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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bobcats43%9186
27Hornets57%93103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
41.0
33.7
14
50%
6
4
1
2
2
2
2
4
4-7
57%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.2
39.3
26.1
19
55%
3
4
1
2
0
4
1
2
3-5
60%
8-14
4-9
57%
43%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
29.4
17.0
5
28%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
1-6
17%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.0
28.9
22.4
11
62%
12
2
1
1
0
3
4
8
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.3
21.8
24.2
13
84%
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
3-4
75%
5-6
4-8
83%
52%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
34.3
16.9
7
39%
11
1
1
1
0
2
6
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.6
21.3
24.6
11
40%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
1-7
2-5
14%
42%
2-5
40%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.5
15.4
30.4
3
75%
1
0
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-8
-
39%
1-2
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.3
8.6
13.2
3
30%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
7.5
0
1-2
49%
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
3.2
0
0-0
42%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.2
40.9
33.4
15
45%
9
3
1
1
0
4
4
5
3-6
50%
6-14
5-11
43%
45%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.2
39.2
32.9
16
59%
7
0
0
1
0
2
4
3
6-8
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.7
38.7
32.3
24
71%
4
11
1
2
0
2
0
4
7-9
78%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
3-5
60%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
36.7
32.1
20
67%
9
0
2
1
2
1
3
6
0-0
-
10-15
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.6
25.8
10.6
3
26%
6
0
2
0
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.7
35.1
26.6
16
55%
1
7
2
1
1
2
0
1
4-6
67%
6-10
4-9
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
23.6
21.7
9
42%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
4-4
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
1-4
25%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.3
23.0
1
2-5
45%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.5
15.9
0
1-3
42%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
10.9
0
1-2
52%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
4.7
0
0-1
46%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.