BOS 40.0% +1.1%
MIA 38.9%
FT %
75.5%
70.0%
BOS 66.7% +10.4%
MIA 56.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.4%
39.3%
BOS 21.4%
MIA 42.7% +21.2%
Mid Att. %
40.2%
38.0%
BOS 54.8%
MIA 33.3% +21.4%
3P Att. %
20.4%
22.7%
BOS 23.8%
MIA 24.0% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points104107
Rebounds3237
Assists2017
Steals97
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)13 (3)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (7)29 (4)
Field Goals41-8441-75
At-the-Rim FG12-1824-32
Midrange FG21-4610-25
2-Point FG33-6434-57
3-Point FG8-207-18
Free Throws14-2118-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 235 · 28
42.5
34
57%
4
8
3
0
3
1
1
3
6-9
67%
8-18
44%
4-8
50%
G · 6'3" 180 · 23
41.7
15
54%
3
5
2
0
2
4
0
3
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 245 · 24
39.3
11
69%
11
1
1
0
3
3
4
7
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
38.2
30
83%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
11-15
73%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
21.4
3
30%
2
4
0
0
2
6
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 270 · 21
18.4
6
60%
6
1
1
0
1
5
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 21
13.7
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
· 6'4" 213 · 24
12.3
3
75%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 24
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20
C · 7'0" 270 · 31
#20 · G · 6'0" 180 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
54%
32
20
9
0
13
0
7
25
14-21
67%
33-64
52%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.