FinalWin Prob.pScore
1627%93
92
473%100
98
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
96.89591.9
MIA logo MIA
104.39497.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade Dunk (35 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)92
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)92
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 292
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (47 PTS)92
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (46 PTS)91
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)90
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0CLEJames Driving Layup (45 PTS)90
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)88
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 1:08CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (43 PTS)88
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 1:08CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (42 PTS)87
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMourning Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)86
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 1:37CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)86
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 1:37CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)85
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 1:42CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 1:44CLEMISS Gooden Layup84
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 1:59CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)84
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 284
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)84
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 2:24CLEIlgauskas 4' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (James 4 AST)84
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 2:39CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot82
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 2:54CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)82
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 2:54CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)81
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 2:57CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Wade Dunk80
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 3:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 3:13CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)80
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)80
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 3:45CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)80
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 3:45CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)79
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)78
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 4:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)78
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 4:26CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)78
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 4:26CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 277
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)77
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 277
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 4:46MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q4 - 4:48CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot77
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWalker Layup (8 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)77
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 5:21CLEMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot77
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 5:39CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
12.6%
81
87.4%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot77
11.5%
81
88.5%
Q4 - 5:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 5:53CLEMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot77
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMourning Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)77
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q4 - 6:24CLEMISS Gooden 17' Fadeaway Jumper77
18.3%
79
81.7%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)77
22.2%
79
77.8%
Q4 - 7:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
26.9%
77
73.1%
Q4 - 7:05CLEMISS Gooden 16' Jump Shot77
28.8%
77
71.2%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMourning Tip Shot (10 PTS)77
33.4%
77
66.6%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
39.0%
75
61.0%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
44.3%
75
55.7%
Q4 - 7:41CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (34 PTS)77
39.0%
75
61.0%
Q4 - 8:05MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)74
27.3%
75
72.7%
Q4 - 8:11MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
38.4%
72
61.6%
Q4 - 8:13CLEMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)74
40.3%
72
59.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAWalker 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)74
44.8%
72
55.2%
Q4 - 8:50CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T14)74
51.1%
70
48.9%
Q4 - 8:56CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
57.6%
70
42.4%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot74
55.7%
70
44.3%
Q4 - 9:13CLEJames Dunk (31 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)74
48.9%
70
51.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)72
43.3%
70
56.7%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 272
44.5%
69
55.5%
Q4 - 9:34MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
43.1%
69
56.9%
Q4 - 9:36CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)72
45.0%
69
55.0%
Q4 - 9:48CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
49.3%
69
50.7%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot72
47.4%
69
52.6%
Q4 - 10:14CLEVarejao Foul Turnover (P2.T13)72
41.9%
69
58.1%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T14)72
48.0%
69
52.0%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
41.9%
69
58.1%
Q4 - 10:48CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot72
43.7%
69
56.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS)72
47.1%
69
52.9%
Q4 - 11:19MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
52.3%
67
47.7%
Q4 - 11:22CLEMISS Varejao Driving Layup72
54.0%
67
46.0%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
57.9%
67
42.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE72
62.9%
65
37.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)72
65.4%
65
34.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)72
66.3%
64
33.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
70.0%
