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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors24%95111
4Heat76%104106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
38.8
38.5
44
72%
6
3
0
1
0
3
1
5
4-10
40%
11-19
6-13
58%
48%
6-7
86%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.6
36.4
30.7
14
52%
3
5
3
1
0
4
1
2
5-8
63%
3-8
3-7
38%
41%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
31.9
30.6
18
65%
12
0
1
1
0
0
2
10
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.5
25.4
26.2
4
69%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.0
21.4
23.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.9
27.6
26.2
13
44%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-6
50%
2-8
3-8
25%
44%
2-4
50%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
18.7
9.5
7
52%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.4
16.1
16.9
2
33%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
13.7
1.9
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.9
10.0
15.5
2
26%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
59%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
15.4
0
2-3
47%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.6
6.4
0
1-1
45%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
40.8
40.3
42
76%
6
6
2
2
0
5
2
4
12-17
71%
12-16
9-18
75%
52%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.0
36.0
33.2
21
60%
15
3
0
1
4
4
4
11
3-6
50%
9-15
8-14
60%
59%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
34.4
34.3
6
51%
8
3
0
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
32.2
33.8
7
39%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
1-5
20%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.2
20.3
19.5
10
83%
3
1
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
23.8
25.8
3
38%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
16.2
25.1
10
53%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
14.9
13.1
3
25%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
11.3
10.2
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.1
10.2
13.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.3
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.