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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Pistons55%9398
5Heat45%92100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.4
44.3
37.3
21
66%
3
2
0
1
3
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
4-9
44%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.4
40.7
37.9
29
64%
2
10
0
1
0
4
1
1
5-6
83%
6-14
3-7
43%
44%
4-6
67%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.0
40.4
34.7
5
21%
10
3
0
1
0
0
2
8
0-0
-
1-10
5-9
10%
49%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.0
38.7
34.9
25
67%
4
5
0
1
1
5
1
3
4-4
100%
9-15
7-15
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.4
33.1
32.8
3
52%
7
3
1
1
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
14.9
22.4
8
80%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
12.8
10.5
5
87%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.5
7.3
8.9
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
4.2
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.9
3.7
1.4
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.6
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.2
1.0
0
0-0
38%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.0
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.8
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
42.6
34.8
37
60%
8
4
0
1
1
0
2
6
7-9
78%
15-26
7-14
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
37.0
27.2
31
58%
8
0
1
0
3
3
5
3
3-6
50%
14-24
6-11
58%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
32.7
29.6
6
44%
6
2
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.1
23.8
23.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
22.6
23.5
4
40%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
31.2
26.9
13
50%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-3
56%
50%
1-4
25%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
23.1
21.8
2
17%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
16.0
14.8
2
25%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.0
11.0
16.3
5
53%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
9.9
0
1-3
42%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
8.9
0
1-2
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
8.5
0
1-2
42%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.