63
30.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 272
70.6%
63
29.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)72
73.2%
63
26.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)71
70.1%
63
29.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0CLEJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)71
74.2%
61
25.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)69
70.2%
61
29.8%
Q3 - 1:14CLEJames 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS)69
71.7%
59
28.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)67
67.8%
59
32.2%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
71.9%
57
28.1%
Q3 - 1:48CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 267
72.4%
57
27.6%
Q3 - 1:48CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 267
74.3%
57
25.7%
Q3 - 1:48CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
75.8%
57
24.2%
Q3 - 1:50CLEMISS Varejao 9' Hook Shot67
73.1%
57
26.9%
Q3 - 2:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)67
73.2%
57
26.8%
Q3 - 2:23MIAHEAT Rebound67
79.7%
54
20.3%
Q3 - 2:24CLEMISS Snow Layup67
80.7%
54
19.3%
Q3 - 2:51MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)67
82.9%
54
17.1%
Q3 - 3:06CLESnow Layup (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)67
83.8%
52
16.2%
Q3 - 3:11MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)65
81.4%
52
18.6%
Q3 - 3:28CLESnow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)65
78.3%
52
21.7%
Q3 - 3:31CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
81.4%
52
18.6%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot65
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q3 - 3:48CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)65
78.4%
52
21.6%
Q3 - 3:48CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)64
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q3 - 4:01CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
73.3%
52
26.7%
Q3 - 4:03CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot63
70.5%
52
29.5%
Q3 - 4:20CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
73.4%
52
26.6%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 163
72.9%
52
27.1%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
76.2%
50
23.8%
Q3 - 4:31CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot63
77.3%
50
22.7%
Q3 - 4:46MIAWalker Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)63
79.7%
50
20.3%
Q3 - 4:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
76.3%
50
23.7%
Q3 - 4:48CLEMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot63
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)63
78.0%
50
22.0%
Q3 - 5:22CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)63
74.8%
50
25.2%
Q3 - 5:26CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot60
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 5:33CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)60
64.3%
50
35.7%
Q3 - 5:37CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q3 - 5:40CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Turnaround Jump Shot60
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q3 - 5:51CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
64.3%
50
35.7%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
65.0%
50
35.0%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
62.3%
50
37.7%
Q3 - 6:11CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
63.5%
50
36.5%
Q3 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
66.4%
50
33.6%
Q3 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
67.1%
49
32.9%
Q3 - 6:38MIAHEAT Rebound60
69.6%
48
30.4%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade Layup60
72.1%
48
27.9%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
69.7%
48
30.3%
Q3 - 6:47CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot60
70.8%
48
29.2%
Q3 - 7:02CLEIlgauskas Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)60
71.5%
48
28.5%
Q3 - 7:19CLECavaliers Rebound59
68.3%
48
31.7%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
67.1%
48
32.9%
Q3 - 7:46CLEGooden Dunk (9 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)59
64.4%
48
35.6%
Q3 - 7:57CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
61.3%
48
38.7%
Q3 - 7:59CLEMISS Ilgauskas 14' Hook Shot57
58.4%
48
41.6%
Q3 - 8:13MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)57
60.2%
48
39.8%
Q3 - 8:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
56.0%
48
44.0%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot57
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q3 - 8:38CLEJames 10' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)57
56.1%
48
43.9%
Q3 - 8:53CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
51.5%
48
48.5%
Q3 - 9:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
48.5%
48
51.5%
Q3 - 9:02CLEPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)55
48.2%
48
51.8%
Q3 - 9:08CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
50.8%
48
49.2%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot55
49.7%
48
50.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
47.1%
48
52.9%
Q3 - 9:20CLEMISS Murray Driving Layup55
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q3 - 9:34CLECavaliers Rebound55
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Hook Shot55
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q3 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q3 - 9:47CLEMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot55
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q3 - 10:11MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (13 PTS)55
49.6%
48
50.4%
Q3 - 10:31CLEJames Running Layup (19 PTS)55
52.7%
46
47.3%
Q3 - 10:35CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
49.6%
46
50.4%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q3 - 10:56CLEGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)53
45.7%
46
54.3%
Q3 - 11:14CLECavaliers Rebound53
48.0%
46
52.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot53
47.0%
46
53.0%
Q3 - 11:38CLEIlgauskas 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)53
44.5%
46
55.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE51
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
47.4%
43
52.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot51
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 1:04CLEJames Foul Turnover (P5.T9)51
53.4%
41
46.6%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)51
55.1%
41
44.9%
Q2 - 1:29CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
53.5%
41
46.5%
Q2 - 1:29CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 250
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
52.6%
40
47.4%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
53.5%
40
46.5%
Q2 - 1:46CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
