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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hawks31%9487
18Bucks69%10188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.7
46.5
43.6
9
30%
9
17
2
1
0
4
0
9
3-4
75%
3-10
6-13
30%
48%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.3
38.0
36.0
25
71%
4
0
2
1
1
1
1
3
4-6
67%
9-11
4-9
82%
45%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.1
32.8
29.2
2
17%
7
0
0
1
1
4
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.1
30.5
36.3
7
29%
5
5
1
1
0
5
1
4
2-2
100%
1-6
7-15
17%
48%
1-5
20%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.2
20.5
23.1
12
75%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
44%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
27.5
22.9
21
69%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.7
26.8
23.8
9
58%
3
0
3
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.5
10.8
7.8
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.3
5.8
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.6
0.7
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.7
11.5
0
1-3
53%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 22.4
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
41.8
40.0
16
60%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
5-8
7-14
63%
49%
1-4
25%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
38.0
35.9
18
74%
1
3
0
1
0
5
0
1
5-5
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.8
35.8
29.0
9
43%
15
2
2
0
1
2
3
12
3-8
38%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.0
35.3
29.5
14
55%
4
8
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
30.1
31.0
10
56%
6
5
0
1
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
22.3
21.9
6
44%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
17.7
25.6
5
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.2
13.1
26.3
10
63%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
6.0
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 26.1
5.9
0
1-1
46%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.5
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.2
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.2
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.8
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.