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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Grizzlies49%9096
12Kings51%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
40.2
39.5
15
41%
9
6
0
1
0
2
6
3
5-7
71%
5-15
7-15
33%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
38.0
29.6
8
80%
10
3
3
1
2
1
6
4
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
29.5
28.1
11
46%
3
2
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
1-5
20%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.5
25.3
20.8
13
39%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-8
1-3
13%
45%
3-8
38%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
5.2
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.0
24.9
31.8
3
19%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
52%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.9
24.4
24.7
24
62%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
6-10
60%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
4-8
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.6
23.8
3.3
13
78%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-3
33%
6-7
0-1
86%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
22.0
19.0
9
64%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
1-3
33%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.7
4.8
13.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.0
2.0
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.0
45.9
27.9
22
113%
6
4
0
1
1
1
0
6
4-4
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
49%
4-5
80%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.5
43.4
34.7
15
66%
9
1
3
1
0
5
2
7
1-1
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.2
42.3
34.4
18
40%
1
2
3
2
1
4
0
1
2-3
67%
8-16
4-10
50%
45%
0-5
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.7
39.4
38.5
14
46%
7
10
0
1
1
2
0
7
3-5
60%
4-8
5-11
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.8
37.5
39.5
22
95%
10
3
0
1
3
2
1
9
6-6
100%
5-7
5-11
71%
50%
2-2
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
16.9
19.2
11
94%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
10.4
26.1
2
114%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
4-7
-
50%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.7
4.1
20.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.2
9.1
0
1-3
45%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.8
6.3
0
1-1
43%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
1.7
0
0-0
41%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.