54.0%
40
46.0%
Q2 - 2:05MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)50
54.5%
40
45.5%
Q2 - 2:26CLESnow Foul Turnover (P1.T8)50
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
63.6%
37
36.4%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
64.2%
36
35.8%
Q2 - 2:55CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)50
66.8%
35
33.2%
Q2 - 3:03CLEMISS James Free Throw Technical48
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 3:07CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 3:08CLEMISS James Layup48
59.4%
35
40.6%
Q2 - 3:13CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot48
60.7%
35
39.3%
Q2 - 3:30CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)48
58.5%
35
41.5%
Q2 - 3:38CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 3:57CLEIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 3 AST)48
58.6%
35
41.4%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)46
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 4:37CLEIlgauskas 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS)46
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 4:58MIAO'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)44
54.1%
33
45.9%
Q2 - 5:12CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)44
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 5:12CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)43
55.1%
31
44.9%
Q2 - 5:16MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)42
53.2%
31
46.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
50.2%
31
49.8%
Q2 - 5:22CLEMISS Snow Layup42
51.1%
31
48.9%
Q2 - 5:28CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
53.2%
31
46.8%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot42
52.3%
31
47.7%
Q2 - 5:44CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
50.2%
31
49.8%
Q2 - 6:11MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)40
46.8%
31
53.2%
Q2 - 6:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot40
45.8%
31
54.2%
Q2 - 6:32CLEIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)40
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 6:54MIAAnderson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 7:03CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 7:08CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Williams 7' Running Jump Shot38
44.6%
29
55.4%
Q2 - 7:25CLESnow 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q2 - 7:36CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
40.3%
29
59.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot36
39.5%
29
60.5%
Q2 - 7:54CLEIlgauskas 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)36
37.6%
29
62.4%
Q2 - 8:15MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)34
35.0%
29
65.0%
Q2 - 8:36CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q2 - 8:36CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q2 - 9:02CLECavaliers Rebound32
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 9:03CLEMISS James 6' Jump Shot32
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 232
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q2 - 9:25MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.4%
25
63.6%
Q2 - 9:26CLEMISS Newble 12' Jump Shot32
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q2 - 9:27CLENewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q2 - 9:29CLEMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMourning Tip Shot (5 PTS)32
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot32
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Walker Layup32
43.2%
23
56.8%
Q2 - 10:18CLEHenderson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)32
40.9%
23
59.1%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
43.7%
23
56.3%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)32
44.5%
22
55.5%
Q2 - 10:41CLEJames Driving Layup (15 PTS)32
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q2 - 11:01CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
42.3%
21
57.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 230
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q2 - 11:16CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)30
42.4%
20
57.6%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)27
37.8%
20
62.2%
Q2 - 11:47MIAHEAT Rebound27
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q2 - 11:49CLEMISS James 9' Hook Shot27
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
37.8%
20
62.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound27
35.6%
20
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 51' 3PT Jump Shot27
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)27
35.3%
20
64.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)26
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)25
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0CLEPayton STEAL (1 STL)25
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
36.9%
18
63.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Anderson 5' Jump Shot25
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup25
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0CLEWalker STEAL (1 STL)25
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
37.0%
18
63.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 1:02CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)25
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)25
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q1 - 1:16CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)25
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 1:16CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)24
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 1:36MIAWade Layup (6 PTS)23
36.8%
16
63.2%
Q1 - 1:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 1:56CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot23
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 2:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
41.3%
14
58.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
42.3%
13
57.7%
Q1 - 2:29CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)23
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 2:44CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 223
45.6%
12
54.4%
Q1 - 2:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 3:06CLEGooden 12' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)23
44.4%
11
55.6%
Q1 - 3:21MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 3:35CLEJames Driving Layup (9 PTS)21
44.5%
9
55.5%
Q1 - 3:42CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)19
42.6%
9
57.4%
Q1 - 3:44CLEMISS Snow 18' Jump Shot19
40.9%
9
59.1%
Q1 - 4:09CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot19
40.9%
9
59.1%
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
39.1%
9
60.9%
