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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics27%9398
5Heat73%101114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
40.7
37.6
31
55%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
14-16
88%
7-17
7-14
41%
48%
1-4
25%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.9
39.5
39.5
16
44%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
5-7
71%
4-11
5-10
36%
50%
1-4
25%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.5
35.1
34.8
8
40%
4
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
26.0
23.7
18
91%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
51%
2-3
67%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.2
24.3
29.1
7
45%
13
1
0
0
0
0
2
11
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.8
21.0
8.9
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
19.0
15.4
10
89%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
5-6
83%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.1
14.3
14.0
2
33%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.0
13.7
16.7
2
35%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
3.2
2.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
3.0
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.1
13.2
0
2-5
51%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
38.6
38.2
34
72%
8
8
2
2
1
2
3
5
13-15
87%
9-16
9-17
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
30.9
28.1
17
67%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
5-6
83%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
28.9
27.9
21
61%
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
5
5-7
71%
8-14
7-12
57%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
27.6
30.0
4
21%
3
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.1
23.4
36.3
8
80%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
26.7
34.1
7
50%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
23.0
24.7
12
51%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.0
15.9
17.0
5
75%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
15.0
3.0
2
50%
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
7.0
8.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
3.0
5.0
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.