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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Timberwolves35%9077
17Warriors65%94109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.4
35.5
34.4
20
58%
5
1
2
1
0
4
1
4
4-5
80%
8-14
5-11
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
30.3
37.6
15
51%
11
2
2
1
0
2
4
7
3-4
75%
6-13
7-14
46%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 26.9
28.1
34.2
8
29%
3
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-14
4-8
29%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 23.7
19.5
22.6
4
40%
6
0
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 27.2
16.0
20.0
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.2
32.0
24.1
5
23%
3
5
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-9
2-5
22%
44%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
23.7
12.4
10
46%
3
2
2
0
0
5
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.4
19.8
12.3
12
55%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
45%
0-3
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.2
17.0
24.7
3
26%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
51%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.0
11.2
6.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.0
6.8
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
6.3
0
1-1
41%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.5
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 29.9
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
33.7
27.2
17
63%
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
6-8
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
29.6
12.9
23
67%
7
1
1
0
0
2
1
6
7-7
100%
5-11
2-4
45%
49%
2-3
67%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
29.0
37.8
20
59%
8
4
2
1
0
2
3
5
6-7
86%
7-14
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.9
24.5
18.8
8
100%
4
1
2
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.4
22.9
29.3
14
90%
6
4
1
1
1
0
1
5
4-4
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.8
20.0
38.6
2
33%
5
6
0
2
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
5-11
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.3
19.2
13.2
7
44%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
16.9
8.8
12
76%
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
50%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.8
16.1
24.1
4
50%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.5
14.8
28.0
0
0%
2
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
6.8
3.7
2
35%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.6
6.4
2.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.