Q1 - 4:27CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot19
39.9%
9
60.1%
Q1 - 4:33CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)19
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot19
40.9%
9
59.1%
Q1 - 4:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
39.2%
9
60.8%
Q1 - 4:47CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
39.9%
9
60.1%
Q1 - 5:01MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)19
39.9%
9
60.1%
Q1 - 5:20CLEMurray 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 5:25CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem Layup17
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Williams Layup17
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 5:34CLEMISS James 11' Jump Shot17
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 5:41CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot17
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 5:55CLEMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 5:55CLEMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 6:08MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 6:37CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 6:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 6:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade 9' Hook Shot12
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 7:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 7:05CLEMISS Varejao Layup12
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 7:11CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 7:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 7:20CLEMISS Gooden 8' Jump Shot12
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 7:41CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot12
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 7:54MIAHEAT Rebound12
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 7:55CLEMISS Gooden 8' Jump Shot12
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 8:10MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 8:26CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 8:26CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 211
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 8:34CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot11
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot11
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 8:51CLEMurray 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)11
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)9
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 9:22CLEIlgauskas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)7
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS O'Neal Layup7
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 9:56CLEGooden Layup (4 PTS)7
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 9:58CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:00CLEMISS Ilgauskas 8' Hook Shot5
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)5
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 10:30CLEJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 10:33CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot5
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 10:46CLEGooden Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 10:47CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 10:48CLEMISS Murray Layup3
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Bank Shot3
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:29CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:39CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 4' Hook Shot0
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Haslem0
20.0%
0
80.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
15
26
58%
MIA
18
30
60%
Midrange
CLE
13
37
35%
MIA
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
CLE
30
37
81%
MIA
24
33
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4760%23.5 / 39
Z. Ilgauskas2170%10.5 / 15
D. Gooden945%4.5 / 10
R. Murray633%3.0 / 9
E. Snow433%2.0 / 6
D. Marshall375%1.5 / 2
D. Jones233%1.0 / 3
A. Varejao0-0.0 / 5
I. Newble0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3550%17.5 / 35
S. O'Neal1860%9.0 / 15
A. Mourning1680%8.0 / 10
A. Walker1470%7.0 / 10
J. Posey660%3.0 / 5
G. Payton643%3.0 / 7
D. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem113%0.5 / 4
J. Williams0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
81
+11
-14
92
MIA
79
+15
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
108.0
CLE 96.8 +7.4
MIA 104.3
Pace
89.7
92.2
CLE 91.9
MIA 97.2 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.9
CLE 15.7
MIA 14.8 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.7%
CLE 41.9%
MIA 47.4% +5.5%
TO %
14.8%
15.0%
CLE 13.4% +0.6%
MIA 14.0%
ORB %
28.4%
26.8%
CLE 23.8%
MIA 30.2% +6.4%
FTrt
36.2
36.3
CLE 50.0 +7.7
MIA 42.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
55.7%
CLE 33.3%
MIA 55.9% +22.6%
STL %
7.6%
6.9%
CLE 6.3% +2.0%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
7.6%
8.5%
CLE 4.9% +0.1%
MIA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.9%
CLE 50.0%
MIA 51.6% +1.6%
Rim FG%
58.8%
64.2%
CLE 57.7%
MIA 60.0% +2.3%
Mid FG%
38.1%
38.9%
CLE 35.1% +2.8%
MIA 32.3%
3P %
33.9%
34.5%
CLE 18.2%
MIA 35.3% +17.1%
FT %
72.9%
70.0%
CLE 81.1% +8.4%
MIA 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.6%
39.3%
CLE 35.1%
MIA 38.5% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
38.0%
CLE 50.0%
MIA 39.7% +10.3%
3P Att. %
22.8%
22.7%
CLE 14.9%
MIA 21.8% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points9298
Rebounds4045
Assists1019
Steals64
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)32 (3)
Field Goals30-7434-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2618-30
Midrange FG13-3710-31
2-Point FG28-6328-61
3-Point FG2-116-17
Free Throws30-3724-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 21
45.3
47
60%
7
4
0
1
5
2
2
5
24-28
86%
10-21
48%
1-6
17%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
39.1
6
33%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
37.0
4
33%
2
4
0
0
2
6
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 31
33.2
21
70%
6
0
2
0
1
5
1
5
3-3
100%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 24
27.9
9
45%
12
0
2
1
1
3
3
9
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 30
19.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
15.5
3
75%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 260 · 23
12.7
0
0%
6
0
0
0
2
5
2
4
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24
#32 · G · 6'5" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C · 7'2" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
40
10
6
3
14
0
10
30
30-37
81%
28-63
44%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.